Inflation and gas prices both went up after we landed on the moon.

A Jewish state was only created after Adolf Hitler came to power.

The economy improved after <insert favorite president> was elected.

The iron age didn’t begin until after the old testament was written.

 

The beauty of it is they’re all factual statements, and we’re all guilty of 
this fallacy.  It’s so ingrained in us to look for a cause preceding an event 
that we don’t even know we’re doing it.

 

 

From: AF <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Steve Jones
Sent: Tuesday, February 01, 2022 11:17 AM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Motivated Perception/Confirmation Bias Term in Tech

 

Thats exactly it for the issues that actually exist, thanks.

 

Now i need to know what its called when the issue is imagined after an event.

 

Similar to the game i play with my wife where i ask her if the kids feel warm 
and 99 percent of the time she "feels" a fever on their forehead

 

On Tue, Feb 1, 2022, 9:39 AM <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> 
> wrote:

In classical Greek sophistry, the term was “Post hoc ergo propter hoc”.  Which 
means “after, therefore because of”.    

It’s one of the classic logical fallacies.

 

 

From: AF <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> > On Behalf 
Of Steve Jones
Sent: Tuesday, February 01, 2022 1:10 AM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> >
Subject: [AFMUG] Motivated Perception/Confirmation Bias Term in Tech

 

You guys are a bunch of nerds, somebody has to know the term Im looking for to 
describe this phenomena.

 

When an inert even triggers customers to believe there is an issue that doesnt 
exist, or they notice an existing issue and assign it to the event.

 

Some examples:

 

You put up a notification that site A is undergoing maintenance, so a customer 
on Site B that is totally isolated sayas that ever since that maintenance, 
there has been a problem.

 

We did a mass change of our defalt WPA keys on managed routers. Probably 1 
percent of the customers claimed that "ever since the change" there has been 
some issue. Changing they WPA key wont impact performance.

 

I just completed a network wide rate plan naming convention change, every non 
custom account will have  anew name for their rate plan on their invoice. this 
had zero service impact, its just clerical, but as the bills go out, probably 1 
percent (probably that same 1 percent) will call in with an "ever since the 
change" complaint.

 

Im not looking to argue with the customer as to whether there is an issue or 
not, Im simply looking for the name of the phenomenon.

 

Id like to incorporate this into tier 1 support training so that this doesnt 
continually generate nuisance escalations. Some reference material on it would 
be the bees knees. Everything has a name, like Petrichor: the way it smells 
outside after rain or Phosphenes: the lights you see when you close your eyes 
and press your hands to them.

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