I think the page I mentioned ( http://code.google.com/android/adc_judging.html
) was added very late in the game. I only found it recently. It
carries the following date at the bottom of the page: Build m5-rc15d -
03 Apr 2008 16:19, but so do other pages that are older. To be fair, I
don't know when this page was added exactly. It may have been there
for a while, without me noticing it. (If someone had seen that page
already a month or two ago, please let me know!)

But in case it was really only added a week or two ago, the people who
wrote the page had insight into the actual number of submissions so
far, and based on that it made sense to introduce a phase I that is
nowhere mentioned in the original ADC terms and conditions.

It is also interesting that they did not introduce more phases (like
reduce the number first to 1000 entries, then to 200, and finally to
50 - which would have indicated thousands of submissions...).

So to get back to the claim above, if one estimates 100+ submissions
or 100-1000 this would be far better than the number suggested in "the
most accurate submission count tool", with 300 (*) being an even
closer guess for not completely trivial apps :-) At least, that is my
personal guess - others may guess differently. ;-)

Peli

(*) Note: 300 ~ sqrt(100*1000) also happens to be the geometric mean
for the reasonable range of 100 to 1000 submissions.

On Apr 9, 1:56 pm, Philip <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> On Apr 9, 1:41 pm, Peli <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> > The point is, if the number of submissions was 67, there was no need
> > to preselect the first 100... (regardless of whether this is a nice
> > number or not).
>
> My point was that the number 100 was picked not based on any
> preliminary estimates or dynamics of the submission process.
>
> Philip
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