Re: [Marxism] Fwd: Trump’s Fledgling Presidency Has Already Collapsed

2017-08-09 Thread Ralph Johansen via Marxism

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Louis Proyect On 8/8/17 12:35 PM wrote,

Jeff wrote:
Let's see: an authoritarian figure gaining increased or dictatorial 
powers after rallying his nation to war. Do possibilities of that sort 
not concern readers of this list?


No, there will be no dictatorship in the USA--not as long as bourgeois 
democracy can ensure Nissan workers voting against their own class 
interests. Why would the American ruling class sanction a risky and 
unnecessary fascist state when the electoral machine keeps everybody 
under its thumb so well? With the largest socialist group in the USA 
determined to support Democratic candidates, why rock the boat?

_

I agree and disagree, Lou.

We may not have the what we formally call a dictatorship in the classic 
sense, but don't we already have lock down means of social control, in 
place increasingly with the coming of the Clintonites - who still in 
case anyone hasn't noticed control the Democratic Party?


Consider the fact that beginning more or less with Bill Clinton we have 
been becoming as a society an authoritarian state, with the unleashing 
of the banks domestically and globally to prey without having to pay, 
increasingly indebted to the bondholders, while employment becomes more 
and more uncertain and inadequate to our needs for sustenance - health, 
education and welfare. With the screws on so tightly that the great 
preponderance of us, including the rather crucial, now-encumbered 
students, are no longer at liberty to effectively protest, fearing that 
with the debtor/carceral/surveillance/military'imperialist regime 
developing more and more we can lose our jobs and therefore our cars, 
homes, furnishings, education, tchotchkes and life chances. As capital 
continues to base expansion on printing money not constrained by its 
relationship to gold and silver, piling one humongous number on the last 
through 'quantitative easing,' bailouts, the Pentagon and what have you 
- debt which is a claim on our future value and which we and our progeny 
must pay, our futures, as David Harvey says, are being foreclosed, by 
the debtor economy that has been largely, steadily moving in alongside 
neoliberalism during the past thirty years.


And then by way of recourse, more than a few of us had been counting on 
the 76-year old Bernie, almost as millions counted on the contrived, 
empty promises of a much-younger Obama in 2008. Here's my take on the 
prospects with Bernie, and how he probably sees it as well: since his 
election to the House in 1990, ostensibly as an independent, he has been 
carrying water for the Mississippi of the North, the state of Vermont, 
through Congressional horse-trading, caucusing with the Democrats, 
influential committee assignments and access to power, retention of 
which is all vital to the well-being of his largely-deprived 
constituency. So to spell that out, he is in thrall to a networking 
system, he reports to Schumer and the Wall Street leadership (he's now 
'Senator Outreach' of the party, in an era where no New Deal with any 
source of fresh jobs with any legs is in prospect), and if he failed to 
deliver in his home base his long-time electoral constituency could 
evaporate, and all the knives would come at him come the next election. 
So what could anyone expect from this lifelong establishment politician? 
How could he abandon all that and try to lead a motley gaggle out to 
another party without any established, well-seated organization or 
disciplined, time-tested, experienced backers, his vulnerability to all 
the twists of establishment formal electoral procedures when the party 
dumps him completely, or steady access to media and national attention - 
however much he might still be able to raise funds independent of Wall 
Street?


Isn't it just about axiomatic that an establishment politician many 
years in the saddle in that corrupt institution is not  the sort we can 
pin our hopes on? Who then? As with the guy who came in for a shave, the 
barber lathered him, took off the sheet and said that'll be five dollars 
and the guy said how about my shave, to which the barber responded and I 
retort, Oh, we just lather here.




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Re: [Marxism] Fwd: Trump’s Fledgling Presidency Has Already Collapsed

2017-08-08 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 8/8/17 1:33 PM, Jeff wrote:


And further, there can be a rather tenuous connection with reality 
whenever we talk about the "ruling class thinks" this or that. First, 
you can't assume that the ruling class knows exactly what's in its best 
interests.


Of course you can. Just read the NY Times and the Washington Post (owned 
by the richest man in the world).


