To summarize the numbers a bit:

Male uploads that were overwritten by anyone: 7226
Female uploads that were overwritten by anyone: 536
None uploads that were overwritten by anyone: 21484

Male uploads that were overwrote anyone: 6775
Female uploads that were overwrote anyone: 619
None uploads that were overwrote anyone: 21861

As a percentage of all overwritten uploads
Male: 24.7%
Female: 1.8%
None: 73.5%

As a percentage of all uploads that overwrote someone
Male: 23.2%
Female: 2.1%
None: 74.7%

Assuming random assortment, we would expect:

Male-male: 0.247*0.232 = 5.7%
Male-female: 0.52%
Male-none: 18.5%
Female-male: 0.42%
Female-female: 0.038%
Female-none: 1.3%
None-male: 17.1%
None-female: 1.5%
None-none: 54.9%

Given the number of events observed, that translates to expectations of:

Male-male = 1667
Male-female = 152
Male-none = 5412
Female-male = 122
Female-female = 11
Female-none = 380
None-male = 5003
None-female = 439
None-none = 16061

These numbers are broadly consistent with what you posted.  There are some
deviations, but given the sample size and the number of possible
confounding factors (some of which have been mentioned by others) I think
you'd need evidence of a quite large effect before assuming there was an
important bias.

-Robert Rohde


On Fri, Aug 14, 2015 at 2:20 AM, Fæ <fae...@gmail.com> wrote:

> I have pulled together the following table together for the past 360 days,
> counting whenever an image was reverted by someone who was not the last
> uploader, and then attempting to find any declared gender:
>
> 2014-2015 Commons file overwrite stats compared to gender
>
> +---------------+----------+
> | sex           | count(*) |
> +---------------+----------+
> | female-female |        1 |
> | female-male   |      110 |
> | female-none   |      426 |
> | male-female   |      139 |
> | male-male     |     1376 |
> | male-none     |     5711 |
> | none-female   |      479 |
> | none-male     |     5289 |
> | none-none     |    15716 |
> +---------------+----------+
>
> Key: "none" means not set in user preferences, "female-male" means a woman
> has overwritten a man's file and "male-none" means a declared male has
> overwritten an account with no gender set.
>
> I'd appreciate any views on whether there is any statistical meaning to be
> pulled from these figures, apart from showing that men probably outnumber
> women contributors by ten times on Commons.
>
> If the email is displaying badly, you can find a wiki formatted table and
> original generating SQL on the Commons village pump[1]. I thought this
> would be of wider interest as though "image revert warring" is mostly an
> issue for Wikimedia Commons, it is a very similar area of heated disputes
> when compared to edit revert warring on Wikipedia projects. The question
> popped up from someone interested in my long running 'significant reverts'
> tracking report.[2]
>
> Links:
> 1.
>
> https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Commons:Village_pump#Does_openly_declaring_your_gender_change_the_probability_of_having_an_upload_overwritten.3F
> 2. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:Fae/SignificantReverts
>
> Fae
> --
> fae...@gmail.com https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:Fae
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