Since people are submitting multiple entries, I don't think we can strictly count the number of replies in your awesome tool. Perhaps the new person should add the number of their entries to the sum of last person's number of entries. But then, synchronization issues will rise if multiple people are replying at the same time.
On Apr 9, 8:50 am, Muthu Ramadoss <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > With close to 9000 developers registered in android-developers forum, > say 10% will actually submit. My NEW prediction - 900. > > > > Peli wrote: > > I think the page I mentioned > > (http://code.google.com/android/adc_judging.html > > ) was added very late in the game. I only found it recently. It > > carries the following date at the bottom of the page: Build m5-rc15d - > > 03 Apr 2008 16:19, but so do other pages that are older. To be fair, I > > don't know when this page was added exactly. It may have been there > > for a while, without me noticing it. (If someone had seen that page > > already a month or two ago, please let me know!) > > > But in case it was really only added a week or two ago, the people who > > wrote the page had insight into the actual number of submissions so > > far, and based on that it made sense to introduce a phase I that is > > nowhere mentioned in the original ADC terms and conditions. > > > It is also interesting that they did not introduce more phases (like > > reduce the number first to 1000 entries, then to 200, and finally to > > 50 - which would have indicated thousands of submissions...). > > > So to get back to the claim above, if one estimates 100+ submissions > > or 100-1000 this would be far better than the number suggested in "the > > most accurate submission count tool", with 300 (*) being an even > > closer guess for not completely trivial apps :-) At least, that is my > > personal guess - others may guess differently. ;-) > > > Peli > > > (*) Note: 300 ~ sqrt(100*1000) also happens to be the geometric mean > > for the reasonable range of 100 to 1000 submissions. > > > On Apr 9, 1:56 pm, Philip <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > >> On Apr 9, 1:41 pm, Peli <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > >>> The point is, if the number of submissions was 67, there was no need > >>> to preselect the first 100... (regardless of whether this is a nice > >>> number or not). > > >> My point was that the number 100 was picked not based on any > >> preliminary estimates or dynamics of the submission process. > > >> Philip > > -- > Thanks. > > Muthu > Ramadosshttp://mobeegal.inhttp://androidrocks.inhttp://intellibitz.comhttp://twitter.com/intellibitzhttp://linkedin.com/in/tellibitzhttp://slideshare.net/intellibitzhttp://groups.google.com/group/android-chennai > +91 44 22476750 > > We develop innovative search solutions using LBS for Android. --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Android Challenge" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/android-challenge?hl=en -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
