Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-01-03 Thread Jed Rothwell
David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:


 On many tests, I find it difficult to detect an indication of the
 underlying transient curve that is many times greater than the noise
 surrounding the ideal response.


Say again? I don't quite follow your conclusion. Your grammar is a little
convoluted in this paragraph.

I think you mean that the results follow theory closely and there is no
indication of anomalous heat. Right?

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-01-03 Thread David Roberson
So far, I do not detect any significant excess heating, but that will come 
later with the proper loading I  hope.


Sorry about the insane grammar.  My solution to the differential equation 
follows a curve in time that very nearly matches that of the real life cell.  I 
take the difference between the two and plot that as the error which only 
displays noise since the transients are balanced out.  I was referring to the 
fact that the underlying transient responses do not show up in the error 
(noise) plot.  The transients are typically greater than 20 degrees C for a 
typical power step while the noise being displayed over time is generally less 
than +/- .5 degrees.  This is a very neat way to view the noise without the 
large curve.


I realize that my latest attempt might not be better than the last, so let me 
know if this post helps answer your questions.


I should mention that I now apply a simple digital filter to the raw noise 
described above.  The process dramatically reduces the spikes in noise to 
reveal the low frequency components very well.


Dave



-Original Message-
From: Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 3, 2013 5:35 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP


David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:
 


On many tests, I find it difficult to detect an indication of the underlying 
transient curve that is many times greater than the noise surrounding the ideal 
response.



Say again? I don't quite follow your conclusion. Your grammar is a little 
convoluted in this paragraph.


I think you mean that the results follow theory closely and there is no 
indication of anomalous heat. Right?


- Jed



 


Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-01-03 Thread David Roberson
Jed, I wanted to mention one additional item.  Last week I saw the pattern that 
suggested additional power was being generated but it was small.  Most likely 
less than 1.5 watts was all that I could squeeze out of the shape.  I mentioned 
this to the MFMP gang but did not receive any reply.  Of course, I requested 
information about the exact test that was being conducted and the materials 
used within the cell.  It was important to replicate the measurement under well 
know conditions to be confident in the results.


I think that the pressure was different than any nearby calibration runs so I 
requested an additional one that they could verify.  I realize they are busy so 
I am having to wait until more calibration is completed with the right wire and 
gas before I can repeat my simulation with the required confidence.


I am expecting to be able to see excess power if any is generated as the 
temperature sweeps upwards from a beginning value.  Additional power added to 
the cell by LENR should accelerate the rising outer glass temperature curve.   
The subtraction of my differential equation solution from the real data will 
not balance under these conditions.  There will be no combination of values 
that I can optimize which will result in a curve match.


If the process is endothermic, that should be demonstrated as well.  The slope 
will suddenly slow down and not balance with my solution.


The waiting is killing me since I suspect my system will show what we are 
looking for.


Dave






-Original Message-
From: Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 3, 2013 5:35 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP


David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:
 


On many tests, I find it difficult to detect an indication of the underlying 
transient curve that is many times greater than the noise surrounding the ideal 
response.



Say again? I don't quite follow your conclusion. Your grammar is a little 
convoluted in this paragraph.


I think you mean that the results follow theory closely and there is no 
indication of anomalous heat. Right?


- Jed



 


Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-01-03 Thread Jed Rothwell
David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:


 Most likely less than 1.5 watts was all that I could squeeze out of the
 shape.


That sounds insignificant.



  I mentioned this to the MFMP gang but did not receive any reply.  Of
 course, I requested information about the exact test that was being
 conducted and the materials used within the cell.


It was the holiday season. I expect they will answer now. Those people are
wonderfully responsive. I love 'em!

I wonder where Bill Beaty is? Kind of worrying.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-01 Thread David Roberson
 to Pin plus 
Pexcess) as well as to obtain a close fit for the displayed curve and the real 
world.


