> From: Bob Mottram [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > Subject: Re: [agi] More public awarenesss that AGI is coming fast > > Despite these arguments there are good reasons for caution. When you > look at the history of AI research one thing tends to stand out - some > people never seem to learn of the dangers of hype. Having been around > for a while I've heard many individuals make a "ten years to SAI" type > of prediction, and ten years later they were proved wrong. > > Being optimistic is a good quality, but if hopes are raised too far > inevitably a backlash ensues (investors become > frustrated/disillusioned and funds get withdrawn). I think people who > are seriously interested in the technology should be more measured in > their statements, and be honest about the degrees of uncertainty > involved.
Well after living in Seattle during the dot com craze the hype was just absolutely out of control. Yet people did get funded. Was it all worth it? Hell yeah but the hangover was pretty bad :) AGI IS hypeable but people have to make a conscious decision on whether to do so or not as without any deliverables it's going to look real bad when the investors pull out. Soo many of those dot com companies just went "poof" one after another it was just amazing I'm surprised that there haven't been more books written on it. But AI has been hyped over and over is it time for another round? The most recent hype has been on VOIP but that has been rather dull... but hyping up AGI? Now's probably the time - the hardware is there look at what is coming down the pipe, the OS's are there 64 bit et al, compilers, audio video, networking it's all prime time and only getting better I say go for it, hype the shit out of it - with guarded and controlled optimism that is. Also you have to think about the younger generation they deserve some time to party up. Should we hold back a couple years? Really hard to predict as other forces are viable and can potentially intercept.... John ----- This list is sponsored by AGIRI: http://www.agiri.org/email To unsubscribe or change your options, please go to: http://v2.listbox.com/member/?member_id=8660244&id_secret=55269332-d64d64
