When you consider that Exxon Mobile, in their 2016 World Energy Outlook:
A View to 2040, (ref:
http://cdn.exxonmobil.com/~/media/global/files/outlook-for-energy/2016/2016-outlook-for-energy.pdf)
on page 62 of 80, has a graph that clearly shows conventional oil
production peaked in 2005. The graph also shows a combination of
Conventional, New conventional, Deepwater, Oil sands and Tight oil
peaking in production around 2040, it seems very short sighted not to
develop EVs (or alternative fuel sourced vehicles). 2040 is only 23
years away and fleet turnover is roughly once every 16 years. Also, the
remaining oil reserves are more expensive to develop. How people get
around after the peak in 2040 is something I think GM would want a share
of that market or they grow irrelevant.
The other possibility is that someone has or is close to storing
hydrogen absorbed in a solid (or liquid) material for later release
under heat, pressure, or sound. GM would then be hedging their bets.
Has anybody read of any recent developments?
Tom is likely on to something. Increasing the range of an EV from 80
miles to 238 is a significant development and there maybe problems as
Tom listed especially if it was done by increasing the Whr/kg energy
density.
On 11/20/16, 1:10 PM, tomw via EV wrote:
A few possible reasons for the slowed introduction of the Bolt:
1) LG Chem has had a glitch in increasing battery production so cannot
supply the planned quantities in the required time frame.
2) GM has discovered some problems with the Bolt which they do not want to
advertise, but need to delay production to implement improvements.
3) GM (or LG Chem) has discovered some ways to significantly reduce
production costs and want get these designed in and implemented before
producing significant product quantity.
4) GM wants to gain field experience with Bolt ownership in a limited way to
see what issues arise to limit warranty/recall costs.
Having worked in product development quite a few years I have personally
experienced analogs of all of these. But, people like to speculate and
believe what they want to believe. Only time will tell.
--
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Sent from the Electric Vehicle Discussion List mailing list archive at
Nabble.com.
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