Re: Inflation and productivity questions

2003-12-05 Thread Michael Perelman
With regard to productivity, Robert Gordon was the most prominent sceptic. He has back off from his scepticism somewhat. I don't think fees are part of the CPI. Nor are sales taxes although corporate taxes are, at least that is my understanding. On Fri, Dec 05, 2003 at 01:08:18PM -0800, Martin

Re: Re: Re: Inflation and CPI

2002-07-08 Thread Doug Henwood
joanna bujes wrote: Private school tuition ranges from $8,000/year to $20,000/year...and it goes up every year. My alma mater is up to $34,030! That's nearly 2,300 hours of work at the average wage, twice as much as in 1973, when I was there. But do we know how much people really pay? Most

Re: Re: RE: Re: Re: Inflation

2002-07-07 Thread Doug Henwood
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: revealed preferences Who came up with that concept? Doug

Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: Re: Inflation

2002-07-07 Thread enilsson
Doug H wrote revealed preferences Who came up with that concept? Paul Samuelson. Background (from long-ago graduate school days). About 75% of the following is true. In the old days of neoclassical economics they made use of the notion of utility. Utility was generally seen to

Re: Re: inflation and cpi

2002-07-07 Thread joanna bujes
Eric concluded: Unfortunately most who cite/use the CPI do not really understand what the CPI intends to measure. This is true for almost _all_ economists who use the CPI-- most are unaware of the limits of the CPI measure and, so, use it in unappropriate ways. The question is, are they fools

Re: Re: RE: inflation (offlist)

2002-07-07 Thread joanna bujes
Thanks, that was very interesting. I need to think about it some more. Joanna At 12:18 AM 07/06/2002 -0500, you wrote: I have always considered inflation to be a *general* rise in the price level, rather than a rise in specific prices which feed into the CPI or, as we used to call it, the COL.

Re: Re: Inflation and CPI

2002-07-07 Thread joanna bujes
At 06:09 PM 07/05/2002 -0400, Doug wrote: The CPI market basket is based on the Consumer Expenditure Survey http://www.bls.gov/cex/home.htm, not what BLS economists deem it to be, and it includes education, which they weight at 2.7% of spending ftp://146.142.4.23/pub/news.release/cpi.txt. In

Re: Re: Re: inflation and cpi

2002-07-07 Thread enilsson
Joanna wrote re some economists not knowing enough details about CPI, etc: The question is, are they fools or knaves? Some of these are people who want to get ahead and, so, delve only deeply enough into some issue so that they can get published. If the profession doesn't deem something to be

Re: Re: Re: Inflation and CPI

2002-07-07 Thread enilsson
Doug wrote: . . .education, which they weight at 2.7% of spending ftp://146.142.4.23/pub/news.release/cpi.txt. In the CES for 2000, households spent 1.5% of after-tax income on education. These numbers seem low, but that's what they say. That does seem low. But, as oddly, the document

Re: Re: Re: Re: Inflation and CPI

2002-07-07 Thread enilsson
Re the 2.7% average spending on education and childcare: I wonder the extent to which this is due to the use of household spending averages. Example: Beaver and family: $50,000 spending and $10,000 in education and childcare spending = 20 spending on ed/childcare%. 70 year old person (a

RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: Inflation and CPI

2002-07-07 Thread Devine, James
Title: RE: [PEN-L:27709] Re: Re: Re: Re: Inflation and CPI also, a lot of the payment for education is in the form of taxes, and so doesn't show up in the CPI. (Does the CPI exclude sales taxes? even if it doesn't, it does exclude most other taxes.) Jd -Original Message- From

Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: Re: Inflation

2002-07-07 Thread Michael Perelman
Isn't that Samuelson's term? On Sun, Jul 07, 2002 at 12:10:24PM -0400, Doug Henwood wrote: [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: revealed preferences Who came up with that concept? Doug -- Michael Perelman Economics Department California State University Chico, CA 95929 Tel. 530-898-5321

Re: RE: Re: Re: Inflation

2002-07-07 Thread Michael Perelman
You have mere preferences; I have cultivated tastes. On Sat, Jul 06, 2002 at 03:35:39PM -0700, Devine, James wrote: I don't remember, what's the difference between tastes and preferences? -- Michael Perelman Economics Department California State University Chico, CA 95929 Tel.

Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: Inflation and CPI

2002-07-07 Thread enilsson
Jim D. wrote, also, a lot of the payment for education is in the form of taxes, and so doesn't show up in the CPI. (Does the CPI exclude sales taxes? even if it doesn't, it does exclude most other taxes.) Only post-tax spending is included in the CPI. Public school spending, etc, does not

RE: Re: RE: inflation

2002-07-06 Thread Devine, James
Title: RE: [PEN-L:27656] Re: RE: inflation I wrote: at some point, economists decided on a conventional definition of inflation as referring only to increasing prices of newly-produced goods and services. Paul writes:I have always considered inflation to be a *general* rise in the price

RE: Re: Re: Inflation

2002-07-06 Thread Devine, James
Title: RE: [PEN-L:27594] Re: Re: Inflation Eric wrote:The CPI likely has failed to take into account many declines in the quality of certain services and goods. While many economists have been interested in arguing (rightly in _some_ cases) that the CPI has sometimes failed to reflect quality

Re: RE: Re: Re: Inflation

2002-07-06 Thread enilsson
Jim wrote, I don't remember, what's the difference between tastes and preferences? Same thing except that preferences likely became common language after the presentation of the notion of revealed preferences in modern welfare economics. Tastes is just older language for the same thing.

Re: Re: Inflation

2002-07-05 Thread Bill Lear
On Thursday, July 4, 2002 at 14:06:16 (-0700) Michael Perelman writes: Help me out here Doug. Usually, I would be inclined to believe Census figures over something from Texas, but Texas Transportation Institute. 2002. 2002 Urban Mobility Study http://mobility.tamu.edu/ums/ Congestion is growing

Re: Re: Re: Inflation

2002-07-05 Thread Eugene Coyle
Doesn't this exchange confuse the increase in delay with total travel time? I. e. ignores an increase in distance traveled? Gene Coyle Bill Lear wrote: On Thursday, July 4, 2002 at 14:06:16 (-0700) Michael Perelman writes: Help me out here Doug. Usually, I would be inclined to believe

Re: Re: Re: Re: Inflation

2002-07-05 Thread Michael Perelman
I began with the distance to suggest that it should be a component of the rent. Doug's statistics on delays were useful since the increasing commutes lead to more congestion, causing more delays. On Fri, Jul 05, 2002 at 08:15:14AM -0700, Eugene Coyle wrote: Doesn't this exchange confuse the

Re: Re: Re: Re: Inflation

2002-07-05 Thread Doug Henwood
Michael Perelman wrote: Help me out here Doug. Usually, I would be inclined to believe Census figures over something from Texas, but Texas Transportation Institute. 2002. 2002 Urban Mobility Study http://mobility.tamu.edu/ums/ Congestion is growing in areas of every size. The 75 urban areas

Re: Inflation

2002-07-05 Thread joanna bujes
At 05:20 AM 07/04/2002 -0400, you wrote: This raises a question I have always wondered about. In calculating the CPI, the BLS uses fixed weights which are updated only every decade or so, right? Right-wingers claim that this overstates increases in the cost of living because, in reality, people

Re: Re: Re: Re: Inflation/NYC transit

2002-07-05 Thread joanna bujes
At 02:06 PM 07/04/2002 -0700, you wrote: I am happy to hear about NY public transportation. NY may be unusual in that even moderately well to do people use it. Returned from NYC a few weeks ago and agree that NYC public transit is a miracle of convenience/dependability/efficiency. Prosit!

