Re: [Vo]:Gamma fractionalization and the DDL via Quantum dots

2014-10-01 Thread frobertcook
I doubt the NRC aauthority extends to LENR yet.

Bob

Sent from my Verizon Wireless 4G LTE SmartphoneKevin O'Malley 
kevmol...@gmail.com wrote:
Rossi knows that in order to get his reactors to be approved in the USA, he
needs to show zero nuclear effects.  He KNOWS it is nucular, but to the
authorities he will be saying  showing NO nucular effects.  none.  By the
time he sells ten thousand units, the NRC gets wise and has no  capability
to reign him in.

On Tue, Sep 30, 2014 at 10:43 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
wrote:

 Jones Beene jone...@pacbell.net wrote:


 Ø  Rossi saw 512KeV gamma from positrons in his early reactors.



 No, he didn’t. Rossi says over and over that there is no gamma radiation.
 He says Focardi’s theory had predicted gamma, but none was ever observed.


 On the other hand, Celani said he did measure gamma radiation during
 Rossi's test. Rossi was very upset with him for bringing in the meters.

 I do not know what to make of it, but that is what happened.

 - Jed




RE: [Vo]:RE: Gamma fractionalization and the DDL via Quantum dots

2014-10-01 Thread frobertcook
JONES

Here in France trying to answer you on a tiny keyboard.

P.H. as you
note has not adequately considered spin energy states in a multibobody QM system
and transitions from excited states to lower energy states.

Until this gets addressed well with good predictions,  IMHO improvements  will 
only happen with empirical correlations.

Hopefully the TPT boys will have some better insight whether empirically based 
or otherwise.

Bob


Sent from my Verizon Wireless 4G LTE SmartphoneJones Beene 
jone...@pacbell.net wrote:
It should be mentioned that this version, which envisions gamma radiation
being fractionalized to DDL instead of all the way down to phonon vibration,
could be at least partially falsifiable.

Here's how it could be done.

QSI makes nanoparticles of NiO which are close to the proper size for
quantum dots. Once loaded with deuterium, checking to see if they will at
least reduce, shield or diminish a 12 MeV gamma beam is as simple as
providing the beam and detecting the intensity - with the loaded nanopowder
compared against the unloaded nanopowder.

_

The almost intractable problem for explaining LENR to
physicists, or even undergrads in physics - is that there is no gamma -
presenting a major obstacle to our understanding if there is to be real
fusion. Almost all of the other problems in Ni-D, the Mizuno reaction,
including lack of transmutation products and lack of neutrons have a
possible explanation, since there is a known reaction with a short half-life
that converts Ni58 and a deuteron to Ni60, leaving no lingering
radioactivity. As mentioned in prior postings, Ni58 is a bit of an anomaly
in having too few neutrons (lower amu than cobalt, for instance). Ni58 could
be favored for this kind of reaction.

Unfortunately, this reaction is so energetic in net energy,
that the lack of gamma is almost as problematic as the situation with
putative fusion of deuterons to helium. The most accepted solution to the
lack of gammas is based on Hagelstein's evolving theory, which can be called
gamma fractionalization. That theory is based on downshifting of gamma level
energy, but without the photon emission, all the way to phonon vibrations at
8-16 THz, which is a massive drop of about 8-9 orders of magnitude - or a
ratio of at least 100,000,000:1 (100 million to one) - which is an enormous
reduction in energy over a very short time frame.

Yet, the Hagelstein model, as a general premise could apply
to the fractionalization to other energy levels - other than all the way to
weak phonon vibrations, which are a fractional eV. For instance, a
fractionalization down to the DDL (dark matter) level, is intriguing - in
which case the ratio is much easier to deal with. Apparently, PH has never
considered this as an option, so it is worth mentioning as a possibility for
future inclusion into a broader theory.

In Ni-D, such as the recent Mizuno experiment, where
deuterium would transmute Ni58 to Ni60, if that much energy (12 MeV prompt +
6 MeV delayed) could be taken away as spin, transferred to a large number of
atoms - then voila, that would be a solution. The spin would serve to
decrease electron orbitals of deuterons to form the DDL. The ratio which is
required drops from (100 million to one) all the way down to a few thousand
to one.

