Le ven. 14 févr. 2020 à 22:48, Bruce Kellett <bhkellet...@gmail.com> a
écrit :

> On Sat, Feb 15, 2020 at 1:35 AM Bruno Marchal <marc...@ulb.ac.be> wrote:
>
>>
>> Just to be clear, are you OK with P(W) = 1/2 in the WM-duplicatipon, when
>> “W” refers to the first person experience?
>>
>
> No. As I have said before, the H-man has no basis on which to assign any
> probability at all to the possibility that he will see W (or M) tomorrow,
> The trouble is that probabilities tend to be defined by the limit of
> relative frequencies over a large number of trials. If you perform the
> WM-duplication N times, there will be 2^N "first person experiences" and
> many of them will assign probabilities greatly different from 0.5.
>

That's false, most of them will infer the correct probability...


> There is no "intrinsic probability" in your scenario. This is also Adrian
> Kent's objection to MWI, and it will also nullify any benefit you might
> seek to gain from the "frequency operator" -- every "first person" will get
> a different eigenvalue in the limit of infinite trials..
>
> Bruce
>
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