RE: inflation

2002-07-05 Thread Devine, James
Title: RE: inflation [was: Greenspan's cooked book] I wrote: at some point, economists decided on a conventional definition of inflation as referring only to increasing prices of newly-produced goods and services. Given that convention, inflation in housing prices only counts when

Re: RE: inflation

2002-07-05 Thread phillp2
From: Devine, James [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: '[EMAIL PROTECTED]' [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject:[PEN-L:27641] RE: inflation Date sent: Fri, 5 Jul 2002 16:44:57 -0700 Send reply to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] I wrote: at some point

Re: Inflation

2002-07-04 Thread enilsson
Ellen wrote, In calculating the CPI, the BLS uses fixed weights which are updated only every decade or so, right? I'll answer this as best I can--a few years ago I knew all this stuff well but my brain just doesn't remember information like it used to. The answer to the above is: Yes and

RE: inflation

2002-07-04 Thread enilsson
Jim D wrote, at some point, economists decided on a conventional definition of inflation as referring only to increasing prices of newly-produced goods and services. Given that convention, inflation in housing prices only counts when it affects apartment rents (or imputed rent on

Re: Inflation

2002-07-04 Thread Michael Perelman
Eric is our resident expert on the subject, since Dave R. has been been relatively silent. Are you still here, Dave. I have some questions: For example, how much have waiting times for medical care increased? Do rising housing costs require people to locate further from work, increasing

Re: Re: Inflation

2002-07-04 Thread Doug Henwood
Michael Perelman wrote: I have some questions: For example, how much have waiting times for medical care increased? The medical care component of the CPI has increased more than twice as much as the overall CPI since 1979. Its weight is only 6% of the total index, however. Do rising

[PEN-L:8270] Re: inflation deflation

1997-01-17 Thread Eugene P. Coyle
Jim Devine wrote: How can Passell say such things?? I often read Passell's columns. He's simply a mouthpiece for a sub-set of mainstream economists. He quotes and promotes the work of dishonest scholars like Dale Jorgeson and his ilk. I had read the column referred to by Lynn Turgeon and

[PEN-L:8270] Re: inflation deflation

1997-01-17 Thread Eugene P. Coyle
Jim Devine wrote: How can Passell say such things?? I often read Passell's columns. He's simply a mouthpiece for a sub-set of mainstream economists. He quotes and promotes the work of dishonest scholars like Dale Jorgeson and his ilk. I had read the column referred to by Lynn Turgeon and

[PEN-L:8261] Re: inflation deflation

1997-01-16 Thread bill mitchell
Lynn Turgeon writes: Passell also concludes that most people seem to win as a result of overall deflation just as most people seem to lose from overall inflation and therefore tend to go along with fighting inflation as a national policy. No wonder there is inertia among Japanese

[PEN-L:8261] Re: inflation deflation

1997-01-16 Thread bill mitchell
Lynn Turgeon writes: Passell also concludes that most people seem to win as a result of overall deflation just as most people seem to lose from overall inflation and therefore tend to go along with fighting inflation as a national policy. No wonder there is inertia among Japanese

[PEN-L:4877] Re: inflation expectations by class

1995-04-29 Thread Mike Meeropol
paul burkett wrote: I would like to lodge a general info request, concerning whether anyone knows of any articles that documents differences in expectations of inflation between workers and capitalists (or as a second best, among different income groups). Please respond to me personally,

[PEN-L:3975] Re: inflation

1995-01-30 Thread BILL MITCHELL
From: IN%"[EMAIL PROTECTED]" 30-JAN-1995 19:36:57.56 CC: Subj: [PEN-L:3974] Re: inflation Return-path: [EMAIL PROTECTED] (PMDF V4.3-13 #6545) id [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Mon, 30 Jan 1995 19:36:39 +1100 ("port 2087"@anthrax.ecst.csuchico.edu) by vaxc.cc.monash.edu.au

[PEN-L:3977] Re: inflation

1995-01-30 Thread Doug Henwood
At 10:19 PM 1/29/95, Eugene Coyle wrote: Ok, I'll take the bait. What are you saying here Doug? Are you saying that high capacity utilization raises costs and thus CAUSES price increases? That seems implied in what you wrote. But you also imply the other assertion, that businesses raise

