-Caveat Lector-

http://www.dxlc.com/solar/ (as of 11/15/99, 3:30 PM EST):

Flares and CMEs

9 C flares and 5 M flares were recorded on November 14. Region 8759 produced
a C3.6/1F event at 04:40 UTC and an M1.4 impulsive flare at 17:04 UTC.
Region 8763 was the source of a major flare, an M8.0/2B event at 08:01 UTC.
Region 8765 generated a C5.0 flare at 03:55 UTC, a C4.9 flare at 06:38 UTC,
a C5.0 flare at 15:40 UTC, an M2.2/SN flare at 16:23 UTC and finally an M2.9
impulsive flare at 18:09 UTC. Region 8766 produced the second major flare of
the day, an M5.6 event at 16:07 UTC. An apparently full halo CME was
observed starting at 18:30 in LASCO C2 images. Actually the CME may have
started earlier over the east limb but it was evident over the west limb at
that time. If the CME was associated with any of the 4 M flares occurring
shortly before, the earth will likely receive an impact on November 17.
Coronal mass ejections were observed earlier in the day as well,
particularly off the east limb.

A filament eruption in the northeast quadrant was observed starting at 18:36
UTC in LASCO EIT images.

November 12: Region 8759 produced an M1.7 long duration event peaking at
09:16 UTC. Material outflow was observed in most directions in LASCO C2
images and there is a chance that earth could receive an impact from the
coronal mass ejection on November 15.

The background x-ray flux is at the class C3 level.



> -----Original Message-----
> From: Ric Carter [SMTP:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
> Sent: Sunday, November 14, 1999 3:41 PM
> To:   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Subject:      [CTRL] Skeptic News - Sunday #1
>
        >>#  Class 'M' Solar Mass Ejection Likely To Strike Earth November
15:
           http://www.sightings.com/ufo5/Updateclassm.htm<<

Solar Mass Ejection
Update

11-13-99

<http://www.dxlc.com/solar/>Note: The page in the link above was changed
between yesterday and today. The following statement was removed from the
site for reasons unknown, but thankfully a copy of it was captured by us
before the page was altered:  Comment added at 18:21 UTC: The M flares from
region 8759 earlier today appears to have been associated with a halo
coronal mass ejection. The CME is fairly diffuse in LASCO C2 images. A more
detailed analysis should be available by the next main update, although it
does seem likely that the CME could impact the earth on November 15.

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