> On 12 Feb 2020, at 00:41, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List 
> <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> 
> 
> On 2/11/2020 4:16 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>> 
>>> On 7 Feb 2020, at 12:07, Bruce Kellett <[email protected] 
>>> <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
>>> 
>>> On Fri, Feb 7, 2020 at 9:54 PM Lawrence Crowell 
>>> <[email protected] 
>>> <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
>>> On Thursday, February 6, 2020 at 10:59:27 PM UTC-6, Bruce wrote:
>>> 
>>> This argument from Kent completely destroys Everett's attempt to derive the 
>>> Born rule from his many-worlds approach to quantum mechanics. In fact, it 
>>> totally undermines most attempts to derive the Born rule from any branching 
>>> theory, and undermines attempts to justify ignoring branches on which the 
>>> Born rule weights are disconfirmed. In the many-worlds case, recall, all 
>>> observers are aware that other observers with other data must exist, but 
>>> each is led to construct a spurious measure of importance that favours 
>>> their own observations against the others', and  this leads to an obvious 
>>> absurdity. In the one-world case, observers treat what actually happened as 
>>> important, and ignore what didn't happen: this doesn't lead to the same 
>>> difficulty.
>>> 
>>> Bruce
>>> 
>>> This appears to argue that observers in a branch are limited in their 
>>> ability to take the results of their branch as a Bayesian prior. This 
>>> limitation occurs for the coin flip case where some combinations have a 
>>> high degree of structure. Say all heads or a repeated sequence of heads and 
>>> tails with some structure, or apparent structure. For large N though these 
>>> are a diminishing measure.
>>> 
>>> I don't think you have fully come to terms with Kent's argument. How do you 
>>> determine the measure on the observed outcomes? The argument that such 
>>> 'outlier' sequences are of small measure fails at the first hurdle, because 
>>> all sequences have equal measure -- all are equally likely. In fact, all 
>>> occur with unit probability in MWI.
>> 
>> Each individual sequence of head/tail would also occur with probability, in 
>> the corresponding WM scenario, and in the coin tossing experience.
>> 
>> In the MWI, what you describe is what has motivated the introduction of a 
>> frequency operator, and that is the right thing to do in QM. I think you 
>> might confuse the first person and the third person points of view, in the 
>> WM-scenario and in the MWI (which is coherent with your non-mechanist 
>> stance).
> 
> What is a frequency operator? 

I guess you have the book edited by DeWitt and Graham “The Many-World 
Interpretation of Quantum Mechanics”, Princeton 1973.

See the paper by Graham “the measurement of relative frequency”, page 229.


> Your WM thought experiment models a case in which the probabilities are 
> equal. 

It depends what you want to measure. The probability of WWWWWW is the same as 
WMWMWM, but the probability to have 2 W and 4 M is different, and will be given 
by the Binomial coefficients.




> MWI seems implausible if it splits into two worlds when P(W)=P(M)=0.5  but 
> splits into a thousand worlds when P(W)=0.501 and P(M)=0.499.


Yes, that one of the reason to understand that in all experience, there is an 
infinity-continuum of differentiation. That infinity is already there in 
arithmetic, at the meta and phenomenological  level.

Bruno






> 
> Brent
> 
>> 
>> Bruno
>> 
>> 
>> 
>>> 
>>> Bruce
>>> 
>>>  
>>> An observer might see their branch as having sufficient randomness to be a 
>>> Bayesian prior, but to derive a full theory these outlier branches with the 
>>> appearance of structure have to be eliminated. This is not a devastating 
>>> blow to MWI, but it is a limitation on its explanatory power. Of course 
>>> with statistical physics we have these logarithms and the rest and such 
>>> slop tends to be "washed out" for large enough sample space. 
>>> 
>>> No matter how hard we try it is tough to make this all epistemic, say 
>>> Bayesian etc, or ontological with frequentist statistics. 
>>> 
>>> LC 
>>> 
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