On 21 May 2014, at 10:50, Alberto G. Corona wrote:

2014-05-21 9:34 GMT+02:00, Bruno Marchal <[email protected]>:

On 20 May 2014, at 13:22, Alberto G. Corona wrote:

falsification is a susceptible to circularity, since the data must be
interpreted ever under a theory. that theory is the one that we want
to test. So a nascent science can be circular at the first stages and then can grow to predict a fact , previously unknown that demonstrates
that another is wrong. Or in the contrary it can remain circular
forever.

That can happen. But the data can be made easy to interpret in some
domain, like with only "yes/no" experiences, like saying "an asteroid
will appear in that portion of the sky at that times".


That "Yes/no" assures nothing, and there we can see the bias toward
"simplicity-implies-truth-per-se"  also known as Ocham Razor that the
scientist  cripto-metaphisics uses constantly and improperly  without
any deep analysis.

?
Simplicity does not implies truth, here, but the false, in case of falsification, on which we were talking about.




that "yes/no" implies nothing because the result has to be interpreted
according with the the theory at hand.

I don't think so, beyond the ability to distinguish if a needle is on "yes" or "no", and the admission that if the theory was predicting a quasi-certain "yes" (or "no"), and we get "no" (or yes) the theory has to be revised (independently of the interpretation.



 For example:  Geocentrism
predict with a 100% that tomorrow morning the sun will shine on the
East at that angle at that hour. If that is not the case, geocentrism
is false.

Obviously that prediction means nothing.

Indeed. But science never proves, nor even assert anything on reality. But observation can forces us to revise a theory.




In reality falsacionism has nothing to do with what gibbsa tell us.
Falsacionism is not about predictions, bu about  observatons that must
not happen if the theory is true.

OK.


That, implies the need to design an
experiment or observations that would falsify the theory.


OK.



But again, this observation becomes ambiguous or useless outside of a
few hard sciences.

I don't believe in hard science versus soft science. Science is always hard. "soft science" is pseudo-science, tolerated because by tradition, if not biology, we use the authoritative argument in the real life all the time, in one way or in another.




And falsacionism in the interesting sciences, where
the complexity of the phenomena are at the level of the human
experience,  becomes simply a methodology for the advancement of a
discipline rather than a demarcation critieria:  "Find the exceptions
to the theory to try to refine it". For that purpose, my grandmother,
that knows nothing about philosophy of science neither demarcation
would have told me the same.

All these fanfarres and grandiloquent terms that sanctifies the
holiness of science are nothing but cavemen in search for something to
worship


In the public domain, that is all we have to develop theories, like the theory that we have parents, or that the ground can sustain our body, or that water can boil.

In the private domain, we have (first person) experiences, but we cannot use them, except as data in the field which study those experiences. Of course they can inspire us in the choice of a theory.

Like I said often, I think that "science" simply does not exist. What exists are humans with some degree of scientific attitude in some domains. Today, it is just still very badly seen to adopt that attitude in the fundamental or human field, because humans knows that falsity, there, enables simple lucrative manipulation with big benefits in the short run. Of course there are other reasons, like the fear of death, but even this exploited by those who search power, and are non interested in knowledge and possible truth. People prefers an inconvenient falsity to an inconvenient truth or ignorance.

Bruno




Alberto.


2014-05-21 9:34 GMT+02:00, Bruno Marchal <[email protected]>:

On 20 May 2014, at 13:22, Alberto G. Corona wrote:

falsification is a susceptible to circularity, since the data must be
interpreted ever under a theory. that theory is the one that we want
to test. So a nascent science can be circular at the first stages and then can grow to predict a fact , previously unknown that demonstrates
that another is wrong. Or in the contrary it can remain circular
forever.

That can happen. But the data can be made easy to interpret in some
domain, like with only "yes/no" experiences, like saying "an asteroid
will appear in that portion of the sky at that times".



Other successful theories can develop a methodology so elaborate that
can claim reductionist appropriation of the rest of the disciplines,
arguing that, because these other disciplines have not yet a clear
falsification methodology, all that they say is mambo-jambo.