The data solver in Excel does a remarkable job of adjusting the variables so 
that the calculated curve matches the downloaded one.  I just optimize the LMS 
value toward 0 by allowing solver to vary the Pin, Kint, Cap, and TC.  It plugs 
away for a few seconds and then tells me it can not find a perfect match.  
Generally the match is quite good however so I accept the values that solver 
finds and the task is completed.  A plot of the error function demonstrates how 
closely the delayed function matches the real life values and it typically 
looks flat with the exception of noise that is riding upon the input data.  I 
include a simple one pole RC equivalent filter to smooth the displayed data.  
The RC can be adjusted to either increase or decrease the smoothing and I 
generally place the variable below a graph that displays both filtered and raw 
error signals.  I like to plot a second graph which shows the raw temperature 
data, calculated curve, and the delayed curve versus time.  In this manner, it 
is possible to review how well the program generated fit matches the real life 
data.   If for some reason something looks strange in the output, you have a 
display that helps debug the operation.  It is seldom necessary for me to need 
to debug the curve fitting, but it is comforting to know that the file 
performed as required.


When the optimization is completed, you will see that the Pin variable has been 
modified from what you initially entered.  A stable calibrated run generally 
yields a final value that is within a few tenths of a watt from the downloaded 
data provided the calibration run is accurate and good values determined for a, 
b, and c.  This operation can actually be used to verify that you in fact do 
have accurate values for the parameters and is thus valuable.  If you know that 
there is no excess power being generated due to the set up, then I would expect 
an accurate match to Pin.  One of the beauties of this technique is that in the 
future, if the calibration drifts, the program will clearly show that fact.  
The Pin will not match up to what is known to be used in that case.


Once the program is calibrated and matches a calibration step accurately, then 
you are ready to measure excess power.  Just enter the latest downloaded data 
that might have excess power contained within and let the program do its 
optimization as described above.  The Pin that the program estimates is then 
modified by the additional power due to LENR and shows up as perturbation away 
from the ideal curve fit at points in time that correspond to excess power or 
absorbed power.  So, you can see variation in average Pin as the modification 
to the actual Pin given with the data set, as well as see where the curves 
divert from each other indicating heat that is produced.


Once you have performed several curve fits, you will become comfortable with 
the best procedure and gain confidence in your usage of the program.  There is 
no substitute for taking the time to learn by trying since supplying the best 
description for the operation of my program is difficult at best.  Ask 
questions either in private or in this list and I will answer in like fashion.


Dave






-Original Message-
From: David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com
To: dlroberson dlrober...@aol.com
Sent: Sat, Jan 19, 2013 9:52 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP


This is the third installment of my explanation of how to use my simulation 
program.  The last time I left those interested with a task of determining the 
roots of the primed coefficients.  Those primed values are in the last 
installment which is below this one.  The solution to the quadratic equation 
yields a first root that is positive referred to as R2 = 181.2596.  The 
negative root of the equation yields R1 = -350.751.  Next, there is an 
additional value required to simulate the cell behavior and I refer to it as 
Wreal.  This is the actual real frequency of the fundamental exponential 
natural response.  The solution consists of this fundamental frequency plus an 
infinite series of its harmonics that all contribute to the time domain 
response.  In actuality, only the first few terms are important as each falls 
off rapidly due to the affect of the integration constant Kint.


You calculate the Wreal with the following terms.  Wr= square root of ( b' ^2  
-  4 * a'  * c').  Using the values given below of a'=-6.4 E-6, b'= -.00109, 
and c'= .409318 one obtains a Wr = .003425.  I have mentioned an exponential 
time constant that the curves follow in earlier posts which is the inverse of 
this term, in this case it is 1 / .003425 which is 291.96 seconds.  This should 
not be confused with the delay TC below.


Once the 5 values discussed have been determined you can generate the actual 
time domain curve that the outer glass temperature

Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-01 Thread Jed Rothwell
That's great work. Thanks. Unfortunately I think you and the MFM have
demonstrated that Celani is not getting any excess heat. He sent them his
own wires and they got nothing. Bupkis. Nada. Zilch.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-01 Thread Daniel Rocha
That or the wires are torn by too much use and new ones must be provided.


2013/2/2 Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com

 That's great work. Thanks. Unfortunately I think you and the MFM have
 demonstrated that Celani is not getting any excess heat. He sent them his
 own wires and they got nothing. Bupkis. Nada. Zilch.

 - Jed






-- 
Daniel Rocha - RJ
danieldi...@gmail.com


Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-01 Thread Eric Walker
I'm not sure the MFMP have shown more than a null result -- I doubt it can
be taken as a negative result.  Celani's P_xs was on the order of many
watts, if I remember correctly.  It seems like he would have had to have
some pretty egregious instrument artifact to get those graphs that have
been circulating. Also possible is that MFMP have not succeeded in
triggering whatever Celani has been seeing.

