On 1/22/2020 8:18 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:


On Wednesday, January 22, 2020 at 8:51:50 PM UTC-7, Brent wrote:



    On 1/22/2020 6:26 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:


    On Wednesday, January 22, 2020 at 6:29:32 PM UTC-7, Brent wrote:



        On 1/22/2020 5:08 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:


            When you measure something and it is so close to zero
            as to be indistinguishable from zero, then taking it
            to be zero is not an assumption.


        *Why don't you compare the measured value with the curvature
        of a sphere 1 LY in diameter, or !0^6 LY in diameter? Do you
        really think the curvature would be significantly different
        from the measured value of the universe? I doubt it. So,
        taking it to be zero, is just what you prefer, nothing more.
        CMIIAW, AG*

        No, because zero is a physically interesting value. There
        maybe some unrecognized symmetry principle that makes it
        zero.  It's unlikely that there's some symmetry principle
        that makes it 1e-6.  That's why physicist look at the data as
        evidence for zero.  Of course they may be wrong.  But it's
        not because they are just pulling assumptions out of thin air.

        Brent

    *Why assume there's some symmetry principle to drive the
    curvature to zero? *

    You keep using the word "assume" which means to "take as given to
    be true".  Scientists hypothesize, they only "assume" for purposes
    of testing the consequences.


*OK, then let's say when the measured value is close to zero, which can't distinguish flat from spherical, cosmologists have a bias toward saying it is flat. *

I don't know what "bias" would mean in that context.  They don't say it is flat.  They hypothesize, consider, contemplate,...they say, "If is flat, maybe it is because..."

*I don't mean they assume they're claiming "flat" is the Gospel. AG *

    *It could be just because the universe is huge. *

    Or it could be because some principle makes it zero.  The latter
    would be a more interesting discovery, so that's why cosmologists
    consider it.


*They should consider everything of course -- I have no problem with that -- but spherical implies finite, which you have to admit is pretty amazing! AG *


    *I don't think the cases are distinguishable by measurements.
    OTOH, the article points to some measurements of the CMBR that
    imply a spherical universe. Are they in any way persuasive? AG *

    Nobody gets persuaded by one observation that contradicts the
    prior observations.  What if they had happened in reverse time
    order...you'd be asking if the evidence for flatness is persuasive.


*OK, then taking all the points the authors raise, what probability would you give that it's curved, not flat? I just want your sense of the paper's main claim, or suggestion. AG
*

Their claim is they have new data that favors positive curvature over zero or negative curvature to a significant degree (in the statistical sense of significance).

Brent

*
*

    Brent

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