Good point.



Yet another ones, feeling envy of the previous ones, can adopt
inappropriately the metodology of the more elaborated and precise
ones. For example, in zoology, by measuring the heigh and standard
deviation of the gorllas. And claiming that zoology has at last
applied the falsifiable method of hard sciences. So it is a true
science. When in reality they have reduced zoology , or pshychology,
or sociology to irrelevance.

That happens, yes.



Yet another schools will react against this reaction and claim that
their discipline has his own level of irreductible reality with no
possible explanation at a lower lever for any aspect whatsoever, and
claim that all that reductionism is imperialism and fascism. And that even if it is not falsifiable, the defense of the gays or the negro or
the Amazonas, or the global change or whatever is also  scence and I
deserve a seat in the university or , if you date to oppose, you are a
fascist.

But we do not know when a enquiry will be fruitful, will overcome his circularity and will become "predictive" in the falsifiable sense. We
do not know if this discipline has been victim of fashionable
reductionism or simply we don´t know, may be ..

Some times the philosophy can prevent progress. The first positivist
were again microscopes (I read sometime ago, but have not verified).




The more interesting disciplines for me, are the ones that study facts
and make predictions at long term and very long term. The more
relevant a discipline is for human life, the less is possible to
isolate it in a laboratory.

I can agree with this.



That is the tragedy of reductionism. We
have unlearned tons of knowledge thanks to the scientific
reductionism. the worship of science and all these methodological
reverence

That reductionism is often based on a theology who hides itself. It is
not a scientific reduction, it is a misuse of occam razor, where the
baby is thrown out of the bath with the water.



So any kind of enguiry goes, including the "un-scientific",
"oscurantists" "moronic" and other kinds of disciplines that have no
fancy insults against the holy priest of science that may question
them, have no subsidies and have no politics and no influential
minorities behind to defend themselves.


OK. That is why we have to be careful. There are genuine reduction,
made in some theory, and non genuine one, which imposed an opinion
without evidence. We have just to be rigorous and vigilant.

Bruno





2014-05-19 21:54 GMT+02:00, [email protected] <[email protected]>:

On Monday, May 19, 2014 8:09:15 PM UTC+1, Bruno Marchal wrote:


On 19 May 2014, at 16:46, [email protected] <javascript:> wrote:


On Monday, May 19, 2014 8:31:53 AM UTC+1, Bruno Marchal wrote:


On 19 May 2014, at 01:10, [email protected] wrote:

I'm going to bullet point the key, hard-to-vary, components that
may or
may not result in falsification. In doing so, I will be stating
not my
personal preference, but the long standing convention. In light
of this
faithfulness simply to what it actually is, I feel a little
aggrieved by

the stream of unrelenting dismissiveness, resorts to claims of
unintelligibility on my part, allegations of ill motivation,
irrelevance

and the rest of it.

So I will bullet point it here, very briefly. And if the same
individuals

want to continue the way they are going, I shall suggest they put
their
money where their mouths are, and lay cash wager which one of us is
correct, and we shall take our dispute to some of the major and
esteemed leading scientists of our time. And then we shall see.

Falsification.

1. A precise, non-trivial prediction must be found in a theory,
with the

following two key characteristics: It says something NEW about the
world, that goes over and above an Explanation of that which we
already know. Second, that it may be formulated with complete
separation

and independence from the theory from which it spawns, and stated
entirely
within the pre-existing realm of the incumbent hard won knowledge
already

in place. This is the first layer of separation. The theory from
the
prediction, the prediction in terms of the incumbent theory of
the world.


2. Second. The theorist has no SAY, more than any other person,
in how
the prediction will be tested. The end to end process
encapsulating all
components involved in the eventual lead up to an observation
event, is
ENTIRELY outside the theory and the argumentations of the
theorist. This
is
the second layer of separation,.

3. Third, an even higher level of separation must be met, between
the two

strands of science, on the one side being the source of the
prediction
and
on the other the source of the observation. As such, two
distinctive
paradigms of science are necessary. If one is theory deriving,
the other
is
technological. If one is human creative, the other is empirical.
If one
field produces the prediction, another field tests the
prediction. Like
Physics, and astronomy.

