sorry jed to quote you, just in case you forget old discussion. to imagine the future Jed booklet : Cold fusion and the future is an interesting start, not only for the vision, but for the methods http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/RothwellJcoldfusiona.pdf
this discussion is also full of experience http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]/msg72785.html To imagine the future I would also cite the "less is more" principle that taleb use for anticipation, and other rules. one rule is that what you can predict for the future is the removal of things... removing the wire, the driver, the smoke, the pollution, the fear, the work, the annoyance... you cannot guess what will appear... eg: in 2000 no flying car but internet... another rule is that the life expectation of a technology is it's past age... cars have a century, and will probably survive so. Telephone is the same. Of course there can be exceptions... i cannot imagine computer disapearing. but keyborad/screen is already nearly dead, and keyboard/mouse/screen is on the bad slope... keyboard phone are not old, and wont probably survive long... as Jed explain there will be niche application for LENR at the beginning, where others solution don't exist... and one day it will conquer the mainstream technology... personnaly I imagine it will be faster since LENR is very compatible with existing technology... a bit like mobile phone... the crossing of telephone with swiss knife and stone. LENR is just the fire without the fuel, not the smoke. the nuke without the radiation, nor the waste. It is energy without the frequent refill... It is a technology that remove troubles. it add new possibilities, like huge autonomy, not pollution in closed space, ease of transport of energy source, .... but initially it will just be a classic energy less some troubles... less is more. it is a "less is more" energy. 2013/8/30 Mason Ainsworth <[email protected]> > Good Day to All. > > I became a LENR believer on June 6th after reading Mark Gibb's 5/20/13 > article about E-Cat 3rd Party Testing. I then googled "LENR" for more > reading. The core of my understanding is encompassed by LENRProof.com; I > have followed 90-95% of LENRPRoof's links. As a result, I set out on a > personal project and contacted Mark Gibbs. This mailing list was > recommended by Mark Gibbs in response to a brief description of my focus. > > I have followed the discussions here to get a sense of the nature of > Vortex-L and the participants. It seems that there is a strong coterie of > scientists and engineers driving the culture here. After learning of LENR, > I set out on a path which relates more to business. I ask for some patience > as I am not a scientist and tend towards a pragmatic view. And, as I live > in the US, my knowledge and perspective tends towards the provincial. > > To say that I'm a believer of LENR is an understatement. I'm working to > develop an understanding of the practical issues of LENR implementation. > Specifically, I am interested in fleshing out the perspective of the LENR > business executive and comprehending a rational strategy for introducing > LENR into the global market. I will be using accepted analytic models from > strategic business analysis and including links to Wiki articles when known > and available. > > I have just a few assumptions about LENR and four questions framing the > analysis. They are: > ASSUMPTIONS > 1. LENR is a real physical phenomena showing revolutionary global scale > benefits to humanity and the ecosystem > 2. LENR is capable of being a globally relevant energy source and able to > be the substitute for 90-99% of the world's energy needs > 3. LENR technology/engineering is reaching a stage of near term practical > implementation on an industry and global scale > > QUESTIONS > 1. Which Players are impacted and How are they impacted? > 2. What are the reasonable possible responses to LENR for each Player (or > category of Players) and What is the associated probability of implementing > the response? > 3. What are some important additional considerations to research before > synthesizing a LENR business strategy? > 4. For the LENR Executive, what is the reasonable rational best strategic > approach to introducing our firm's LENR product, given the above > information? > > > As I'm new to the board, it is a bit presumptuous for me to ask the > following:. > 1. I am asking for patience as I'm looking to frame an analytic structure > which suggests a prioritization of choices rather than prescriptions with a > '100% Guarantee'. I don't 'care' who will be the first, second, or third to > market. And, I likely do not know as much about LENR and the energy market > as all of you, collectively. > 2. I am asking for pointers to specific information which you judge can > push the balance between forces in a particular direction, e.g. Obama's > 2012 Executive order regarding CHPs > 3. I am asking for critiques on the short-comings of the analytic framework > 4. I am asking for critiques on the short-comings of the apparent > conclusions I draw as this whole effort progresses > > > I will follow up this email in a few days with a fleshing out of the > Questions with the supporting analytic tools. > > Thank you beforehand for your time. > > Mason >
