I think we should switch as much of our transportation systems as possible
to electric, but some of them just can't work with present (and near
future) tech; Long-haul flights.   These are also very carbon intensive!

This is where we need biofuels.

The only problem for battery-electric is scaling it, and doing so without a
huge up front carbon release.

On Sun, May 9, 2021 at 5:07 PM Bill Dennis via EV <[email protected]> wrote:

> Here's a link to a timely video on the hydrogen flying topic:
>
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VFlV1jY6K7Q
>
> Bill
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: EV [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Larry Gales via
> EV
> Sent: Sunday, May 9, 2021 3:09 PM
> To: [email protected]; Electric Vehicle Discussion List
> Cc: Larry Gales
> Subject: Re: [EVDL] opinion article on hydrogen
>
> There are 3 major types of flying to consider: (1) VTOL (mainly
> helicopters), (2) regional flights up to 600 miles (more than 1/2 of all
> commercial flights are within 600 miles), and (3) long distance flights,
> more than 600 miles.
>
> For the first two types, battery powered electric aircraft (like the 600+
> mile range Eviation Alice), and VTOL are simply far superior to what we
> have now, in terms of cleanliness, quietness, safety, smoothness, and
> dramatically lower fuel and maintenance costs.  So, instead of flying less,
> we will likely be flying more, and paying much less.
>
> Some time ago I ran the figures for the cost of CH4 (methane) fuel if we
> created CH4 by (a) electrolyzing water to get H2, (b) using Direct Air
> Capture to get CO2, and (c) using the Sabatier process to produce CH4.
> When burned in a jet engine it is carbon neutral because the CO2 we emit is
> exactly the amount of CO2 that we captured.
>
> I don't remember the exact cost of the fuel, but it was less than twice
> what it is now.  But, given that fuel cost is only 20% of the cost for
> current flights, that translates to prices about 20% more than at present.
>
> So, maybe the very low cost of short range battery powered aircraft which
> makeup more than 1/2 of all flights could subsidize the longer flights?
>
>
>
>
> On Sun, May 9, 2021 at 1:36 PM (-Phil-) via EV <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> > If future true carbon neutral is "handwaving", then I'd love to hear your
> > proposal for long-distance air travel?  What have you got?
> >
> > Right now until we have something like fusion, There isn't any current
> tech
> > that can handle it.  People aren't just going to stop flying.
> >
> > The only path I can see right now is Biofuels, Yes it's dirty now, just
> > like coal on the grid powering EVs, but it most definitely can be fixed
> to
> > be at least carbon neutral.  The solution to get free-enterprise to work
> on
> > this is a real carbon tax.
> >
> > On Sat, May 8, 2021 at 1:46 PM EVDL Administrator <[email protected]>
> wrote:
> >
> > > On 8 May 2021 at 10:10, (-Phil-) via EV wrote:
> > >
> > > > Biofuels can at least be carbon neutral, as you can close the
> > > > carbon cycle.  It will take a long way to get there of course, as the
> > > > complete biofuel production cycle is also still a carbon intensive
> > > > operation, but this can be fixed over time.
> > >
> > > With all due respect, "this can be fixed over time" is a bit too much
> > hand-
> > > waving for my taste.
> > >
> > > The problem with biofuels is that growing and harvesting crops,
> > processing
> > > them, and transporting the fuel to the use point requires substantial
> > > energy
> > > input, and most of it comes from carbon based fuels.  Even fertilizer
> and
> > > pesticides are made from petroleum.  I just don't see that equation
> > > changing
> > > fast enough to get us to carbon-neutral in time.
> > >
> > > The only biofuel application I can think of that *might* get closer
> > sooner
> > > -
> > > and I'm not 100% sure about even this - is electricity generation.  For
> > > example, Uruguay's power system runs largely on pulverized Eucalyptus
> > > wood.
> > > The problem with this is that petroleum giants have governments bought
> > and
> > > paid for, and they can't make money from distributing wood chips as
> > easily
> > > as they can from corn processed into ethanol.
> > >
> > > There's also the fact that food turned into fuel while people are
> > starving
> > > round the world has some ... ethical considerations.
> > >
> > > > To get to electrification quicker, I still think some hybridization
> is
> > > > good.
> > >
> > > Your point about improving utilization of limited battery-production
> > > capacity is a good one.  We need to keep plugging ahead (sorry) with
> > > battery
> > > recycling, and with developing batteries that use less exotic
> materials.
> > > NiMH, anyone?  Hello?
> > >
> > > But at the consumer level, I think that the use case for hybrids - I
> mean
> > > real ones, not "you naver have to plug it in" pseudo-hybrids - is
> fading
> > > as
> > > true BEV battery capacity grows and rapid charging facilities multiply.
> > >
> > > It's also easier and more efficient to add PV capacity to EV charging
> > than
> > > it is to add "renewability" to ICEV refueling.
> > >
> > > Finally, a BEV is mechanically much simpler and at least theoretically
> > > more
> > > reliable than an ICEV, let alone a hybrid with the complexity of both.
> I
> > > haven't run the numbers, but intuitively, manufacturing a BEV has to be
> > > less
> > > carbon intensive than manufacturing a hybrid, and it should have a
> longer
> > > service life.
> > >
> > > Like LPs and phono cartridges in 1980, today's ICEVs are highly
> complex,
> > > almost impossibly refined machines only made affordable by serial
> > > production
> > > and massive amounts of long-term development.
> > >
> > > Like CD players in the late 1980s and early 1990s, EVs are evolving
> > > rapidly
> > > and quickly declining in cost, thanks to economy of scale and research
> > > into
> > > battery optimization.
> > >
> > > Perhaps I'm being uncharacteristically overoptimistic, and I could
> > > certainly
> > > be wrong, but I think that what CDs did to LPs by 1995 is what EVs are
> > > poised to do to ICEVs now - if politicians will let them.  True hybrids
> > > may
> > > still have a place, but I think (and hope) not for much longer.
> > >
> > > David Roden, EVDL moderator & general lackey
> > >
> > > To reach me, don't reply to this message; I won't get it.  Use my
> > > offlist address here : http://evdl.org/help/index.html#supt
> > >
> > > = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =
> > >      That's not a "cloud,"  It's just someone else's computer.
> > >
> > >                                         -- Anonymous
> > > = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =
> > >
> > >
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>
> --
> Larry Gales
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