This is the multifolding degrees of separation that set us free
from our

own delusions and dreams and imagings, that had dominated our
condition
since the dawn of our and made us prisoners in palaces of
ignorance which

no human had ever broken free of. It was only with this, this
extreme
dedication to not believing a word of our own sayings, and
trusting to
no-one that they could know let alone control the huge
assumptions we all

would be sneaking through, without even knowing it, where there
not these

multiple layers of separation for the first time...maybe in the
whole
universe....set a kind free and opened an age of objective
discovery.

This matters. A lot. To everyone, all humans. It matters when
someone
misconceives this fundamemental bedrock of science. It isn't ok for
people
to make up their own meanings for falsification. It isn't
virtuous at all

to write free passes. Because we could actually this precious
beautiful
thing. And then all we would have is what we had before. Dreams and
delusions and priests and medicine men, and nothing that ever
took root
and
grew.

So I am passion for this. I love science. I am loyal to science.
I'm fine

with comp and whatever else anyone wants to believe. But let's
remember
and
allow ourselves to be reminded what is fundamental to the
scientific
revolution. If someone needs to relearn the nature and
distinctiveness of

falsification, there's no shame in that. But it isn't right to
make our
own
versions up, and say its the same, when it's stripped of the hard-
to-vary

fundamental character of separation

Let's lay bets if that's what it'll  take. If Bruno stands by his
claims

to falsifiability and the definitions he has attached to
falsifiability.

Let's go to it..we can go all the way. Let's see what leading
scientific

minds of our day think it is.



You don't take the argument in the right way.

UDA shows that comp predicts a priori something new: white
rabbits. In
fact UDA looks like a refutation of comp. Then AUDA shows that this
refutation is invalid, by showing that the machines refutes it in
showing

that the comp physical propositions are quantized and obey a
quantum
logic.
Then if you look at the details, it predicts a quantum logic
(even 3, or

even 5 in some sense), and each one makes slightly different
predictions,

which might help to locate the origin of the quantum law (is it
in Z1 or
in
Z1*, or in S4Grz1, etc...).

The point is logical. IF comp is correct and if you accept the
classical

definition of knowledge, etc. Then the laws of physics are given
by the
measure that you can extracts from self-referential logic. It is
not
obvious at all that the comp measure exists at all, and so the
discovery

that the comp physics is quantized is a non trivial discovery,
and the
first working (up to now) explanation of where the laws of
physics come
from, where consciousness comes from, etc.

Physicists just do not aboard the question and use an identity
mind-brain

link which is shown inconsistent with comp.

Comp does this in a testable way, by providing theorem prover for
the
propositional physics. S4Grz1 might gives the exact orthomodular
quantum

logic of von Neumann, and Z1* with X1* are given some variants,
where the

symmetry is broken above the atomic propositions. I am still
unsure of
the
significance of the facts that we get physics on three horizontal
in the
5
= 8 arithmetical hypostases. It looks like heaven has its own
quantum
physics.

I am a logician. I just provides a proof that IF we survive the
digitalist yes-doctor move, then the laws of physics arise from
arithmetic
in this precise way, and you can already test this (and that has
been
tested, and thanks to both QM and Gödel, the test shows that up
to now,
the
comp white rabbits are eliminated in the same manner than in the
quantum

physical reality. Good point for both comp and the quantum. But
only the

simplest quantum tautologies have been tested, for technical
reason. So
the
next step, for the future generations, when all this will be
basic, will

consists in optimizing the theorem prover, and testing other
tautologies.

There must be difference if comp is true, as the known quantum
logic does

not provide the hamiltonian. In fact with comp, we get the
correct (comp)

physics at once (QL + GR, if you want), and this is not yet done in
physics. To be sure, the test can show only that comp is false or
that we

are in a genuinely fake second order simulation. But this does
not change

the fact that comp predicts specific numbers. if we don't find
those
numbers (until now we find the good one) it means comp is false,
or we
are
in a second order emulation: two astonishing facts. In all case,
comp
refutes physicalism, and at the least illustrate a rational and
coherent

view of reality and which prevents elimination of person,
consciousness,

and any reductionism of what a Löbian entity can be.
Physicalism fails systematically on all this.

