On 04 Jul 2014, at 04:35, meekerdb wrote:

On 7/3/2014 7:19 PM, LizR wrote:
On 3 July 2014 05:16, Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> wrote:
On 01 Jul 2014, at 21:16, meekerdb wrote:
On 7/1/2014 9:40 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
But you don't have to prove something doesn't exist to reasonably fail to believe that it does. I don't have proof that there is no teapot orbiting Jupiter, but that doesn't make me epitemologically irresponsible to assert I don't believe there is one.

Careful as "I don't believe there is a teapot" is different from "I believe there is no teapot".

Personally, I don't believe that there is teapot orbiting Jupiter, but why would I believe that there is no teapot? I have no real evidences for that too. I have only a speculation extrapolated from my limited knowledge of teapot and Jupiter.

I might *bet* that there is no teapot, but then I can easily conceive losing the bet, by the usual "bad luck".

How you would bet and at what odds is the real measure of belief. I think you believe there is no teapot.

I think that the presence of such teapot is highly implausible. But I can't be sure.

I think the presence of my own teapot at home is highly plausible, but I can't be completely sure about that either.

For all we know the solar system may be littered with teapots left by visiting aliens. I wouldn't give the idea house room if designing the shielding on a space craft, and if pressed I would work out the chances of it being true using the Drake equation (with the Arthur Dent modification) and no doubt end up with the probability being exceedingly low.

But I don't believe "there is no teapot". I do believe it is highly unlikely that there is one (or more).


I was careful. I wrote, "I don't believe there is one." In exactly the same sense, I don't believe there is a theist god and hence am an a-theist.

Then you are agnostic in the common sense of the word.

I know that atheists dispute on this.

That is why, respecting that fuzziness, I use the mabel "strong atheists" for those who vindicate the strong sense of believing that the theist God does not exist. But even the Theist god is a quite fuzzy notion, and I prefer to start from a problem, like the mind-body problem, and then choose name for concepts by name which fits the best literature.

I think that scientist should be agnostic on everything, and just make their theories and deduce in them. Even theologians.

Bruno




Brent


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http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



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