blaze spinnaker <[email protected]> wrote:

> Never underestimate the value of track records.  Bayesian probabilities
> rely upon this.   The specific problem with Rossi is that, from a bayesian
> point of view, it seemed improbable that he had created anything useful.
>

Rossi made millions of dollars inventing Diesel engines that run on
biofuel. This calls for detailed knowledge of catalysis, which is widely
considered the kind of knowledge relevant to solving the cold fusion
problem.

So, you have this completely wrong. It is not "improbable" that Rossi has
created anything useful; it is a matter of public record that he has. It
was both useful and lucrative. And it was directly related to the cold
fusion devices he is now working on.



> Also, a lot of arguments about wires have secretly provided unmeasured
> electricity was made.
>

These arguments are based on the notion that a wire capable of conducting
enough electricity to melt steel and ceramic is so thin you can't see it.
That is nonsense. Even a wire capable of conducting the electricity
measured in the second and third tests would be readily visible to anyone.

- Jed

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