In short, Hagelstein's general premise can be improved via a
DDL mechanism (dense deuterium or deep Dirac level). For this to work in
practice, there would need to be perhaps 3000+ molecules of
deuterium-loaded-nickel, operating as a unit (quantum dot unit) with some
level of quantum wave coherence, with which to share the 12 MeV... which
energy release would provide about 3.5 keV per molecule of deuterium - to
push the molecule down into the DDL state. This level would have escaped
detection. The quantum dot is typically the correct size, but is typically a
semiconductor, like NiO instead of a metal.

Most of these shrunken molecules simply re-expand, giving
back the 3.5 keV (which is the signature of dark matter) which is
undetectable in operation, but if at least one or two of them were to fuse
to nickel, in order to repeat the cycle, then we have a limited chain
reaction.

The problem is that even if this scenario worked most of the
time, we should see a percentage of high energy gammas. When none are seen,
this casts doubt on the entire explanation.

But it is worth mentioning, especially if Mizuno's new
results should report an relative increase in Ni60 relative to Ni58 - or
radiation in the 3-4 keV range.

Jones




Re: [Vo]:Gamma fractionalization and the DDL via Quantum dots

2014-10-01 Thread frobertcook
Jones

I think Celani had a coincidence counter setup to look for e-p annihaltion.

Bob


Sent from my Verizon Wireless 4G LTE SmartphoneKevin O'Malley 
kevmol...@gmail.com wrote:
Rossi knows that in order to get his reactors to be approved in the USA, he
needs to show zero nuclear effects.  He KNOWS it is nucular, but to the
authorities he will be saying  showing NO nucular effects.  none.  By the
time he sells ten thousand units, the NRC gets wise and has no  capability
to reign him in.

On Tue, Sep 30, 2014 at 10:43 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
wrote:

 Jones Beene jone...@pacbell.net wrote:


 Ø  Rossi saw 512KeV gamma from positrons in his early reactors.



 No, he didn’t. Rossi says over and over that there is no gamma radiation.
 He says Focardi’s theory had predicted gamma, but none was ever observed.


 On the other hand, Celani said he did measure gamma radiation during
 Rossi's test. Rossi was very upset with him for bringing in the meters.

 I do not know what to make of it, but that is what happened.

 - Jed




Re: [Vo]:Gamma fractionalization and the DDL via Quantum dots

2014-10-01 Thread Jed Rothwell
Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote:


 By the time he sells ten thousand units, the NRC gets wise and has no
 capability to reign him in.


What would stop them? Even if he sold 10 million units, the government can
start regulating them anytime it wants. The government did not begin
effective regulation of automobile safety until the mid-1960s, long after
millions of vehicles had been sold.

I doubt the NRC has the authority to rein him in at present, but if they
decide this is a nuclear effect I'm sure they would either extend their own
authority, or they would ask the Congress and the administration to do so.

They would have the capability to rein him in anytime they want it. This is
reasonable in my opinion. If it is shown that cold fusion is dangerous it
should be regulated carefully.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Gamma fractionalization and the DDL via Quantum dots

2014-10-01 Thread frobertcook
Robin

It may be possible to measure differential voltages vs time at different places 
on the SC, if it is not instantaneous.  I would expect to see no differential 
voltages.

Bob


Sent from my Verizon Wireless 4G LTE smartphonemix...@bigpond.com wrote:
In reply to  frobertcook's message of Tue, 30 Sep 2014 09:32:26 +0200:
Hi,
[snip]
Bob
In semi conductors electrons r enter and seem to change the energy states of 
all the electrons in the semi conductor over a considerable distance 
associated with QM system of the SC.  TMK it's instantaneous.

...but could you tell the difference between instantaneous and the speed of
light?

Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk

http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/project.html



Re: [Vo]:Gamma fractionalization and the DDL via Quantum dots

2014-10-01 Thread Bob Higgins
I think putative DDL state hydrogen (Df/H) and probably hydrinos would be
more stable that you give them credit. At our environmental temperatures,
the average kinetic energy is 1.5 kT which is about .04 eV at room
temperature.  Hydrinos would probably need 50eV in an inelastic collision
to re-inflate, and Df/H would need something like 500keV.  So, hydrinos
would find some ppm of re-inflation on the tail of the Boltzmann curve, but
the Df/H atoms would not.  Long before you got to a 500keV collision, the
Df/H would fuse with its collision target.

