On Tue, Feb 11, 2020 at 11:16 PM Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> wrote:

> On 7 Feb 2020, at 12:07, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>
> I don't think you have fully come to terms with Kent's argument. How do
> you determine the measure on the observed outcomes? The argument that such
> 'outlier' sequences are of small measure fails at the first hurdle, because
> all sequences have equal measure -- all are equally likely. In fact, all
> occur with unit probability in MWI.
>
>
> Each individual sequence of head/tail would also occur with probability,
> in the corresponding WM scenario, and in the coin tossing experience.
>
> In the MWI, what you describe is what has motivated the introduction of a
> frequency operator, and that is the right thing to do in QM.
>

I remembered reading something about such a "frequency operator" but
couldn't find the reference. I see it was in a paper by David Albert, who
writes:

"Here's an idea: suppose we measure the x-spin of each of an infinite
ensemble of electrons, where each of the electrons in the ensemble is
initially prepared in the state (alpha|x-up> + beta|x-down>). Then it can
easily be shown that in the limit as the number of measurements already
performed goes to infinity, the state of the world approaches an eigenstate
of the frequency of (say) up-results, with eigenvalue |alpha|^2. And note
that the limit we are dealing with here is a perfectly concrete flat-footed
limit of a sequence of vectors in Hilbert space, not a limit of
probabilities of the sort that we are used to dealing with in applications
of the probabilistic law of large numbers. And the though has occurred to a
number of investigators over the years that perhaps all it *means* to say
that the probability of an up-result in a measurement of the x-spin of an
electron in the state (alpha|x-up> + beta|x-down>) is |alpha|^2 is that if
an infinite ensemble of such experiments were to be performed, the state of
the world would with certainty approach an eigenstate of the frequency of
(say) up-results, with eigenvalue |alpha|^2.  But the business of parlaying
this thought into a fully worked-out account of probability in the Everett
picture quickly runs into very familiar and very discouraging sorts of
trouble. One doesn't know (for example) about finite runs of experiments,
and one doesn't know what to say about the fact that the world is after all
very unlikely ever to be in an eigenstate of my undertaking to carry out
any particular measurement of anything."

Such reflections as those of David Albert here are probably why this
particular line of thinking has never gone anywhere.

Bruce

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