On Thu, 5 Apr 2001, Satoshi Ikarashi wrote:

> ST> >   I understood how the average was decreased but I do not
> ST> > understand why ...  Please let me know the reason.
> ST> > 
> ST> 
> ST> Suppose you only have two requests in your logfile, one at 1am and one at
> ST> 1pm on the same day. Then x = 2, m = 12 hours, but the correct rate is one
> ST> request every 12 hours, not 2 requests every 12 hours.
> ST> 
> ST> Of course for most logfiles x is large and it doesn't make much difference.
> 
> Thank you for the reply (and for developping analog).
> 
> I understand what you mean. But I still want to know why the
> analog subtract 1 from the real requests.
> 

I think the above example shows it best. The correct rate above is
(x -  1) / m.

Or extend that example. You have requests at 1am, 5am, 9am, 1pm. x = 4,
m = 12 hours, and analog calculates that the rate is
    (x - 1) / m
  = 3 / (12 hours)
  = 1 / (4 hours).
Your formula, x / m, would give 1 / (3 hours) which is wrong.

I don't see how I can explain it any better than this.

-- 
Stephen Turner               http://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~sret1/
  Statistical Laboratory, Wilberforce Road, Cambridge, CB3 0WB, England
  "Your account can only be used for a single internet session at any one
   time and for no more than 24 hours in any one day." (NTL terms of use)


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