This is not to say that Celani has necessarily been seeing anything -- he
might or he might not be.

Eric


Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-01 Thread David Roberson
The guys at MFMP are still experimenting on the Celani device.  They have a 
stainless steel version that is just now beginning to be tested and I have my 
fingers crossed.  A new calorimeter is also being perfected and it will be 
capable of detecting excess power in a sensitive manner if any appears.


My program suggests that the results are null at this time, but others may not 
share that opinion.



The MFMP guys are doing a wonderful job and we all should be appreciative of 
their efforts, and  I am confident that they will continue to perform a great 
service for us.


Dave



-Original Message-
From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Fri, Feb 1, 2013 10:56 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP


I'm not sure the MFMP have shown more than a null result -- I doubt it can be 
taken as a negative result.  Celani's P_xs was on the order of many watts, if I 
remember correctly.  It seems like he would have had to have some pretty 
egregious instrument artifact to get those graphs that have been circulating. 
Also possible is that MFMP have not succeeded in triggering whatever Celani has 
been seeing.


This is not to say that Celani has necessarily been seeing anything -- he might 
or he might not be.


Eric


 



Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-02 Thread Harry Veeder
Dave,
Have you identifided the difference (or error) in MFMP team's program
that leads them to find excess power?

Harry

On Sat, Feb 2, 2013 at 12:54 AM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:
 The guys at MFMP are still experimenting on the Celani device.  They have a
 stainless steel version that is just now beginning to be tested and I have
 my fingers crossed.  A new calorimeter is also being perfected and it will
 be capable of detecting excess power in a sensitive manner if any appears.

 My program suggests that the results are null at this time, but others may
 not share that opinion.

 The MFMP guys are doing a wonderful job and we all should be appreciative of
 their efforts, and  I am confident that they will continue to perform a
 great service for us.

 Dave


 -Original Message-
 From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
 To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
 Sent: Fri, Feb 1, 2013 10:56 pm
 Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

 I'm not sure the MFMP have shown more than a null result -- I doubt it can
 be taken as a negative result.  Celani's P_xs was on the order of many
 watts, if I remember correctly.  It seems like he would have had to have
 some pretty egregious instrument artifact to get those graphs that have been
 circulating. Also possible is that MFMP have not succeeded in triggering
 whatever Celani has been seeing.

 This is not to say that Celani has necessarily been seeing anything -- he
 might or he might not be.

 Eric




Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
Harry Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote:


 Have you identifided the difference (or error) in MFMP team's program
 that leads them to find excess power?


I don't they have found excess power in their most recent analyses. Have
they?

As I have mentioned here before, what bothers me about Celani's own work is
his inability to make it self sustain.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-02 Thread David Roberson
Harry, I can only say that my program has not calculated any significant excess 
power during all the trials that I attempted.  My current belief is that the 
amount of infrared radiation compared to heat energy that escapes through the 
surface varies with time.  Unfortunately, IR from the wires is not all captured 
by the glass envelop so a portion does not leave a heat trace behind.  On 
occasions a deposit of material has been discovered on the Celani wire that 
likely changes the IR emissivity of that particular wire with time.


If less IR is released, then more direct conducted heat through the hydrogen is 
measured since the sum of these is known.  I consider this behavior as a drift 
in the calibration which then appears to indicate more or in some cases less 
excess heat.  In every program run that immediately follows an accurate 
calibration, I find very good correlation between the input power calculated by 
my curve fit and the actual known value.  Now, if excess power were generated, 
it would likely depend upon temperature of the cell and its contents.  This 
additional power pulse should impact the behavior of the temperature versus 
time curve that my program produces.  More excess power should increase the 
slope of the curve when it happens while any absorption should do the reverse.  
 So far, I have not seen clear evidence of this effect.


Additional evidence that only a small amount of excess power is generated is 
demonstrated by the excellent quadratic curve fit that I obtain with a test run 
that uses well defined power steps.  This very close curve fit has so far 
always been observed.  My belief is that if much excess power were generated, 
it would certainly show up at the elevated power inputs more than at the lower 
power steps.  If this actually were to occur  the curve fit would be poor.  I 
have simulated an escaping radiation system that appears to behave in a like 
manner.  The forth order power radiation from the wire was made to vary in my 
simulation.  A significant portion of this was captured within the simulation 
along with all of the conduction equivalent heat energy.   At the outer glass 
equivalent test point, I noticed that it was easy to get an excellent quadratic 
curve fit with just a little distortion caused by the escaping forth order 
radiation effects.


