I tend to take prophecy stuff with a grain of salt. If the Baha'i Writings say X is fulfilled, fine. But if you want to "refute" them, sometimes they're pretty easy. Consider how one comes up with 1844 being 1260; you have to assume 1260 refers to months of 30 days and years of 360 days in order to convert "42 months" and "three and a half times" into 1260, and then once you get 1260 years you have to assume it refers to a years of 354 days instead of 360 or 365.24 days. If 'Abdu'l-Baha hadn't said that's the way it is, I would have said it's absurd.
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