> -----Original Message-----
> From: Keith Nicholas [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
> Sent: November 9, 2004 4:08 PM
> To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Subject: RE: [XP] An Employee Owned XP Enterprise?
> 
> It seems quite a number of American programmers are getting 
> really paranoid of losing their jobs to overseas places?
> 
> Is this a trend? Or a fear?
> 
> Though, with a huge failure rate reported in 
> http://www.computerworld.com/managementtopics/management/proje
> ct/story/0,108
> 01,97283,00.html  its not surprising people want to fail for 
> less cost somewhere else :-)
> 
> I think a bit of a shake up in the software industry would be 
> good, it might make people adapt, change, and innovate a lot more.  

For quite a while now I have been saying to anyone who will listen (and
quite a few that won't) precisely that offshoring is simply a "cheaper
way to fail".

Last March at a Toronto Product Management Association meeting, I spoke
on a panel of 4 offshoring proponents and 4 opponents.  Even the
proponents from companies that provided offshore services said that a
critical success factor was constant contact with their local client.

The interesting thing about the whole discussion is that the topic of
domestic job loss wasn't really on people's minds - it was more quality
and logistical issues.  Of course, my position is that moving
development across the street from the Customer is considerably less
efficient than being co-located, even more so if it's moved half a world
away.

Extreme Programming promotes the use of smaller teams with lower
overhead costs.  These teams deliver high business value first, win a
product that is of high quality.  Our current system developed by 10
people with 5 major releases (both rich client and Web) over two years,
isn't fundamentally smaller than another project at this client that has
taken 4 years, $200 million, and a over a hundred people to produce.

Offshore outsourcing is, IMHO, a fad. It will still be here after the
fad has passed, but it won't be the first option to reduce costs.  I
will qualify my opinions though by saying that this is a Canadian
perspective.  Offshoring is occurring here, but not like in the U.S.
Canada is also a beneficiary of U.S. offshoring, so we kinda keep quiet
about it here!

I firmly believe that agile development processes are getting closer to
the "tipping point" that Mary Poppendieck described, and once they have
been accepted into the mainstream and their benefits felt, offshoring
will become a substantially smaller issue.  This will still take some
time, and people will still lose their jobs to offshoring in the
meantime.  However, I'm optimistic that it's a short-term phenomenon.

Dave Rooney
Mayford Technologies
http://www.mayford.ca



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