https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/shrinking-economies-dont-innovate

There's something about this rhetoric that seems to rely on hierarchical separation, the 
separability of levels. I mean, obviously, if we draw a hard boundary around "innovation" 
such that it only contains things we human organisms care about or understand, then sure. 
Innovation halts/slows with birth rate. But isn't, say, the evolution of our gut biome also 
"innovative"? Or totally sans-human, isn't most of earth's history a story of innovation? 
What is it about the human-particular level of (primarily cultural) innovation that makes it so 
special? If I'm cynical, it's just navel gazing.

But if I'm generous, there's something inherently computational (or universal, 
cognitive, translational, or Platonic) about the kind of innovation Hanson's 
talking about. I guess it's a longtermist or transhumanist way of thinking ... 
that Our innovations can possibly be stored and percolated more so than the 
modest, tightly bound to circumstances, innovations of our less computational 
sibling species. I don't buy it. But I'd like to be able to make the argument 
anyway.

--
glen

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