happy deepavali to everyone .
On 10/26/08, Natasha ~~!!! <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> hi ,
>
> Flight to the dollar is expected to get even stronger in short term
> once OBAMA gets into office NOV 5 and forms his team and then later when
> they just realise that its all FIAT money and there is no positive effect
> , the dollar is just going to drop . .
>
> Fiat money (who is going to pay for the printed dollar notes : CANT BE
> TAXPAYERS its impossible nearly one trillion ~ noone will buy Paper also
> now ) always inevitably results in a severe prolonged recession .
>
> . I think bad days ahead this is just the beginning ,, trying to Jump
> start the engine is not working . and its going to take all the emerging
> markets also along slightly for a while .
>
> but these are good buy opportunities for emerging markets .which would
> decouple a lot from these advanced ones .
> NOTE : world gdp 56 trillion , usa +Japan + Eurozone == 40 trillion ,
> CHINA 3 trillion , India 1 trillion , russia + other brics 2
> trillion ..rest of world remaining 6 trillion .
>
> India , china gdp is too small to get very badly hit only flight of
> dollar from these markets is there in the short term . .
>
> CHINA 6 % and India 7 % .. expected ... average . growth .next year ..
>
> Thanks .
>
> ....
>
> On 10/26/08, brian_z111 <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>>
>> Thanks Tomasz - a very good resource for insight into the markets.
>>
>> brian_z
>>
>> --- In [email protected] <amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>, "Tomasz
>> Janeczko" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>> wrote:
>> >
>> > Brian,
>> >
>> > Actually it is known phenomenon that USD is getting strength
>> > when economy collapses.
>> > See "dollar is smiling in a recession"
>> > http://www.morganstanley.com/views/gef/archive/2007/20071210-
>> Mon.html (Dec 2007)
>> > and
>> > http://www.morganstanley.com/views/gef/archive/2008/20080407-
>> Mon.html (Apr, 2008)
>> >
>> > Best regards,
>> > Tomasz Janeczko
>> > amibroker.com
>> > ----- Original Message -----
>> > From: "brian_z111" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>> > To: <[email protected] <amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>>
>> > Sent: Sunday, October 26, 2008 4:17 AM
>> > Subject: [amibroker] Re: OT: Fed to cut rates below 1% soon ?
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > Does anyone have any idea why the USD is so strong at the moment.
>> >
>> > I am puzzled by this as I can't see any basis for it.
>> >
>> > The only explanation that I can come up with is that there has been
>> a
>> > silent emulation of the Japanese 'carry trade' based on low interest
>> > USD loans (the US has low interest rates, a desire to protect
>> > exports, sluggish growth and a sophisticated investment culture in
>> > common with Japan).
>> >
>> > quote from:
>> >
>> > http://goldnews.bullionvault.com/yen_carry_trade_101620084
>> >
>> > Japan sits at the epicenter of "bubble-mania" in foreign exchange,
>> > because its yield starved domestic investors plowed $6 trillion of
>> > their savings into overseas assets.
>> >
>> > Japanese investors increased their exposure to foreign assets by ¥59
>> > trillion ($566 billion) in 2007 alone, setting a record top of ¥610
>> > trillion ($5.9 trillion) and making Japan the world's largest
>> > creditor nation for the 17th straight year.
>> >
>> > In addition, global speculators borrowed $1.2 trillion worth of low-
>> > cost Japanese Yen (Tokyo interest rates haven't got above 1.0% per
>> > year since the start of this decade), in order to buy higher
>> yielding
>> > currencies, commodities, and stocks held abroad.
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > "History never repeats, I tell myself before I go to sleep at night"
>> > (Split Enz)
>> >
>> > http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asian_Financial_Crisis
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > --- In [email protected] <amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>, "Tomasz
>> Janeczko" <groups@>
>> > wrote:
>> > >
>> > > Hello,
>> > >
>> > > Did you see this daily effective FED rate chart:
>> > > http://www.newyorkfed.org/charts/ff/
>> > >
>> > > Usually effective rate follows closely target rate (currently at
>> > 1.5%)
>> > >
>> > > In recent days effective FED rate dropped below 1%.
>> > >
>> > > It looks to me that FED is going to be walking in footsteps of
>> > Japan central bank in '90s.
>> > >
>> > > Now EBC funds still at 3.75% ? They are going to cut fast, much
>> > faster than FED, IMHO.
>> > > If situation evolves in that direction we are going to see EURUSD
>> =
>> > 1.0 soon
>> > > and probably Japanese Yen remaining the strongest currency for
>> > months to come.
>> > >
>> > > Any thoughts?
>> > >
>> > > Best regards,
>> > > Tomasz Janeczko
>> > > amibroker.com
>> > >
>> >
>> >
>> >
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>>
>>
>
>
>
> --
>
> Warm Regards;
> `````` Natasha !!!
> To achieve, you need thought. You have to know what you are doing and
> that's real power.
--
Warm Regards;
`````` Natasha !!!
To achieve, you need thought. You have to know what you are doing and that's
real power.