Fascism is fundamentally about counter-revolution. When was the last 
time we had anything resembling a revolution? You don't need fascist 
gangs to evict people from Zuccotti Park after all when the NYC cops 
acting under a court order does the trick.



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Re: [Marxism] Fwd: Trump’s Fledgling Presidency Has Already Collapsed

2017-08-08 Thread Jeff via Marxism

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On 2017-08-08 18:49, Louis Proyect via Marxism wrote:


No, there will be no dictatorship in the USA--not as long as bourgeois
democracy can ensure Nissan workers voting against their own class
interests. Why would the American ruling class sanction a risky and
unnecessary fascist state when the electoral machine keeps everybody
under its thumb so well? With the largest socialist group in the USA
determined to support Democratic candidates, why rock the boat?


All you have just proved is that you would be a valuable and 
clear-thinking analyst for the ruling class; fortunately you are on the 
right side though! I agree, indeed most of the ruling class in the US 
and similar countries agrees, that bourgeois democracy is a better way 
for them to maintain their power and profits. If you then conclude that 
therefore we will probably not see a fascist take-over, then I also 
agree.


But that rests on the use of the word "probably." Just like I said: you 
*probably* won't get killed crossing the street blindfolded. That 
doesn't mean there isn't a great danger, just that that danger is less 
than jumping off a cliff.


And further, there can be a rather tenuous connection with reality 
whenever we talk about the "ruling class thinks" this or that. First, 
you can't assume that the ruling class knows exactly what's in its best 
interests. If they did, then they would all be of the same opinion, 
which is obviously not the case. They argue like hell among themselves, 
just as do we.


But beyond that, there is no absolute law that guarantees the views of 
the majority of the ruling class will prevail. The only way they could 
do that is by having elections in which only they are allowed to vote. 
Instead, they erect a great charade in which their interests will be 
conveyed through their ideological influences (and buying TV ad time, 
etc. etc.) in an approximate scheme that gets their predominant views 
chosen by the voters. It more or less works, but delivers results in 
which their original intention is only achieved in a very approximate 
fashion.


For instance, I'm not sure that the majority of the German or Italian 
ruling classes were clamoring for fascism before those dictators came to 
power. Or closer to the present, I'm pretty sure the bulk of the US 
ruling class -- in October -- would have preferred Clinton over Trump. 
But after he was elected nonetheless, then almost all of the Republicans 
in congress were willing to work with him, just as most of the German 
ruling class was fine with Hitler once he took power.


Just talking about what the ruling class wants is what the ruling class 
gets (until the revolution) is a fatalistic interpretation of history 
that would disarm our side. It isn't the way any of us think in 
practice. There is a great deal of uncertainty in many outcomes, and if 
there is a threat of a fascist take-over, even a small threat, of course 
we take that seriously and we take action.


Forget about elections for parties and candidates for a moment. If there 
were a referendum held on whether the US should become fascist, then 
everyone calling themselves a leftist (with a few sad exceptions) would 
be campaigning for a "No" vote, not abstention. I saw Trump's election 
campaign as tantamount to such a referendum.


- Jeff










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Re: [Marxism] Fwd: Trump’s Fledgling Presidency Has Already Collapsed

2017-08-08 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 8/8/17 12:35 PM, Jeff wrote:
Let's see: an authoritarian figure gaining increased or dictatorial 
powers after rallying his nation to war. Do possibilities of that sort 
not concern readers of this list?


No, there will be no dictatorship in the USA--not as long as bourgeois 
democracy can ensure Nissan workers voting against their own class 
interests. Why would the American ruling class sanction a risky and 
unnecessary fascist state when the electoral machine keeps everybody 
under its thumb so well? With the largest socialist group in the USA 
determined to support Democratic candidates, why rock the boat?

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Re: [Marxism] Fwd: Trump’s Fledgling Presidency Has Already Collapsed

2017-08-08 Thread Jeff via Marxism

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On 2017-08-08 15:52, Louis Proyect via Marxism wrote:


this article is a
useful reminder of how unlikely it ever was for Trump to be a new
Hitler or Mussolini.