Bruno


Hi Bruno, well ....at this point we're both well into an exchange.



We agree on that.


If I put a major effort into making a position clear and your
response is

"you don't get the point" then chances are...unless you're right
and I
have
absolutely no point at all....unless that...chances are you aren't
getting

the point either. I don't see why things have to be like this.



I propose a checkable reasoning, showing that a theological point is
testable albeit in a sort of indirect way.


I've no reason - or skills - to think otherwise. I really want re-
emphasize

what I've said many times  but would acknowledge much less more
recently
and not for what is probably too long, that I have never questioned
the
quality of your logic, your reasoning, your scientific training, your
commitment to science. I have never stepped onto turf like
this....largely
because although it isn't true that I haven't given considerable
time to
your ideas and to you, it's true all the same I simply don't have the
skills, knowledge and competencies to be making judgement calls
like that.

There has been two themes between us. One I apparently never
succeeded in
making myself comprehensible to you about.....,that was the problem
of
UNREALIZED assumptions.

The other is contained entirely within two components, one - yours
- that
your work is falsifiable in the scientific sense; the other - mine
- being
that no it ain't.

One might draw a parallel between me saying that, and me inflicting
an
attempted major slight on all those qualities I just said I've no
ability
to say about. But that isn't so, for two reasons. The matter of
falsification is OUTSIDE yours or anyone's theory. In the
scientific sense.

So I don't need to be competent in your theory. I only need to see an
actual, non-trivial prediction that other people on the other side
of the
world have picked up and are actively at whatever stage of trying
to test.
Because that prediction isn't allowed to be decided by the new
distinctiveness of your own theory...not in the scientific sense.

This isn't even something that needs a reference for. It's just an
effective reality for all practical purposes. Almost every
component, every

datum in your linked reasoning within your theory effectively makes a
prediction about something else within your theory. So it's replete
with
abundant pairs of falsifiable predictions followed by avid
confirmation.
Not for everyone;'s theory mind you....because internal
inconsistencies and

oversights are little falsifications aren't they. But I really do
accept
and believe in the hard work and logical commitment you have given
to your
work.

But in terms of falsifiability it's simply neither here nor there.


I know what I have done, and it is has been peer reviewed by
hundred of
people. It is far more modest than what you might perhaps imagine,
although
it is might look radical, in case you believe religiously in
Aristotle
primary matter *and* in mechanism.

I don't think you can really judged the testability criteria, if
you don't

study the proofs. UDA explains why, and AUDA explains how.

It seems to me that you want maintain the debate at some meta- level,
instead of focusing on the work itself.

Your way of talking might give the feeling to a casual reader that
there
is something wrong with what I say, or that I am suggesting a
revolutionary
theory. UDA for me as only a relind that science has not solved
the mind
body problem, and then, thanks to Gödel, Löb, etc., I have the
tools to
interview the machine ("literally") on this, and get the
propositional
logic of the observable.
My thesis is in computer science, mathematical logic, cognitive
science,
platonist machine theology, etc.



Could I just step ahead for a moment,


I think you were already ahead, but OK, let us see.


and imagine a scenario that, say, it was correct that you should
not claim

falsifiability.


That is so distracting.





This is nothing like as important as you might be thinking it is.
I've
seen you talk bout science and often make a bit centre piece about
falsifiability.



Not at all. John Case and some student of him have refuted the
falsifiability criteria, showing in the Popperian way that its was
(and
still is) interesting. But for inductive inference machines, it
limits
their learnability prowess.

I have my own philosophy, but it is private, if only because if I
make it

public, people will believe I use it in the math, which is not the
case.




But I would personally look at things much more like Russell
Standish in
his reply above. There's actually nothing of particular value about
falsifiability.


