The GOP will bounce back, probably it is inevitable.
But will it be the wiser for the experience of its political  implosion ?
Not if it remains stuck in its Reagan-esque past as a sort of 
"ideal" to live up to. From my vantage the 80s are just  about
irrelevant for the 2000s Why ?   Because of  demographics. 
 
I don't see a non-Euro-American future, not any  time soon, since at least 
half
of Hispanics are Euro-Americans , maybe 2/3rds. But there  is
no way to pretend that the culture has not changed.
 
Some of this is all for the good, as everyone knows, I'm big  on
South and East Asians, also non-Muslim West Asians  I  like Iranian Baha'is
and Zoroastrians, for instance, even if I may argue with some of  their 
beliefs.
And so forth with respect to people from India, Japan, China,  etc.
 
But a "Christocentric" political theology, which is what the GOP is still 
all about, 
necessarily is perceived by Asians as not meaningful. For Catholic  
Hispanics
it may be meaningful enough,  but is nonetheless way too  parochial / 
Protestant
 
The Evangelical total is what it is, roughly 25 %, and maybe it can  grow
to some extent,  but  how do you build a new majority on  that fraction
when the rest of the demographics have changed dramatically  ?
Who, in the GOP:, has the smarts to see the problem and  also  the
creativity to devise a viable solution ?  Duh, so far  no-one.
 
None of which counts social values issues and how they  are
changing among the young,  while the Evangelical base of the  GOP
is mostly clueless about how to reach them.
 
Personally, I have no hope at all for the GOP and as for the  Dems.
on issues that mean the most to me, I have utter contempt for  them.
 
Maybe it is quixotic, but sobeit, my choice is some kind of third  party.
 
Billy
 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------
 
In a message dated 5/11/2009 2:10:14 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time,  
[email protected] writes:

Good  luck with that.  When the Obama apocalypse fails to arrive by   
2010, Dick Morris and his ilk are going to be out of work. :-(

I do  think there are some real problems with Obama, and muddled  
centrism  isn't a solution, but Rush Limbaugh reactionaryism has even  
less  life in it.

Maybe the best solution would be for the Republican Party  to stick to  
its guns and focus on its core historic (meaning  Reagen-esque)  
values.  That way, if the voters reject it we can  start over with a  
clean slate. The problem with McCain is that he  was too non- 
traditional to count as a referendum.

-- Ernie  P.

On May 11, 2009, at 2:04 PM, Lennart Johansson wrote:

>  F.Y.I
>
> DICK MORRIS:
>
>  
http://www.theusdaily.com/articles/viewopiarticle.jsp?id=2133&type=Opinion
>  No Triangulation Now
> Dick Morris
> [CDATA[
>
>  Despite Gen. Colin Powell's advice that the Republican Party must move
>  to the center, now is not the time for triangulation by the GOP. It
>  is, rather, the time for the Party to stand firm and fast upon its
>  principles and let this nation come around to its way of thinking,
>  driven by horror at the consequences of Obama's program.
>
> The  leftist challenge brought by Obama is no longer a theoretical one
> to  be parried by adroit positioning. He means to pass the ultimate
> left  agenda and has the votes to do so. When he is finished -- well
> before  the 2010 elections -- our nation will be unrecognizable.
> Business will  march to a beat drummed in Washington. Those who produce
> the most will  be hounded by confiscatory taxation. A majority will pay
> nothing and  receive government welfare. Our health care system will be
> destroyed.  Illegal immigrants will be well on their way to
>  citizenship.
>
> The 2010 elections will not be fought based on  debate or rhetoric.
> They will be waged over the consequences of  Obama's brave new world.
> We believe that these results will be  disastrous and his Congress will
> be swept from power as a result. We  think that the recession will
> linger only to be joined by inflation --  a recess-flation -- and that
> high unemployment will continue. Voters  will recognize the damage to
> their health care as bureaucrats weigh in  to prevent them from getting
> the care they need. All America will be  alive to the fallout from the
> Obama program. Our security and defense  failures may well have cost us
> Pakistan and the nightmare of a  nuclear-armed terrorist state may have
> already happened (not in Iran  but in Pakistan).
>
> Only if Republicans are seen as a clear  alternative, a clarion voice
> for reversal of the harm Obama will have  inflicted upon the country,
> will they be able to benefit from this  catastrophe. If the GOP is seen
> as a moderate force, splitting the  difference, voters will cynically
> conclude that there is no  distinction between the parties. Just look
> at how the Bush  administration seemed to be a puppet of the Democrats
> in its last few  months.
>
> There is a season for triangulation and a season for  confrontation.
> When America faces a new challenge -- as the financial  crisis and deep
> recession now pose -- we look to the left and to the  right for
> alternatives, for new answers. We want the debate to rage.  Those who
> seek to paper over or split the difference are ignored. Such  was the
> fate of Bush Sr. in 1992 or of McCain in 2008.
>
>  But once the debate has raged and the alternatives have been fleshed
>  out, voters want a consensus, a Hegelian synthesis, to move in a new
>  direction. They want to extract the best from each alternative and
>  combine these ingredients in a new solution. This is the process Dick
>  labeled triangulation. To ignore the demand for synthesis and to
>  insist on continuing the debate is to suffer the fate of Dole in 1996
>  and Kerry in 2004.
>
> This process of polarization, debate,  synthesis and action is how
> America has always moved ahead. Because we  are not Japan, we use the
> debate to see the options. And because we  are not Italy or France, we
> come to conclusions and act upon them,  leaving the debate far behind.
>
> Now a great debate has been  born. The thesis is Democratic Socialism.
> The antithesis is  free-market capitalism. The Obama Democrats have
> posed the challenge.  It is now up to the Republicans to pick it up and
> fight along these  lines. Compromise is not an option, yet. At some
> point, the synthesis  will set in. But now is the time for clear
> alternatives and sharp  disagreement. Only then can we hope to extract
> America from the  clutches into which it has fallen
>
>
> RUSH  LIMBAUGH:
>
> "The biggest mistake Republicans could make is to  follow Colin
> Powell's advice and move to the 'center,' because there  is no
> 'center.'  Centrism' is a left-wing code word, just  like
> 'bipartisanship.'  Centrism just means agreeing with  Democrats and
> moving in their direction." -Rush Limbaugh  (email  newsletter).
>
> // Lennart
>
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