Eric Walker <[email protected]> wrote: I'm less confident on getting the timing right for a breakout development > than you. Even if we saw a spike of interest comparable to the one shown > for the first Elforsk test, I very much doubt there will be more publicity > following upon it than happened the last time. >
I agree. I doubt that ELFORSK wants people to know, other than the small circle of people who follow this field. I doubt they will keep the paper secret. They probably couldn't; it would leak. I expect them to publish at arXiv again. > Even if the test results are stellar, I do not think they would cause a > movement in the oil markets at this point. > If stellar results could have any effect on public opinion or industry, the whole world would have believed in cold fusion after McKubre published. Experts such as Gerisher and later Duncan looked at the data and were instantly convinced. Fully replicated, high sigma, top quality experimental proof from hundreds of world class laboratories plus $18 will buy you a 30 Hershey Bars at Amazon.com. That is all it is good for. > If I had to guess, there would need to be three or four credible, > completely independent reproductions that were given high degree of > visibility in the mainstream media before cold fusion is even sufficiently > funded. > The mainstream media would never publish any report, no matter how convincing. Not from ELFORSK, EPRI or any other power company organization. The physics establishment will say that power companies know nothing about nuclear physics so they must be wrong. The mass media will only report on what the physics establishment blesses. Other than that, the mass media would only report: 1. A famous mogul such as Bill Gates is funding cold fusion OR 2. A commercial cold fusion device has actually gone sale. Anything less newsworthy will never see the light of day. That does not matter much. We do not not need the mass media. What we need is money, from someone like Gates, and we need experiments that work. - Jed
