For all clarity, I mailed the below last Friday morning (24/10). Don't understand the delay. Probs for deeper cuts have, obviously, gone up.
PS --- In [email protected], "vlanschot" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Probabilities (rounded) according to: > > 1) Options (as of close yesterday): > > 1.00 -> 43% > 1.25 -> 23% > 0.75 -> 17% > 1.50 (no change) -> 9% > > 2) Futures (live) > 1.00 -> 66% > 1.25 -> 34% > > Things are moving down . . . > > PS > > --- In [email protected], "Tomasz Janeczko" <groups@> > wrote: > > > > Hello, > > > > Did you see this daily effective FED rate chart: > > http://www.newyorkfed.org/charts/ff/ > > > > Usually effective rate follows closely target rate (currently at > 1.5%) > > > > In recent days effective FED rate dropped below 1%. > > > > It looks to me that FED is going to be walking in footsteps of > Japan central bank in '90s. > > > > Now EBC funds still at 3.75% ? They are going to cut fast, much > faster than FED, IMHO. > > If situation evolves in that direction we are going to see EURUSD = > 1.0 soon > > and probably Japanese Yen remaining the strongest currency for > months to come. > > > > Any thoughts? > > > > Best regards, > > Tomasz Janeczko > > amibroker.com > > >
