On Thu, Apr 3, 2014 at 4:05 PM, Chris de Morsella <[email protected]>wrote:

> Solar PV is here today
>

Solar PV has been here for 60 years and THOUSANDS of  times more money has
been spent developing it than has been spent on LFTR R&D, and yet solar PV
is still just a rounding error in our total energy budget.

> I see the practical technological limits that constrain what can actually
> be accomplished.
>

Apparently not.


>> Oh for heavens sake! There is no Uranium shortage and Thorium is 4 times
>> as abundant and easier to separate from it's ore than Uranium is, and we
>> can only get energy from .7% of the Uranium but  we can use 100% of the
>> Thorium! So do you REALLY want to say we shouldn't consider Thorium because
>> we can't get enough of it??
>>
>
> > Wrong again
>

I want to know if I really understand you correctly, are you saying that a
major problem (or even a minor problem) with using Thorium for energy is
that there isn't enough of it? Is that really your position?


> > the world is facing a recoverable uranium peak that will be reached
> within a decade or two (at current extraction rates, if nuclear is ramped
> up peak uranium will be reached that much sooner).
>

Uranium prices are the lowest they've been in  8 years. I found a chart for
the last 5 years:



And so I would like to make a public bet with you and see if you're willing
to put your money where your mouth is. You say the shit will hit the fan
within a decade or two, so if before April 4 2024 there is widespread
reactor shutdowns because of Uranium shortages (and not due to temper
tantrums from environmentalists) then, assuming I'm still alive, I will
send you $1000; if there are not widespread reactor shutdowns because of
Uranium shortages before April 4 2024 then, assuming you're still alive,
you only needs to send me $100. So do we have a bet? Come on I'm giving you
10 to 1 odds!

>> You are the one making the claim that extracting 12 grams of Thorium
>> from one meter of dirt would take more energy than the Thorium could
>> produce, so it is up to you to show it's true; although nobody would be
>> dumb enough to bother with such dirt when there is ore that contains 50%
>> Thorium available.
>>
>
> > Whatever.
>

Yes, whatever.

> I do not inhabit the same magical thinking universe you seem to live in.
>

How nice for you, therefore by accepting my bet you can make an easy $1000.

John K Clark

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