I was amazed that I could choose values for the radiation escape process that 
resulted in a curve fit which came close to the R^2 values that I typically 
observe.  Much of this could be coincidence, but at least it appeared to come 
close to what I see.  And, of course, as I adjusted the effective radiation, 
the calibration appeared to drift similar to what I think might be happening in 
the real testing.


So Harry, my program seems to be capable of weeding out the behavior of the 
Celani replication device in real time provided the calibration does not drift 
too quickly.  But you should also consider that it might not capture the excess 
power generation if it comes into existence in some very slow manner.   Of 
course, the program would display any slowly rising excess power after the 
transient step response has settled down.  This is very much like shooting at a 
moving target.


It is apparent that a better method of capturing and measuring the excess power 
is required if we are to have confidence in our determination.   The MFMP guys 
are testing a much improved calorimeter that everyone hopes will achieve that 
goal.  This does not appear to be such an easy task, but they are working hard 
toward that end.  After the calorimeter is completed and calibrated, I hope 
that we can gain confidence in any conclusions that are made.  For now, there 
is a lot of speculation that needs to be proven one way or the other.


Dave



-Original Message-
From: Harry Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sat, Feb 2, 2013 3:57 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP


Dave,
Have you identifided the difference (or error) in MFMP team's program
that leads them to find excess power?

Harry

On Sat, Feb 2, 2013 at 12:54 AM, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:
 The guys at MFMP are still experimenting on the Celani device.  They have a
 stainless steel version that is just now beginning to be tested and I have
 my fingers crossed.  A new calorimeter is also being perfected and it will
 be capable of detecting excess power in a sensitive manner if any appears.

 My program suggests that the results are null at this time, but others may
 not share that opinion.

 The MFMP guys are doing a wonderful job and we all should be appreciative of
 their efforts, and  I am confident that they will continue to perform a
 great service for us.

 Dave


 -Original Message-
 From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
 To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
 Sent: Fri, Feb 1, 2013 10:56 pm
 Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

 I'm not sure

Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-02 Thread David Roberson
I agree Jed, you would think that the Celani device should be capable of self 
sustaining operation with insulation applied if the actual excess power were 
accurately measured.   I worry that the application of the forth order 
radiation estimation is not working as expected.  All of the calibrations that 
I have performed on the replication device show a very good fit to a quadratic 
function instead.  It is not obvious why this difference exists between the two 
test systems.


Dave  



-Original Message-
From: Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sat, Feb 2, 2013 4:56 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP


Harry Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote:

 
Have you identifided the difference (or error) in MFMP team's program
that leads them to find excess power?



I don't they have found excess power in their most recent analyses. Have they?


As I have mentioned here before, what bothers me about Celani's own work is his 
inability to make it self sustain.


- Jed



 


Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-02 Thread Eric Walker
On Feb 2, 2013, at 16:22, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

 My belief is that if much excess power were generated, it would certainly 
 show up at the elevated power inputs more than at the lower power steps.

Your curve-fitting analyses are always interesting. But I think we should be 
careful about adopting this particular assumption. I have read on more than one 
occasion that a decrease in power-in can trigger anomalous heat.

Eric

Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-02 Thread David Roberson
That is a good point.  I have developed certain beliefs after a lot of test 
runs and observations and I realize that I may have missed things along the way.


Did you download the latest Excel example file that I ran on the recent MFMP 
test data?  I recommend that you take a look at the close fit that is generated 
and review the various relationships between the variables that are revealed by 
the formulas included.   I also derived a similar functional relationship that 
predicts the falling edges when steps are moving in the downward direction.  
Unfortunately, there is not too many transitions contained within the 
downloaded data for me to test against, hence the concentration on rising edges.


I am currently waiting for results from the new air flow calorimeter with 
fingers crossed.  My fear is that the actual amount of excess power will only 
be in the 1 watt range on a good day.  You may recall my work on surface area 
comparisons between the Celani wire and Rossi's claims.  I hope I screwed up in 
that analysis, if not, the calorimeter is our only hope of proof.  Then again, 
I hate to screw up!


Dave



-Original Message-
From: Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sat, Feb 2, 2013 7:59 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP


On Feb 2, 2013, at 16:22, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:



My belief is that if much excess power were generated, it would certainly show 
up at the elevated power inputs more than at the lower power steps.