Bob Higgins

On Tue, Sep 30, 2014 at 11:32 PM, Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Mon, Sep 29, 2014 at 8:26 PM, mix...@bigpond.com wrote:

 I have previously suggested that a dense cluster might also absorb the
 energy in
 the form of kinetic energy distributed among thousands of densely
 clustered
 atoms.


 I see that Robin and Jones were talking about hydrino reinflation
 yesterday, so my observation was a little late.  One detail to add is that,
 it seems to me, unless there are a sufficient number of Mills catalysts
 lying around to further shrink wayward hydrinos that are thinking of
 reinflating, I assume they would all eventually reinflate through
 (endothermic) inelastic collisions.  You'd start out with normal matter,
 get hydrinos, and end with (fully) normal matter.

 Eric




Re: [Vo]:Off Topic: Flu Season

2014-10-01 Thread Brad Lowe
The patient in Texas was put in one of the available hospital
isolation units and the 3 paramedics have been put into a 21 day
isolation at home. But the CDC admits that this patient may have
infected others. How long would it take to fill all the isolation
units, doctors are infected, and all the EMT's are in isolation or are
walking away from their jobs?

It was just two weeks ago Obama said it would be unlikely that Ebola
would reach the US. Google Ebola unlikely and you'll see everything
Ebola is unlikely to do-- go airborne, spread by airplane, become a
pandemic...

There is no way the US will consider limiting flights and quarantining
people from countries with the Ebola epidemic.

It never hurts to have a small stock of bleach, gloves, masks, plastic
sheeting, food and water... and get yourself a copy of the Richard
Preston's Hot Zone if you haven't read it. Its a really horrifying
virus.

- Brad


On Tue, Sep 30, 2014 at 10:51 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:
 And so it begins exactly as I predicted: He went to the emergency room with
 flu like symptoms and they ... wait for it  SENT HIM HOME.


 On Tue, Sep 30, 2014 at 6:08 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 Sorry but since none of the usual policy experts want to touch this with
 a ten-foot poll, it is shaping up to have some features in common with other
 civilization-impacting failures of policy experts with which this list is
 all-too familiar:

 Early symptoms of Ebola are flu-like and it is contagious during these
 flu-like symptoms. Now ... consider the fact that flu season is upon us.
 But you know what's _really_ frightening about this? Not one of the goddamn
 idiot authorities has even mentioned, let alone assessed, this confounding
 situation's impact on public health containment measures.

 Now THAT'S frightening!

 Read the CDC's guidelines on monitoring and movement of persons with
 exposure and tell me their guidelines work for a country in the throes of
 massive incidence of flu-like symptoms.





Re: [Vo]:Off Topic: Flu Season

2014-10-01 Thread James Bowery
There are two rays of hope here:

1) That the high rate of infection in Africa will allow evolution toward
greater ambulatory transmission of the virus.  This sounds nonsensical at
first but you need to understand evolutionary medicine and optimal
virulence.  There is a good chance the virus will have, among its _many_
mutations, a less virulent strain that allows its victim to remain
ambulatory longer and thereby spread it faster than a strain that
incapacitates its victim.  This creates an evolutionary direction toward a
longer period of contagion but lowers its virulence.  There is, of course,
a huge human cost to this evolution.

2) The Japanese have had, since September 2, a 30 minute Ebola test that
they have been ready to mass produce -- unfortunately while the US twiddles
its thumbs waiting for an event such as the one that just occurred in
Dallas to wake up the slumbering fools.

On Wed, Oct 1, 2014 at 10:43 AM, Brad Lowe ecatbuil...@gmail.com wrote:

 The patient in Texas was put in one of the available hospital
 isolation units and the 3 paramedics have been put into a 21 day
 isolation at home. But the CDC admits that this patient may have
 infected others. How long would it take to fill all the isolation
 units, doctors are infected, and all the EMT's are in isolation or are
 walking away from their jobs?

