Dude, you sound like Russle Crowe in 'A Beautiful Mind', in that hazy
area between genius and lunatic.

On Fri, Jul 17, 2009 at 4:29 PM, Gruss Gott<[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> Scott wrote:
>>
>> Given that the US is only closer to 3000 miles wide (rather than about
>> 400 as your estimate states), your original estimate is way off. Its
>> only by sheer dumb luck (or working the equation backwards as you
>> likely did) that you were even close to the earth's circumference.
>>
>
> You must learn to let go of your fears Scott  ... you must FEEL the data ...
>
> This it THE HARDEST concept for any geek to learn.  Ever take
> calculus?  If you were like me you heard all of the slope crap, said,
> "easy I get it!", then failed.  Then studied, then had an epiphany.
> This is the same thing.
>
> Answer First is really tough for science/engineering types.  Yet
> without that skillset you are really a mental blue coller worker -
> which is fine, the best pilots are such - but you may want more.
>
> Take Global Warming.
>
> The real questions there are:
>
> (1.) Is Earth's warming a critical problem for humans?
>
> (2.) If so, will the current trend continue?
>
> (3.) If so, is there anything we can do about it?
>
> Can we ever gather enough data to KNOW the answers BEFORE the problem
> is irreversible (assuming there is one)?  No.
>
> So we have to answer first.  We have to quess/estimate/manage risk.
>
> Certainly we should gather more data BUT.
>
> We should Answer First, THEN gather data.
>
> And the answer - the scientific theory - is that the Earth will warm
> and we'll die.
>
> 

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