> But guess what? There's not a whole lot of small-biz/enterprise
> asking CF by name. And I don't think anyone here will dispute that. 
> If you check out craigslist, dice, monster, etc... demand for PHP
> developers far out number demand for CF developers. If you dispute
> that, you are in denial.

I certainly don't deny that's the case on craigslist. 

I do however take issue with craigslist being used as a benchmark for
determining the interest in ColdFusion and the assumption that there is
a direct relationship between interest and profitability. Throughout the
world, there's immense interest in water, though until very recently
there was very little profit in it, and ultimately what surprising
profit there is to be had in water these days is largely an effect of
marketing spin i.e. commercial con artistry. There is conversely very
little, you might say even miniscule interest in WebSphere compared to
the interest in water, and by most accounts WebSphere is pretty
profitable ostensibly with much less in the way of commercial deception.

At some point in the future, Adobe may become more interested in the
"long tail" (SMB) instead of targeting the enterprise. It may or may not
be beneficial to them now or in the future. But even with every last
scrap of information that's available with regards to the market (number
of consumers, amount of money they're spending, etc. etc.) the execs at
Adobe responsible for pricing are probably not getting it 100% correct,
simply because economics is almost on par with quantum physics in its
complexity. I don't think I'm likely to be able to accurately judge how
on-target Adobe is by looking at craigslist and seeing that there are
fewer CF jobs for me to bid on than there are PHP or ASP jobs. 


-- 
s. isaac dealey  ^  new epoch
 isn't it time for a change? 
     ph: 503.236.3691

http://onTap.riaforge.org/blog



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