 It was just two weeks ago Obama said it would be unlikely that Ebola
 would reach the US. Google Ebola unlikely and you'll see everything
 Ebola is unlikely to do-- go airborne, spread by airplane, become a
 pandemic...

 There is no way the US will consider limiting flights and quarantining
 people from countries with the Ebola epidemic.

 It never hurts to have a small stock of bleach, gloves, masks, plastic
 sheeting, food and water... and get yourself a copy of the Richard
 Preston's Hot Zone if you haven't read it. Its a really horrifying
 virus.

 - Brad


 On Tue, Sep 30, 2014 at 10:51 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:
  And so it begins exactly as I predicted: He went to the emergency room
 with
  flu like symptoms and they ... wait for it  SENT HIM HOME.
 
 
  On Tue, Sep 30, 2014 at 6:08 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com
 wrote:
 
  Sorry but since none of the usual policy experts want to touch this
 with
  a ten-foot poll, it is shaping up to have some features in common with
 other
  civilization-impacting failures of policy experts with which this
 list is
  all-too familiar:
 
  Early symptoms of Ebola are flu-like and it is contagious during these
  flu-like symptoms. Now ... consider the fact that flu season is upon
 us.
  But you know what's _really_ frightening about this? Not one of the
 goddamn
  idiot authorities has even mentioned, let alone assessed, this
 confounding
  situation's impact on public health containment measures.
 
  Now THAT'S frightening!
 
  Read the CDC's guidelines on monitoring and movement of persons with
  exposure and tell me their guidelines work for a country in the
 throes of
  massive incidence of flu-like symptoms.
 
 




Re: [Vo]:Gamma fractionalization and the DDL via Quantum dots

2014-10-01 Thread Terry Blanton
On Wed, Oct 1, 2014 at 3:16 AM, frobertcook frobertc...@hotmail.com wrote:
 I doubt the NRC aauthority extends to LENR yet.

It extends to anything producing ionizing radiation.



Re: [Vo]:Gamma fractionalization and the DDL via Quantum dots

2014-10-01 Thread frobertcook
Terry

It is my understanding that NRC authority only applies to radioactive materials 
made in fission reactors using fissile materials.  Thus, for example, 
accelerator activated materials are not controled by NRC.

However the Energy Reorganization Act which created the NRC spells out the 
details.

Bob




Sent from my Verizon Wireless 4G LTE SmartphoneTerry Blanton 
hohlr...@gmail.com wrote:
On Wed, Oct 1, 2014 at 3:16 AM, frobertcook frobertc...@hotmail.com wrote:
 I doubt the NRC aauthority extends to LENR yet.

It extends to anything producing ionizing radiation.



[Vo]:Steve Koonin is the latest WSJ shill for the oil companies

2014-10-01 Thread Jed Rothwell
See:

http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2014/10/the_wall_street_journal_and_steve_koonin_the_new_face_of_climate_change.html

Koonin was a prominent opponents of cold fusion in 1989.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Gamma fractionalization and the DDL via Quantum dots

2014-10-01 Thread Eric Walker
On Wed, Oct 1, 2014 at 8:07 AM, Bob Higgins rj.bob.higg...@gmail.com
wrote:

Hydrinos would probably need 50eV in an inelastic collision to re-inflate,
 and Df/H would need something like 500keV.


Yes, this occurred to me, too.  It will no doubt depend upon the population
of hydrinos and how far shrunken they are.  In a protected environment like
the surface of the earth, perhaps they could be fairly stable.  Out in
space, in the solar wind, for example, I doubt this would still be the
case.  I'm not familiar with the considerations involved with Df/H, DDL
hydrogen and inverse Rydberg hydrogen.

Eric


Re: Nuclear bucket brigade - was Re: [Vo]:Mizuno, Rossi copper transmutation

2014-10-01 Thread mixent
In reply to  H Veeder's message of Wed, 1 Oct 2014 00:25:05 -0400:
Hi,
[snip]
Since the second nickel nucleus has an extra neutron it is
now in an excited state. While it is excited the hydrogen nucleus on the
left retreats and the hydrogen nucleus on the right  is
approaches. 