That's another debate. As a mathematician, I will not put 0+x = x,
despite

in some philosophy that is not refutable/falsifiable.
But scientific statement about the physical reality have to be
testable
and should be comparable with result of observation, or general
principle

linking those observations.




It's much more a functional status...an actual real functional
status of a

body of work. If there is a directly falsifiable prediction...


My first theory used only []p for both the knower and physics,
separated
by the sigma_1 restriction, and G/G*. Well, I compared to quantum
logic,
or
even more general probability logic or credibility logic, and it
failed.
But more reflexion made me realize that incompleteness introduce
more
nuances, and indeed on those one, we get the quantization needed
to have a

measure one of credibility.



something that people other than the theorist can look at and
understand
without needing to know anything specialized to the theory or
theorist.



Sure. It happens that it is less easy than it seems. But all the
tools are

there. Just enumerate the comp physical propositional formula and
the
quantum propositional formula. Up to what I have been able to
verify, it
fits.

We "discover" physics from inside the mind of the machine, which
is a
tradition interrupted since 1500 years, and I do that since about
yesterday.

And we discover physics in the reverse order than the physicists.
The MW
is almost the obvious start, given that all computations exists in
elementary arithmetic, then we get the quantum tautologies, the
symmetry
of
the bottom,  i hope for the linearity, that is QM, and the
classical part

of the physical experience, the Hamiltonian,  is what is the
harder to
derive, and may be it is geographical. open problem. It looks we
do need a

universal group, and that is on the horizon of the material
hypostases
(the
arithmetical []p & (& <>t) on p sigma_1, seen at the G* level).




Then the process has begun, this being the first step of the end-
to-end
structure defining "falsifiability". This is when people would
rightly be

going around saying, well "my theory is falsifiable". Because
pending any

new science or technology necessary first, the theory indeed is,
and in
due
course will be, or not,.

But there are other stages no less important. In my view you have
defined

some interesting hypotheses for new arrangements of testing and
verification. I really think you should hive these ideas off, and
take
them
seriously. It'd be an amazing contribution if a set of standards
came out

eventually that managed to decouple science from empirical
measurement,
for
example, but in a way that in no way undermined all the
separations and
rigour of science.


But that is called theoretical science. Now the computationalist
hypothesis has this nice property: it relates fundamental question
(including the origin of the physical laws and of consciousness)
with
problems of computer science. Which has many aspect testable by
math alone

(which I have done), and some aspect can be tested with nature
(the logic

of the observable).






I mean, it's got to be done by someone. Because we can't see
beyond the
light cone, or back before the beginning, or underneath or over
the hood.

We're at the edge man, so a new kind of structure is going to have
to be
found by someone.



I think it has been found. It is the universal machines/numbers. It
changes the whole picture, and makes sense of the coming bak to
Plato,
where physics is not the reality but the border of some other
reality.





All I feel strongly about is that we value and appreciate what
conventional historical 'falsification' actually was, and don't
devalue or

obscure it, Because it's given us everything. And within
it...study of its

structure...there are possible the seeds of insight that could be
key for

whoever will discover the next way forward.


Why not focus of something which has been done.

It is hard for me to see your point, except as being vaguely
negative, and

speculative about the non falsifiability, instead of learning the
details,

and the sense in which it is falsifiable, indeed.

Now it is technical work, peer reviewed and having gone through
all the
academic tests, so I find unfair to rise doubt on this without you
ever
focusing on the points, where I can imagine a possible systematic
error
unseen till now, or whatever.

My work is, by definition, a deduction, that you get, or don't
get, and if

that is the case, you can ask a question. For example John Clark
has a
problem with step 3, which I think is not a problem for many
others, but
at
least he says where he halts. Where do you halt? I don't
understand what
you seem to not understand or be blasé about?

If backtracking 1500 years of theology was not moving forward
enough ! :)

That 's what the machines already tell us, in some precise sense,
and you

better should listen now, because the singularity is soon, and
machines
will soon only repeat the media and the authoritative arguments, and
become
as stupid as us. Fight for the net neutrality, before the Löbian
machines

are sent to the gulags.

Bruno













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