2009/2/9 Jack Mallah <[email protected]>: > You might die between 4 and 30, but the chance is fairly small, let's say 10% > for the sake of argument. So, if we just consider these two ages, the > effective probability of being 30 would be a little less than that of being 4 > - not enough less to draw any conclusions from. > > The period of adulthood is longer than that of childhood so actually you are > more likely to be an adult. How likely? Just look at a cross section of the > population. Some children, more adults, basically no super-old folks.
Suppose I did something extremely risky as a child and survived. The multiverse is as a result much more densely filled with my childhood OM's. Now, it is true that a randomly sampled OM out of all the possible OM's available to me is more likely to be one of these childhood OM's, but random sampling of this sort is not how life works. When I anticipate my future, the only options I need consider are those OM's which have my present OM in their immediate subjective past. I can't jump backwards into my childhood and I can't stand still at the present moment if my present OM's measure is increased enormously, any more than can I suddenly find myself a different person entirely because their measure is a lot greater than mine. Given that I am who I am now, there are constraints as to what candidate OM's are allowed in the lucky dip for my next conscious moment. -- Stathis Papaioannou --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list?hl=en -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