Your curve-fitting analyses are always interesting. But I think we should be 
careful about adopting this particular assumption. I have read on more than one 
occasion that a decrease in power-in can trigger anomalous heat.


Eric
 


Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-02 Thread Harry Veeder
On Sat, Feb 2, 2013 at 4:56 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:
 Harry Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote:


 Have you identifided the difference (or error) in MFMP team's program
 that leads them to find excess power?


 I don't they have found excess power in their most recent analyses. Have
 they?

 As I have mentioned here before, what bothers me about Celani's own work is
 his inability to make it self sustain.

 - Jed


My understanding of their analysis is that the reputed excess power
comes and goes and is much less than it was when they first
began the experiment(s).

Harry



RE: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-03 Thread Arnaud Kodeck
Hello Dave,

Your tool is powerful! Did you make also the calibration and exercises with
the EU cell? They have reported about ~6W excess heat when direct current
applied. The cell reports ~2.5W excess heat with an indirect heating.

US cells have been disappointing up to now. But EU cell shows better
results, so it would be nice to use your tool on this cell as well if not
been done yet.

Arnaud



Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-03 Thread David Roberson
I have concentrated upon the US cells so far.  I looked at the calibration 
information at an earlier time and decided that it was not well enough defined 
for the EU cell.  Once that decision was made, I kept working toward improving 
the program one major step at a time with US data until it reached its latest 
level.  Perhaps it is time to go back and apply it to the EU cell as you 
suggest.


I will take a look at the live stream and see if I feel that the needed 
information is present.  Now that the program is relatively stable, I can apply 
it quickly to new data.  I found developing my process to be much like 
constructing a house.  Each part contributes to the whole and at some points of 
time during the design it functions well, but not quite as good as I wished.  
Now, it does a very good job but I always can get it to do more if I decide 
that it is needed.  For instance, it would be easy to output a variable that 
represents the stored internal cell energy since at one time I was calculating 
that accurately.


It is important to set goals that can be met since one can always improve the 
capabilities and I feel that I have reached an acceptable performance level for 
now.


Dave



-Original Message-
From: Arnaud Kodeck arnaud.kod...@lakoco.be
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sun, Feb 3, 2013 6:04 am
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP


Hello Dave,

Your tool is powerful! Did you make also the calibration and exercises with
the EU cell? They have reported about ~6W excess heat when direct current
applied. The cell reports ~2.5W excess heat with an indirect heating.

US cells have been disappointing up to now. But EU cell shows better
results, so it would be nice to use your tool on this cell as well if not
been done yet.

Arnaud


 


Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-03 Thread David Roberson
I just took a quick look at the calibration conditions for the EU cell and am 
not convinced that it is recent and quiet enough to allow my program to 
accurately estimate the performance.  If they decide to perform a careful test 
run such as the recent one for the USA cell, then perhaps that will be the time 
to re evaluate it.  I am concerned about the apparent large variation in 
temperature that most likely is a result of outside factors.


It is difficult to maintain control of the environment as the guys working in 
the US have found.  They have labored endlessly to smooth out the cells 
performance as nature has thrown hard balls in their direction.


If further evidence appears that suggests that the EU experiment is under much 
tighter control, then we can process the raw data productively.  I am currently 
awaiting information from the US team regarding the AFC operation which might 
be what is needed in order to accurately verify excess power.


If you believe that I have rushed to judgement please help me to find the 
information that is needed for us to work with the EU data.  The more 
experiments that are performed, the more likely it is that excess power can be 
accurately determined.


Arnaud, have you experimented with my program yet?  It has the formula 
references used to calculate the various cells from the time input parameter as 
well as a copy of the actual data for comparison.  I realize that it is 
difficult to explain a process of this complexity, but I suspect that you would 
be able to use it effectively after a learning experience.


Dave



-Original Message-
From: David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sun, Feb 3, 2013 9:43 am
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP


I have concentrated upon the US cells so far.  I looked at the calibration 
information at an earlier time and decided that it was not well enough defined 
for the EU cell.  Once that decision was made, I kept working toward improving 
the program one major step at a time with US data until it reached its latest 
level.  Perhaps it is time to go back and apply it to the EU cell as you 
suggest.


