On Sunday, February 18, 2018 at 1:46:55 PM UTC-7, Lawrence Crowell wrote:
>
> On Sunday, February 18, 2018 at 1:09:37 PM UTC-6, Brent wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> On 2/18/2018 6:11 AM, Lawrence Crowell wrote:
>>
>> On Sunday, February 18, 2018 at 4:25:07 AM UTC-6, Russell Standish wrote: 
>>>
>>> On Sat, Feb 17, 2018 at 05:19:22PM -0800, Brent Meeker wrote: 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > On 2/17/2018 4:58 PM, [email protected] wrote: 
>>> > > But what is the criterion when AI exceeds human intelligence? AG 
>>> > > 
>>> > > 
>>> https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-16/father-artificial-intelligence-singularity-less-30-years-away
>>>  
>>> > 
>>> > So we need to sharpen the question.  Exactly *what* is 30yrs away? 
>>> > 
>>> > Brent 
>>> > 
>>>
>>> According to the title (I haven't RTFA), it's the 
>>> singularity. Starting from a point where a machine designs, 
>>> and manufactures improved copies of itself, technology will supposedly 
>>> veer from it's exponential path (Moore's law) etc to hyperbolic. Being 
>>> hyperbolic, it reaches infinity within a finite period of time, 
>>> expected to be a matter of months perhaps. 
>>>
>>> Given that we really don't understand creative processes (not even 
>>> good old fashioned biological evolution is really well understood), 
>>> I'm sceptical about the 30 years prognostication. It is mostly based on 
>>> extrapolating Moore's law, which is the easy part of technological 
>>> change. 
>>>
>>> This won't be a problem for my children - my grandchildren perhaps, if 
>>> I ever end up having any. 
>>>
>>> Cheers 
>>>
>>
>> One thing a computer can not do is ask a question. I can ask a question 
>> and program a computer to help solve the problem. In fact I am doing a 
>> program to do just this. I am working a computer program to model aspects 
>> of gravitational memory. What the computer will not do, at least computers 
>> we currently employ will not do is to ask the question and then work to 
>> solve it. A computer can find a numerical solution or render something 
>> numerically, but it does not spontaneously act to ask the question or to 
>> propose something creative to then solve or render the solution.
>>
>> P
>> You must never have applied for a loan online.
>>
>> Brent
>>
>
> I am not sure how that is relevant. 
>

*Brent was referring to the many questions a computer asks when someone 
applies for loan online. Of course, the issue here is whether a computer 
can ask a question that is not pre-programmed. It cannot IMO. People will 
argue that humans can only ask questions which are, in effect, 
pre-programmed. One can argue they cannot do so by referring to any new 
theory in physics. Can a computer ask a question about something it has 
newly been informed about? If informed, can it ask any specific question if 
not pre-programmed to do so? AG*

 

> No I have not applied for a loan online. In fact about 10 years ago or so 
> I made a choice not to do financial transactions online. Of course in some 
> sense this means I am becoming a bit of a slowpoke in that game, but I have 
> worked to reduce my footprint on the digital landscape and to keep my 
> financial decisions offline. This reduces my prospects for cyber-snooping 
> and having personal information flying around out there.
>
> LC
>

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