On Thu, Sep 21, 2017 at 1:54 PM, John Clark <[email protected]> wrote:

> On Wed, Sep 20, 2017 at 6:20 PM, Terren Suydam <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
> ​>> ​
>>> ​My expectation is after I enter the duplicator
>>> ​is ​
>>> I will be in Santa Claus's workshop
>>>
>>
>> ​> ​
>> On what basis would you expect that?
>>
>
> Freud
> ​ ​
> would say it's because I had bad potty training when I was a
> ​n​
> infant
> ​, but ​
> who know
> s and​
> who
> ​cares what
> caused
> me to expect that​
> ;
> ​ whatever the cause ​
> the fact remains I
> ​do ​
> expect to be in
> ​​
> Santa Claus's workshop
> ​, I may be wrong but that's what I expect. But How anybody's expectations
> have any relevance to the computational theory of mind is a utter mystery
> to me.
>
> ​>>​
>> Even if you ask "what one and only one city will I be in?", your answer
>> is a reflection of what you *expect* to happen.
>>
>
> ​Who cares what I expect!!! What anybody expects to happen is irrelevant,
> what does happen is not.
>
> ​> ​
>>  Almost every choice we make can be traced to an expectation of one kind
>> or another. We live and die by expectations.
>>
>
> ​And very ofter we make bad choices because our expectations turn out to
> be dead wrong.​
>
>

Then we agree that expectations are important, since the wrong ones can
kill us. Even more so, because when it comes to making decisions about the
future, expectations are *all we have*. So for any theory of mind,
computational or otherwise, understanding how we come to expect or predict
what the world is going to do, is clearly of great importance.

Terren

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