Oh now isn't that about the only reason you ever send us an article 
about Trump? One after another, only to make the same point but always 
in the simplistic and binary form such as "Trump to be a new Hitler or 
Mussolini" without any nuance regarding the possible forms and 
trajectories of what we might term "fascism" or far-right populism. And 
wouldn't it be better to argue against ideas that have actually been 
expressed (such as by many of us who see qualitative and crucial 
differences between Trump and what had been tolerated even among the 
right wing of the US Republican and other mainstream bourgeois parties) 
rather than creating strawmen claiming "new Hitler or Mussolini" (words 
that I'm quite sure I never used)? I see Lou's repeated attempts to win 
a non-existent argument in this fashion whenever he spots certain things 
in print which I suspect he often doesn't read through himself (in at 
least one case he would have found the article's conclusions quite at 
variance to the one-liner he attached to it). Each time I have to 
suppress my urge to respond, because in fact there isn't anything in the 
article itself I need to address, just the way Louis is employing it.


Likewise this article (which I read through as a matter of courtesy) 
only goes over matters that are already more or less familiar (though 
you might still find it worth reading), and indeed does show, not that 
Trump himself isn't or couldn't be a fascist, but that the US state has 
not become a fascist dictatorship and isn't heading in that direction. 
But then it even goes on to present a caveat (did Louis read this far 
into it?):


"...here is one frightening exception. Trump could regain public 
standing through the rally-round-the-flag effect that usually occurs 
following a domestic attack or at the outset of a war."


Let's see: an authoritarian figure gaining increased or dictatorial 
powers after rallying his nation to war. Do possibilities of that sort 
not concern readers of this list? Or a campaign against refugees leading 
to widespread human rights abuse if not further to actual genocide. Is 
there no historical precedent for such concerns?


I wasn't sure before the US election, but now I will say that Trump 
surely isn't a fascist: he's shown himself to be too stupid politically 
to justify an ideological label. But he surrounds himself with fascists 
(not exclusively) and certainly isn't anti-fascist. The bigger question 
is whether the state will become fascist, and not even looking into the 
future asking whether the voters who won the election for him were 
voting for fascism (thus indicating their future compliance or 
complicity with a state possessing such characteristics). I'd 
geusstimate that half of the 2016 Trump voters were in fact 
"deplorables" of that sort; the other half were just ignorant of the 
dangers they may have opened the doors to.


It's inaccurate to argue that yes Trump got elected and no we don't have 
fascism in the US now. That's like if I tell you it's dangerous to cross 
the highway blindfolded, you do it anyway, and then point out that 
nothing bad happened so I was wrong. No, I wasn't wrong: I was right and 
you were lucky! And most times you would be that lucky in that 
situation, but the stakes are too high to ignore the danger you put 
yourself in. The dangers entailed by Trump, in addition to the above 
mentioned scenario of militarism -> war -> fascism, have especially to 
do with the far-right or fascist component of his base. That includes 
the ones he invited into government posts (or his personal staff) which 
is already associated with negative executive policies and legislation, 
predictably. But moreover I'm thinking of those millions of deplorables, 
bigots and small business types, who have stated in polls that they 
would defend Trump in street battles. Does that not sound a bit more 
like "fascism", more like "a new Hitler or Mussolini," than what 
currently manifests as disarray and confusion within the government?


My main point is that there was never any exaggeration of the dangers of 
Trump being elected after promoting typical fascist motifs and 
mobilizing support among groups that are reminiscent of those that 
propelled Hitler and Mussolini to power. More than many countries, the 
US state is carefully stabilized through a separation of powers between 
the three branches (plus civilian control of the military). This is an 
essential protection against volatility, 

[Marxism] Fwd: Trump’s Fledgling Presidency Has Already Collapsed

2017-08-08 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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Jonathan Chait is a Hillary Clinton propagandist but this article is a 
useful reminder of how unlikely it ever was for Trump to be a new Hitler 
or Mussolini. This is not a question of the "Deep State" defying him. It 
is instead a recognition that the American ruling class has ways of 
setting policy initiatives that are not so easily countermanded by an 
authoritarian figure like Trump.


http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/08/trumps-fledgling-presidency-has-already-collapsed.html
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