On Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 10:56:33 PM UTC+2 Jason wrote:

>
> By chance I was just reading this: 
> https://www.researchgate.net/publication/286624424_My_8_Big_Ideas by 
> Zuboff, and in it he shows how to justify induction through a priori 
> reasoning:
>
> "By the same reasoning
> as above, if all the first beads randomly drawn are blue, it is becoming 
> more and more
> probable that the beads in the urn are generally blue. (Otherwise 
> something improbable
> would be happening in another colour not appearing; and what’s improbable 
> is improbable.)
> It is therefore probable also that the next bead drawn will be blue. This 
> is induction. As Hume
> would have said, we could not know a priori, given this evidence, that the 
> next bead will be
> blue. But, as he overlooked, we can know a priori, given this evidence, 
> that it is probable that
> the next bead will be blue.
>

That makes sense. I am wondering, if this idea was worked out in more 
detail maybe it would end up being the same as Solomonoff's theory of 
induction?

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