[PEN-L:3974] Re: inflation

1995-01-29 Thread Eugene Coyle
Originator: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sender: [EMAIL PROTECTED] From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Doug Henwood) Subject: [PEN-L:3970] Re: inflation X-Listprocessor-Version: 6.0c -- ListProcessor by Anastasios Kotsikonas X-Comment: Progressive Economics List At 4:26 PM 1/27/95, Eugene Coyle wrote:

[PEN-L:3970] Re: inflation

1995-01-28 Thread Doug Henwood
At 4:26 PM 1/27/95, Eugene Coyle wrote: One last remark. We keep reading about the high level of capacity utilization, how 85% is histyorically high, and cannot be sustained. But if you look back at the end of the '60s, you'll see that capacity utilization rates were above 90% for

[PEN-L:3960] Re: inflation

1995-01-27 Thread Doug Henwood
At 1:25 PM 1/26/95, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:Doug Henwood, seconding Gene Coyle's views, writes: "The price of credit matters much less than its availability, and the willingness of borrowers to use it." Won't credit be made available if the price is high enough, and borrowers more willing to use

[PEN-L:3966] Re: inflation

1995-01-27 Thread Eugene Coyle
I was contrasting a period in the past -- e. g. the 1960's, when when the Fed was able to absolute stop the availibility of funds to the banks, because they put a ceiling on the rates banks could pay to depositors. Thus the banks would turn away borrowers. The actual process at a bank

[PEN-L:3923] Re: inflation

1995-01-24 Thread Eugene Coyle
I asked a question about Greenspan's motives re the CPI debate. Maybe it doesn't matter unless you are in the bond market this week. The experts are betting on the Fed raising interest rates soon. But Mexico is a probelem. So my question is this: Did Greenspan float his attack on the

[PEN-L:3924] Re: inflation

1995-01-24 Thread Doug Henwood
At 12:40 PM 1/24/95, Eugene Coyle wrote: I asked a question about Greenspan's motives re the CPI debate. Maybe it doesn't matter unless you are in the bond market this week. The experts are betting on the Fed raising interest rates soon. But Mexico is a probelem. So my question is this: Did

[PEN-L:3903] Re: inflation

1995-01-22 Thread Doug Henwood
At 1:33 PM 1/22/95, Michael Perelman wrote: If consistency is the hobgoblin , then we must acknowledge the greatness of A. Greenspan. One day, he must raise interest rates to fight inflation. The next day, he tells the Congress that the BLS is overstating inflation. As one of at least two

Re: Inflation measurement

1994-04-05 Thread Doug Henwood
The CPI does try to make quality adjustments. Whether the BLS succeeds is a matter of controversy, but they do try. As an aside, I talk to a lot of the faceless bureaucrats at BLS, BEA, Census, and elsewhere who produce these figs, and I've always been impressed with their openness, honesty,

Re: Inflation measurement

1994-04-04 Thread JTREACY
Date: Mon, 04 Apr 1994 12:39:22 -0700 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Inflation measurement Sender: [EMAIL PROTECTED] How does the CPI numbers reflect quality increases/decreases in a product? For example, car engines today have longer-lasting engines and are 2-3 time better fuel economy; in

Re: inflation and real wages

1994-03-14 Thread FICHTENBAUM
Peter D. writes: I disagree with Rudy F about inflation being a mechanism that lowers real wages, either logically or historically. Logically, of course, the circular flow indicates that aggregate purchasing power remains unaffected, and the main distributional effect of greater-than-expected

RE; inflation and real wages

1994-03-14 Thread MMEEROPO%WNEC . BITNET
There is one other complication in the question about inflation and real wages: Many of the people in the working class are NET DEBTORS. This is particularly true of the section that owns their own homes -- as well as those who are struggling to get out of the working class with heavy student