--- On Sun, 2/8/09, Stathis Papaioannou <stath...@gmail.com> wrote:
> > Suppose you differentiate into N states, then on
> average each has 1/N of your original measure. I guess
> that's why you think the measure decreases. But the sum
> of the measures is N/N of the original.
> I still find this confusing. Your argument seems to be that you won't live to
> 1000 because the measure of 1000 year old versions of you in the multiverse
> is very small - the total consciousness across the multiverse is much less
> for 1000 year olds than 30 year olds. But by an analogous argument, the
> measure of 4 year old OM's is higher than that of 30 year old OM's, since you
> might die between age 4 and 30.
> But here you are, an adult rather than a child.
You might die between 4 and 30, but the chance is fairly small, let's say 10%
for the sake of argument. So, if we just consider these two ages, the
effective probability of being 30 would be a little less than that of being 4 -
not enough less to draw any conclusions from.
The period of adulthood is longer than that of childhood so actually you are
more likely to be an adult. How likely? Just look at a cross section of the
population. Some children, more adults, basically no super-old folks.
> Should you feel your consciousness more thinly spread or something?
No, measure affects how common an observation is, not what it feels like.
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