One of the usual claims is that science couldn’t occur without independent 
observations.   I would co-opt Glen’s rhetoric here about parallax.  What’s 
need is largely uncorrelated observations.

From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of Marcus Daniels
Sent: Friday, January 26, 2024 8:07 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

LLMs are causal models.   Science is about building causal models.    It is 
bizarre to me that there are scientists that carve out a special case for their 
own mind.   Even people like Scott Aaronson talk this way.   As far as I can 
tell, it is just vanity.

From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com<mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com>> On 
Behalf Of Steve Smith
Sent: Friday, January 26, 2024 7:38 AM
To: friam@redfish.com<mailto:friam@redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will


Does ChatGPT have choices?

I "can't help myself", so here goes:

I've been reading Sopolsky's "Behave" which paves the runway (or exit ramp) for 
his recent "Determined".  His deep background in neuroendocrinology leads to 
some very compelling arguments which pretty much degenerate to:

"do you believe in causality? if so, then where do you suppose the spirit or 
soul intervene to break the chain dominoes that have been set up by everything 
that you are and has happened to you up to that instant?"

He does a fancy little mocking dance, three card monte style, of homunculii he 
contrives for the purpose of debunking any fanciful regression/recursion escape 
plans you might have in that direction.

To hear him tell it we (as are all AIs/LLMs/etc) essentially giant pachinko 
machines:

:[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pachinko#/media/File:Masamura_Gauge_All_15.jpg][https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/19/Masamura_Gauge_All_15.jpg/225px-Masamura_Gauge_All_15.jpg]

His arguments on the topic seem unassailable in spite of my own deep and 
abiding sense of "choice" at many levels.  It also doesn't help my cognitive 
dissonance that he speaks entirely colloquially using many words we all 
associate with choice...  he speaks _as if_ he makes choices and others do as 
well even if he seems to ignore the specific word, choice.

I like the conceit of:  "the universe is deterministic but not prestateable"

I guess this is why they call it "the HARD problem of consciousness"?

For those of you who read this far, it would seem you "couldn't help yourself" 
or as my mother used to quip "you must not have had anything better to do", and 
for those who have not, the same goes for hitting <next> or <delete> (or having 
set up a spam-filter at an earlier time to avoid repeating the "decision" 
personally)...

PS re: Breaking Bad

I've only dropped a few Pachinko balls in my life, but I couldn't help 
agonizing over the trajectory of each one, feeling as if at every bounce they 
were at risk of "breaking bad" (or "good")...   since many here are at least 
part-time simulants (as Glen I believe refers to himself), even the most 
aggressive attempts at introducing "random" (noise, annealing, etc.) either 
degenerate to "pseudo-random" or engage with a physical system (e.g. sample a 
pixel-value from a webcam trained on a lava lamp) which of course is 
deterministic if arbitrarily complex.
[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pachinko#/media/File:Masamura_Gauge_All_15.jpg]


Anyone interested in feeding FRIAM Archive to a custom LLM. :-)

Prompt: Interpret Marcus use of gdb analogy in this thread:

GPT:
The analogy used by Marcus in the context of the TV show "Breaking Bad" and the 
concept of free will involves a comparison with using the "step" command in GDB 
(GNU Debugger). GDB is a tool used by programmers to debug code. The "step" 
command in GDB allows the user to execute program code one line at a time, 
observing the behavior and state of the program at each step.

In "Breaking Bad," the main character, Walter White, is drawn into a life of 
crime. The analogy suggests that watching Walter White's descent into this life 
is like using the "step" command in GDB. Each step represents a decision or 
action taken by Walter, leading him deeper into the criminal world. Just as a 
programmer observes the progression of a program one step at a time in GDB, the 
viewer observes Walter's journey into criminality in a step-by-step manner.

The implication here is that Walter's choices, while appearing to be individual 
conscious decisions, are part of an inevitable progression, much like the 
sequential execution of code in a debugger. This raises questions about free 
will and determinism, mirroring the discussion in the FRIAM group about whether 
free will is an illusion, especially in the context of strong compulsions or 
character traits that might limit one's range of choices.
____________________________________________
CEO Founder, Simtable.com
stephen.gue...@simtable.com<mailto:stephen.gue...@simtable.com>

Harvard Visualization Research and Teaching Lab
stephengue...@fas.harvard.edu<mailto:stephengue...@fas.harvard.edu>

mobile: (505)577-5828

On Thu, Jan 25, 2024, 4:20 PM Frank Wimberly 
<wimber...@gmail.com<mailto:wimber...@gmail.com>> wrote:
GNU Debugger?

---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505

505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

On Thu, Jan 25, 2024, 4:11 PM Marcus Daniels 
<mar...@snoutfarm.com<mailto:mar...@snoutfarm.com>> wrote:
Walter White was drawn into that life as sure as water runs downhill.    
Watching him go deeper and deeper was like repeating “step” in GDB.

From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com<mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com>> On 
Behalf Of Jochen Fromm
Sent: Thursday, January 25, 2024 1:34 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
<friam@redfish.com<mailto:friam@redfish.com>>
Subject: [FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

Since one of you mentioned today that free will is a recurring FRIAM topic I 
was thinking about it and found this SCIAM article that argues that human 
beings do have the power to make conscious choices.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/free-will-is-only-an-illusion-if-you-are-too/

On the other hand the drug addicts in Breaking Bad and elsewhere clearly 
demonstrate that drug addiction inevitably takes away our free will and 
replaces it by a strong compulsion to get and consume the drug, no matter how 
devastating the consequences are.

Robert McKee says in his book "Story: Substance, Structure, Style and the 
Principles of Screenwriting" that true character is revealed in the choices a 
human being makes under pressure. Could you say that a strong character or 
personality reduce our free will too, because they restrict our choices and 
decisions?

-J.

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