----- Original Message ----- From: "Lars Michael" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Thursday, May 26, 2005 6:56 AM
Subject: Re: EOS 20D reaching end of its time?


I'm guessing February, 18 months is the usually turn around, the camera just
hit the market in Sept.  Only a year...

Canon apparently never followed the 18-months rule:

1Ds mkII 2004-09-21 (24 months)    1D mkII 2004-01-29 (16 months)
1Ds      2002-09-24                1D      2001-09-25

20D      2004-08-19 (16 months)    350D    2005-02-17 (15 months)
10D      2003-02-27 (12 months)    300D    2003-08-20
D60      2002-02-22 (21 months)
D30      2000-05-17

Except for the D60 release (*),  the consumer/prosumer
average is more like 12 to 16 months,  placing a
20D successor announcement at August to December.
For the chrismas business an earlier announcement
(and availability) may be better.

(*) Wasn't it the D30 when Canon was overwhelmed
with orders?  Perhaps Canon built up stock on the
D60 as a response to that.

Lars
--
.~.   Lars Michael
/V\   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
/(_)\  http://www.larsmichael.com/

^^ ^^

True, but there's a Feb/Aug symmetry with Canon, and an average of 18 months. The only consumer/prosumer camera that wasn't introduced in one of those two months was the D30. And they've never released a camera's successor in under 12 months. So, I'm sticking with Feb. of next year for a 20D successor... The Canon Museum gives a release date for the 1D of December 2001, the 1D mkII of April 2004, or 28 months.
Skip Middleton
http://www.shadowcatcherimagery.com
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