Timing problem again. Gamma emission in approx. 1E-17 sec. Oscillation rate of
the H atoms in the THz range. That means that the cycle time of the H atoms is
about 1E-12 sec. Gamma decay is about 10 times faster, so most of the time
the energy will be emitted as a gamma.
Furthermore, I don't think the Nickel is going to be all that willing to part
with it's new toy anyway. ;)

Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk

http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/project.html



Re: [Vo]:Off Topic: Flu Season

2014-10-01 Thread Jed Rothwell
Brad Lowe ecatbuil...@gmail.com wrote:


 It was just two weeks ago Obama said it would be unlikely that Ebola
 would reach the US.


Well, cases were already brought here, deliberately, to Atlanta. As they
should have been.

If you took that to mean, not a single case of Ebola will reach the US
under any circumstances, you do not understand the nature of disease. In
the largest, most mobile country on earth, with extreme air transport
mobility, it is not possible to exclude the disease entirely.

What Obama meant, and what the CDC means, is that an epidemic or pandemic
in the U.S. is extremely unlikely. I think that is a reasonable evaluation.
If the disease goes pandemic in Africa with millions of people infected,
then I think the danger of spreading to epidemic levels in the US Europe
and Japan will be much higher.

This should have been controlled months ago when it was still below
epidemic levels in Africa. People at the CDC and other professionals were
pleading for the resources to control it. It is not their fault that this
happened. It is the fault of the kleptocracy governments in Africa that
have stripped their nations of resources, and it is the fault of people in
the U.S. and elsewhere who oppose reasonable levels of funding for
healthcare and scientific research because they are opposed to science.
They despise rational, objective thinking. I'm looking at you,
anti-vaccers, and you, creationists. Here is the world you want put us back
in, where children die in agony, writhing in filth on the floor:

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/02/world/africa/ebola-spreading-in-west-africa.html

The people at the CDC and Doctors without Borders are dedicated
professionals who see this kind of disease in person. Believe me, they know
what they are doing and they are trying to stop this. They are not to blame
for any of this.

- Jed


[Vo]:OFF TOPIC Murata Cheerleaders debut!

2014-10-01 Thread Jed Rothwell
Apropos of nothing here are some quintessential Japanese dancing unicycle
robots:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82rL4xjFC_g

Like much of modern Japanese culture these are cute (kawaii) and kind of
creepy.

- Jed


[Vo]:Interesting Mats Lewin Tweet regarding Rossi TPI Report

2014-10-01 Thread Robert Dorr




As reported on the e-cat News 
website:  Twitter 
https://twitter.com/Cim_PY_@https://twitter.com/Cim_PY_Cim_PY_ 
Hi Cimpy. As you know the famous third party report is upcoming. 
Within a week or so, is my understanding. Prepare.   I particularly 
like the last word of his Tweet, Prepare


Robert Dorr  



-
No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
Version: 2014.0.4765 / Virus Database: 4025/8309 - Release Date: 10/01/14

Re: [Vo]:Interesting Mats Lewin Tweet regarding Rossi TPI Report

2014-10-01 Thread Robert Dorr


Opps, that should have been As reported on the E-Cat World website 
not the e-cat news website. Sorry


Robert Dorr





As reported on the e-cat News 
website:  Twitterhttps://twitter.com/Cim_PY_@ 
https://twitter.com/Cim_PY_Cim_PY_ Hi Cimpy. As you know the 
famous third party report is upcoming. Within a week or so, is my 
understanding. Prepare.   I particularly like the last word of his 
Tweet, Prepare


Robert Dorr

No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - http://www.avg.comwww.avg.com
Version: 2014.0.4765 / Virus Database: 4025/8309 - Release Date: 10/01/14

No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - http://www.avg.comwww.avg.com
Version: 2014.0.4765 / Virus Database: 4025/8309 - Release Date: 10/01/14




-
No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
Version: 2014.0.4765 / Virus Database: 4025/8309 - Release Date: 10/01/14

Re: [Vo]:Off Topic: Flu Season

2014-10-01 Thread Eric Walker
On Wed, Oct 1, 2014 at 2:57 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/02/world/africa/ebola-spreading-in-west-africa.html


There was this relevant detail in an NYT story about the man with Ebola who
flew into Dallas:

Officials said Wednesday that they believed Mr. Duncan came into contact
 with 12 to 18 people when he was experiencing active symptoms and when the
 disease was contagious, and that the daily monitoring of those people had
 not yet shown them to be infected.


