Le ven. 14 févr. 2020 à 22:57, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> a écrit :
> On Sat, Feb 15, 2020 at 8:50 AM Quentin Anciaux <[email protected]> > wrote: > >> Le ven. 14 févr. 2020 à 22:48, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> a >> écrit : >> >>> On Sat, Feb 15, 2020 at 1:35 AM Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> wrote: >>> >>>> >>>> Just to be clear, are you OK with P(W) = 1/2 in the WM-duplicatipon, >>>> when “W” refers to the first person experience? >>>> >>> >>> No. As I have said before, the H-man has no basis on which to assign any >>> probability at all to the possibility that he will see W (or M) tomorrow, >>> The trouble is that probabilities tend to be defined by the limit of >>> relative frequencies over a large number of trials. If you perform the >>> WM-duplication N times, there will be 2^N "first person experiences" and >>> many of them will assign probabilities greatly different from 0.5. >>> >> >> That's false, most of them will infer the correct probability... >> > > Wrong again. Respond to Kent's argument if you disagree. (arxiv:0905.0624) > I disagree, that's called statistics. > Bruce > >> >>> There is no "intrinsic probability" in your scenario. This is also >>> Adrian Kent's objection to MWI, and it will also nullify any benefit you >>> might seek to gain from the "frequency operator" -- every "first person" >>> will get a different eigenvalue in the limit of infinite trials.. >>> >>> Bruce >>> >> -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Everything List" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to [email protected]. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAFxXSLSRF47M9TdmKScCgtE4vv2iy0G3Nx95zUwhZik8_ywohw%40mail.gmail.com > <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAFxXSLSRF47M9TdmKScCgtE4vv2iy0G3Nx95zUwhZik8_ywohw%40mail.gmail.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> > . > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAMW2kApYhk_LpQsf7PgAZ4E_%2B6yDzqiS%3Dt6Lt-i2kLGn0E2bjg%40mail.gmail.com.
