http://ens-news.com/ens/jul2002/2002-07-29-09.asp
ens
Heavier Vehicles Not Always Safer
ANN ARBOR, Michigan, July 29, 2002 (ENS) - More quality, not more 
weight, may make vehicles safer, say researchers from the University 
of Michigan and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL).

The study counters car industry warnings that tighter emissions and 
fuel efficiency requirements would force the production of smaller, 
lighter - and less safe - vehicles.

Physicist Marc Ross and LBML scientist Tom Wenzel have released a 
report showing that vehicle quality is a better predictor of safety - 
both for the driver and for other drivers - than vehicle size and 
weight. Recent Senate hearings on Corporate Average Fuel Economy 
(CAFE) standards focused on the increased risk Americans would face 
if they had to give up their sport utility vehicles (SUVs) for 
vehicles that weigh less.

"We set out to see whether that risk is real, whether SUVs really are 
safer than cars. The answer, by and large, is no," Ross said.

The first major result Ross and Wenzel found is that SUVs are no 
safer for their drivers than cars. Popular midsize cars, minivans and 
import luxury cars have the safest records, while SUVs are about as 
risky as the average midsize or large car, and are no safer than many 
compact and subcompact models.

The researchers defined risk as the number of deaths per year per 
million vehicles.

Other studies have not considered combined risk, which looks at both 
risk to the driver of the model in question and risk to the drivers 
of all other vehicles involved in crashes with that model. The study 
found that, when measuring the combined risk, most cars are safer 
than SUVs, while pickup trucks are much less safe than all other 
types of vehicle.

"Clearly the characteristics of the drivers of certain types of 
vehicles also have a strong effect on their safety," Ross said. 
"However, it is not clear exactly what that effect is, and the age 
and sex of drivers do not fully explain these results."

Some of the safest subcompacts also have a high fraction of young 
male drivers. At the other extreme, elderly drivers dominate certain 
large cars but there is no clear pattern suggesting that those cars 
pose higher risk to drivers of other cars as a result.

To determine quality, Ross and Wenzel used quantifiable parameters 
such as new car price, used car price, Consumer Reports safety 
ratings, and country of origin.

"It is extremely difficult to determine the inherent safety of a 
vehicle type or model because it is too hard to separate the 
contribution of driver characteristics and behavior from the 
contribution of vehicle design. We can say, however, that quality is 
a much better predictor of safety than weight," Ross said.

"It turns out that relatively inexpensive light cars do tend to be 
unsafe, but more expensive light cars are much safer, and are as safe 
as heavier cars and SUV models," Ross explained. "In any event, the 
argument that lowering the weight of cars to achieve high fuel 
economy has resulted in excess deaths is unfounded. If designers pay 
careful attention to safety in vehicle design, smaller cars can be, 
and indeed have been, made as safe as larger ones."

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