I get that public health experts don't want to cause a panic by leaving
room for doubt on the handling of the situation.  But I think they've gone
a little too far in the opposite direction and have given assurances in the
face of something that brings some unknowns with it.  Expressions of
confidence when people can sense this is something that is kind of new can
have the effect of undermining rather than bolstering trust in the handling
of the situation.  Such overconfidence seems to be common before financial
crises, for example, and people are attuned to this dynamic.

Eric


Re: Nuclear bucket brigade - was Re: [Vo]:Mizuno, Rossi copper transmutation

2014-10-01 Thread H Veeder
On Wed, Oct 1, 2014 at 5:52 PM, mix...@bigpond.com wrote:

 In reply to  H Veeder's message of Wed, 1 Oct 2014 00:25:05 -0400:
 Hi,
 [snip]
 Since the second nickel nucleus has an extra neutron it is
 now in an excited state. While it is excited the hydrogen nucleus on the
 left retreats and the hydrogen nucleus on the right  is
 approaches.

 Timing problem again. Gamma emission in approx. 1E-17 sec. Oscillation
 rate of
 the H atoms in the THz range. That means that the cycle time of the H
 atoms is
 about 1E-12 sec. Gamma decay is about 10 times faster, so most of the
 time
 the energy will be emitted as a gamma.
 Furthermore, I don't think the Nickel is going to be all that willing to
 part
 with it's new toy anyway. ;)

 Regards,

 Robin van Spaandonk

 http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/project.html

 ​
Every theorist begins by choosing to accept some impossibilities and to
reject other impossibilities.
It seems to me that the choice is based as much on logic and evidence as it
is based on the theorist's particular training, personal experiences and
intuition.
Since I can't draw on a wealth of knowledge about chemistry, nuclear
physics or condensed matter to lend credibility to my choices I will hence
forth not
theorize about this phenomena.

Harry

Harry









Harry


Re: [Vo]:Off Topic: Flu Season

2014-10-01 Thread James Bowery
They could instill confidence quite simply by issuing the following
statement:

As President Obama has declared this to be a national security emergency,
by executive order $10 billion of the DoD budget has been reallocated to
contain the contagion.  $5 billion will go to Eiken Chemical Co. for
emergency mass production of its 30-minute Ebola test device
http://www.ibtimes.com/ebola-outbreak-japan-develops-30-minute-simpler-test-quickly-diagnose-deadly-virus-1675502
for distribution to all US clinics and airports and $5 billion will go to
procure biohazard suits for all emergency room personnel, including R95
respirators.  All persons exhibiting flu symptoms will be asked to remain
in their homes until samples can be drawn and tested for Ebola.  In the
interim all passing through customs from afflicted countries will be
required to provide a blood sample which will be kept in storage until it
can be tested.

On Wed, Oct 1, 2014 at 11:08 PM, Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Wed, Oct 1, 2014 at 2:57 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
 wrote:


 http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/02/world/africa/ebola-spreading-in-west-africa.html


 There was this relevant detail in an NYT story about the man with Ebola
 who flew into Dallas:

 Officials said Wednesday that they believed Mr. Duncan came into contact
 with 12 to 18 people when he was experiencing active symptoms and when the
 disease was contagious, and that the daily monitoring of those people had
 not yet shown them to be infected.


 I get that public health experts don't want to cause a panic by leaving
 room for doubt on the handling of the situation.  But I think they've gone
 a little too far in the opposite direction and have given assurances in the
 face of something that brings some unknowns with it.  Expressions of
 confidence when people can sense this is something that is kind of new can
 have the effect of undermining rather than bolstering trust in the handling
 of the situation.  Such overconfidence seems to be common before financial
 crises, for example, and people are attuned to this dynamic.

 Eric