I will take a look at the live stream and see if I feel that the needed 
information is present.  Now that the program is relatively stable, I can apply 
it quickly to new data.  I found developing my process to be much like 
constructing a house.  Each part contributes to the whole and at some points of 
time during the design it functions well, but not quite as good as I wished.  
Now, it does a very good job but I always can get it to do more if I decide 
that it is needed.  For instance, it would be easy to output a variable that 
represents the stored internal cell energy since at one time I was calculating 
that accurately.


It is important to set goals that can be met since one can always improve the 
capabilities and I feel that I have reached an acceptable performance level for 
now.


Dave



-Original Message-
From: Arnaud Kodeck arnaud.kod...@lakoco.be
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sun, Feb 3, 2013 6:04 am
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP


Hello Dave,

Your tool is powerful! Did you make also the calibration and exercises with
the EU cell? They have reported about ~6W excess heat when direct current
applied. The cell reports ~2.5W excess heat with an indirect heating.

US cells have been disappointing up to now. But EU cell shows better
results, so it would be nice to use your tool on this cell as well if not
been done yet.

Arnaud


 

 


RE: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

2013-02-03 Thread Arnaud Kodeck
Dave,

The room temperature of the EU cell environment isn't constant as it is for
the US cell. This variation might as well also contribute to excite the
excess heat to occur.

Problem with US cell is that, in my opinion, they put too much current on
the active wire which is then fried. But that's only my point of view.

I had a look on the excel tool you had made. I understand well the a, b, and
c constants and also the time delay constant. I've a bit more difficulty to
understand the rest of the computation of the other constants. To be honest,
I didn't get in deeper.

Arnaud

From: David Roberson [mailto:dlrober...@aol.com] 
Sent: dimanche 3 février 2013 18:05
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP

I just took a quick look at the calibration conditions for the EU cell and
am not convinced that it is recent and quiet enough to allow my program to
accurately estimate the performance.  If they decide to perform a careful
test run such as the recent one for the USA cell, then perhaps that will be
the time to re evaluate it.  I am concerned about the apparent large
variation in temperature that most likely is a result of outside factors. 

It is difficult to maintain control of the environment as the guys working
in the US have found.  They have labored endlessly to smooth out the cells
performance as nature has thrown hard balls in their direction.

If further evidence appears that suggests that the EU experiment is under
much tighter control, then we can process the raw data productively.  I am
currently awaiting information from the US team regarding the AFC operation
which might be what is needed in order to accurately verify excess power.

If you believe that I have rushed to judgement please help me to find the
information that is needed for us to work with the EU data.  The more
experiments that are performed, the more likely it is that excess power can
be accurately determined.

Arnaud, have you experimented with my program yet?  It has the formula
references used to calculate the various cells from the time input parameter
as well as a copy of the actual data for comparison.  I realize that it is
difficult to explain a process of this complexity, but I suspect that you
would be able to use it effectively after a learning experience.

Dave

-Original Message-
From: David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sun, Feb 3, 2013 9:43 am
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP
I have concentrated upon the US cells so far.  I looked at the calibration
information at an earlier time and decided that it was not well enough
defined for the EU cell.  Once that decision was made, I kept working toward
improving the program one major step at a time with US data until it reached
its latest level.  Perhaps it is time to go back and apply it to the EU cell
as you suggest. 

I will take a look at the live stream and see if I feel that the needed
information is present.  Now that the program is relatively stable, I can
apply it quickly to new data.  I found developing my process to be much like
constructing a house.  Each part contributes to the whole and at some points
of time during the design it functions well, but not quite as good as I
wished.  Now, it does a very good job but I always can get it to do more if
I decide that it is needed.  For instance, it would be easy to output a
variable that represents the stored internal cell energy since at one time I
was calculating that accurately.

It is important to set goals that can be met since one can always improve
the capabilities and I feel that I have reached an acceptable performance
level for now.

Dave

-Original Message-
From: Arnaud Kodeck arnaud.kod...@lakoco.be
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sun, Feb 3, 2013 6:04 am
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Simulation of Celani Replication by MFMP
Hello Dave,

Your tool is powerful! Did you make also the calibration and exercises with
the EU cell? They have reported about ~6W excess heat when direct current
applied. The cell reports ~2.5W excess heat with an indirect heating.

US cells have been disappointing up to now. But EU cell shows better
results, so it would be nice to use your tool on this cell as well if not
been done yet.

Arnaud