RE: cannabis, cancer and mechanism, and climate.

Tue, 22 Apr 2014 20:25:32 -0700 

 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of LizR

 

Yes they're trying to reduce smog but that should still have that effect to 
some extent (reducing AGW). But yes, clean green energy is needed - maybe 
nuclear reactors (Russia is doing a good line in small portable reactors, I 
believe). Probably not THE best solution but needs must...

 

Solar PV is on, continues to be on and has long been on a path of geometric 
growth and of rapidly falling prices. Within five years or so it is going to be 
the least expensive form of electric power generation bar none; and will have a 
very large existing manufacturing base able to churn out the equivalent of many 
new nuclear power plants per year. People need to understand geometric growth 
in order to understand the what is going on with PV. Already PV supplies about 
1% of the world’s electricity. It’s capacity (and hence capacity to produce) is 
doubling every two and a half years or so. How many doublings of 1% does it 
take to become the dominant electric energy supply?

Not that many with just five doublings it reaches 32% of total generation, 
which would definitely make it the dominant electric energy player. I have been 
hearing prognosticators pronounce solar dead every year – several times a year 
– for the past ten years – if I had a nickel for every “in the know” person who 
has told me it is dead I could at least buy myself a very nice dinner. For an 
alleged corpse it has proven to be remarkably dynamic…. No? 

The global – Asia centered – solar sector, already has a well-developed global 
supply chain from mine to rooftop; it has achieved the kind of scale that 
ensures it can and will continue to muscle its way into the world electricity 
markets, inexorably expanding its market share.

Solar is going to win on price. And that is the reason it is going to win. 

 

On 23 April 2014 14:04, <spudboy...@aol.com> wrote:


Understood, but China is not pursuing a policy of eliminating AGW, but reducing 
smog in its cities. Its not a kumbaya  moment now for anything nowbin east asia 
as you hsve noticed, regarding china. The best way then to reduce carbon 
emissions is to develop clean energy generators, that can be installed quickly, 
reliably, abundantly, and china will follow, because it will be cleaner then 
coal, and quicker and cheaper thsn nukes. But it must be available to buy or 
steal from us, so if the chinese do this, it will help us never the less.

 

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