On 6/21/2019 5:50 AM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Fri, Jun 21, 2019 at 10:35 PM Bruno Marchal <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

    On 21 Jun 2019, at 09:04, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]
    <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
    On Fri, Jun 21, 2019 at 4:26 PM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything
    List <[email protected]
    <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:


        To disconfirm MWI you'd have to observe statistics far from
        the expected value,


    To make my point more strongly, that is the wrong way round.
    Observation of statistics far from the expected value is what
    would be required to confirm MWI.

    I don’t see this at all.


You obviously have not grasped the argument. In the single world picture, there is an objective probability, so all observations must confirm this probability, within statistical errors. In MWI all outcomes occur with probability one, so all possible sequences of results are certain to occur. If one sees a sequence that is improbable on the single world view, it is more likely that one is observing one of the certainly existing sequences in MWI.

More likely than one is observing a low probability sequence in CI? No...exactly the same degree of likely.


    The fact that we don't observe such results is the strongest
    possible case against MWI!

    ?

    The probability to see a deviation is the same in both Everett,
    and Copenhagen.


That is not the case. Because in Everett there is no objective probability for the occurrence. Or at least, observation cannot establish such a single probability value -- all outcomes are realised for certain, and one does not have any independent evidence about what branch one is on. In the single world model, there is a theoretical probability, and all observations must be dependent on this underlying distribution.

In Everett exactly the same distribution is found by assuming the branches conform to the Born rule.  I agree that MWI has a problem in modeling probabilities which are real numbers for example, which require effectively infinite numbers of branches to be modeled by branch counting.  But in Bruno's theory he has already assumed infinitely many worlds (computations).

    The deviation expected is the same, so if there is a deviation, it
    can hardly be used to claim one theory is more correct than the
    other.


The deviation is more likely in many worlds, since one can be on any branch in that theory. Deviations are more common.

That's not true.  MWI uses the same Born rule.  That's one of the criticisms of it: that it cannot derive the Born rule and so doesn't really add anything empirically testable.

Brent


Bruce
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