On Sun, Nov 17, 2013 at 2:38 PM, Chris de Morsella <cdemorse...@yahoo.com>wrote:


 > No you don’t know that at all. You don’t have some crystal ball and are
> just quoting from studies that have been criticized as very much low
> balling the ultimate number of cancer deaths attributable to Chernobyl.
> Other studies have come up with much higher numbers – ranging into the
> millions. For example the TORCH report commissioned by the German Green
> Party[...]
>
Can you think of a reason the German Green Party






> that included areas not covered by the WHO report that produced the 4000
> figure you quote. It concluded that the death toll from cancer is more
> likely to be around 30,000 to 60,000 extra incurred deaths. We could go on
> till the sun comes up – you present a study and I can present another
> study. It is hard to correlate cancer deaths that may happen decades even
> after the originating event with some event and the statistical
> methodologies used are all open to argument --- and the numbers can be
> moved about by changing boundary conditions etc.
>
> Besides the cancer deaths, what about the 2,600 kilometer square exclusion
> zone – that is a very big area. What is the dollar value on that?
>
>
> http://www.nytimes.com/2005/09/05/world/europe/05iht-nuke.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0
>
>
>
> And however many cancers Fukushima turns out to have been made it is
> unlikely to be more than the cancers made by a average run of the mill coal
> power electric plant that never had a industrial accident.
>
> So say you. You speak of Fukushima as if it was an event that happened in
> the past – the disaster is still unfolding and Tepco cannot even say where
> the nuclear material in the  cores of units #1, #2, and #3 is located. A
> run of the mill industrial accident does not produce an essentially
> permanent and very large exclusion zone – affecting the lives of hundreds
> of thousands of uprooted atomic refugees -- as has Chernobyl and now once
> again Fukushima. The cost to sequester the Fukushima disaster will run into
> the many hundreds of billions of dollars – hardly a run of the mill price
> tag.
>
> There is nothing run of the mill about Fukushima – to suggest so is rather
> obscene.
>
> Chris
>
>
>
>   John K Clark
>
>
>
>
>
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