On Tue, Sep 10, 2013 at 12:02 PM, Alberto G. Corona <[email protected]> wrote:
> I think that the whole business of putting numbers to fitness and so on
> either is flawed or alternatively if the parameter is accurate, it is
> useless.

Snow leopards are much more likely to go extinct than E. Coli
bacteria. The latter are much less complex, so evolved complexity
doesn't always help. I think this is an interesting fact.

> In the long term anything could happen. I can have 10 children in a flawed
> society that enter in decadence and war. And maybe I support the ideas that
> push this society to the limits.  Then most of these sons die a few decades
> later by war, hunger etc. What was my fitness?.

It was zero, but for most of the people that had 10 children it turned
out to be high, so a high estimation was a reasonable one. Couldn't
this criticism be applied to statistics in general? Pill X cures 99.9%
of people with pneumonia, but it killed Mr. Y because he had a weird
genetic mutation. Was it reasonable to give Mr. Y the pill?

Telmo.

>
> 2013/9/10 Telmo Menezes <[email protected]>
>>
>> On Tue, Sep 10, 2013 at 1:52 AM, Russell Standish <[email protected]>
>> wrote:
>> > On Mon, Sep 09, 2013 at 11:58:37AM +0200, Telmo Menezes wrote:
>> >> Hi Alberto,
>> >>
>> >> On Mon, Sep 9, 2013 at 10:55 AM, Alberto G. Corona
>> >> <[email protected]> wrote:
>> >> > I think that there are real progress that can be even measured in
>> >> > terms of
>> >> > entropic order. That a man embodies more structure and organization
>> >> > than a
>> >> > bacteria is objective and measurable, and it is a product  of more
>> >> > emergent
>> >> > levels of evolution. In concrete the human being includes the
>> >> > eucariotic
>> >> > level, the multicelularity level and human society level, that are
>> >> > aggregations of coordinated individuals to achieve an individuality
>> >> > of an
>> >> > higher level. These levels are absent in bacteria .
>> >>
>> >> Ok, there's an arrow of complexification, that's undeniable. I'm not
>> >> convinced that Darwinism alone explains that. One of the reasons for
>> >> my scepticism is the failure of ALife models to replicate unbounded
>> >> complexification. My favourite attempt in this domain is the Echo
>> >> model by John Holland -- which is beautiful but didn't work in this
>> >> sense. There's also Tierra/Avida, where you get a lot of interesting
>> >> stuff but no unbounded complexification.
>> >>
>> >> One idea I heard but don't know whom to attribute to is this:
>> >> evolutionary complexification is just an artefact of the simplicity of
>> >> the initial state. The idea being that the laws of physics inherently
>> >> contain a "pressure" towards a certain level of complexity and that
>> >> evolution is just following the path of least resitance, in a way. It
>> >> is then conceivable that there is a state of equilibrium that we
>> >> haven't reached yet and that complexification will halt at some point.
>> >> This is wild speculation, of course, but I like to ponder on this
>> >> hypothesis.
>> >>
>> >
>> > I think this idea goes by the name of "modal bacter". It was, perhaps,
>> > most
>> > forcefully argued in Stephen Gould's 1996 book "Full House".
>>
>> Thanks Russell!
>>
>> > I suspect the idea is wrong, because it fails to explain the
>> > exponential growth of diversity, seemingly observed by
>> > Palaeontologists such as Michael Benton:
>> >
>> > @Article{Benton01,
>> >   author =       {Michael J. Benton},
>> >   title =        {Biodiversity on Land and in the Sea},
>> >   journal =      {Geological Journal},
>> >   year =         2001,
>> >   volume =       36,
>> >   pages =        {211--230}
>> > }
>>
>> Ok, but I guess that depends on how we measure diversity, which is not
>> a trivial matter. From a quick look at this paper, it seems to focus
>> on the number of biological orders/families/genus. Suppose we were
>> able to estimate the Kolmogorov complexity of the entire ecosystem, do
>> you figure it would also grow exponentially?
>>
>> >> > What is not true is that human beings are more "adapted" than
>> >> > bacteria. That
>> >> > is not true. Because there is no objective and absolute measure of
>> >> > adaptation. It ever depends on the concrete environment, and varies a
>> >> > lot.
>> >>
>> >> Humm... I think ecologists are able to estimate the likelihood of a
>> >> species going extinct. I'd argue that this could be taken as a measure
>> >> of adaption.
>> >>
>> >
>> > That measure is called persistence, and no, it is not really related to
>> > adaption. For an adaption measure, one good possibility is Mark
>> > Bedau's "cumulative evolutionary activity"
>> >
>> > @InProceedings{Bedau-etal98,
>> >   author =       {Mark A. Bedau and Emile Snyder and Norman H. Packard},
>> >   title =        {A Classification of Long-Term Evolutionary Dynamics},
>> >   crossref =     {ALifeVI},
>> >   pages={228--237}
>> > }
>>
>> I read this paper some years ago, it's a very nice one.
>> I would say that cumulative evolutionary activity is a metric that
>> applies to the entire evolutionary system as a whole. The article
>> makes it depressingly clear the Holland's Echo does not match the
>> unbounded evolution dynamics found in the fossil record. But maybe I'm
>> missing something.
>>
>> In the previous discussion I was arguing that persistence could be
>> intuitively taken as a fitness measure of some specific population or
>> species, and I still feel that's the case. If you want to estimate the
>> biological fitness of an individual, you could determine an analogous
>> probability of the individual producing x viable offsprings before
>> dying.
>>
>> I think.
>>
>> Telmo.
>>
>> >
>> > --
>> >
>> >
>> > ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>> > Prof Russell Standish                  Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
>> > Principal, High Performance Coders
>> > Visiting Professor of Mathematics      [email protected]
>> > University of New South Wales          http://www.hpcoders.com.au
>> >
>> > ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
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>
>
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> Alberto.
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