I know MMY & John Haglin are suggesting UK is descending into "hell" 
but the facts speak otherwise. Live 8 and the Make Poverty History 
and the UK's drive to cancel debt and double aid to Africa ETC surely 
makes the UK more like pioneers than desperados just out for 
themselves (hell).. If the Yagyas et al are hidden variables in the 
G8 meeting, we might expect something UNEXPECTLY POSITIVE to come out 
of them. Lets hopes so!!!!!!!!!!!

Summit will expose G8 fault lines  
By John Simpson 
BBC world affairs editor  

This is becoming quite a week. It began on Saturday, with vast 
numbers of people around the world demonstrating an idealism and a 
generosity regardless of national interests, and challenging the 
world's most powerful countries to do the same. 

It will continue at Gleneagles in Scotland on Wednesday, when the 
leaders of those countries meet at the G8 summit. 

Most of the world's most urgent problems, from world poverty and the 
manifest unfairness of international trade to the overpowering threat 
of climate change, are on the agenda. 

And, like some strange planetary conjunction, the announcement of the 
2012 Olympics will be made on Wednesday, just as the G8 meeting is 
starting. 

Some British officials are nervous that if London beats Paris, 
President Jacques Chirac of France will be in wrecking mood at 
Gleneagles; though that seems a little unlikely. 

I hate to say it, but all the evidence of past summits like this, and 
I have been covering them since they started in the 1970s, is that 
the results never match the expectation. 

This time, though, things are a little different. UK Prime Minister 
Tony Blair, anxious to try to rebuild some of the trust he has lost 
at home, has formed an ad hoc alliance with Live 8 organiser Bob 
Geldof to infuse some idealism into the G8 process. 

Live 8 ambush 

As a result, they have staged a kind of ambush for the other G8 
leaders: fulfil the expectations of the millions who watched the Live 
8 concerts around the world, they are saying, or be condemned as 
failures. 

The trouble is, self-interest is always the dominant force at these 
summits: like it or not, that is the way of the world 
 
The trouble is, self-interest is always the dominant force at these 
summits: like it or not, that is the way of the world. 

Some G8 countries - Germany, Italy and Canada, in particular - resent 
being railroaded into giving more aid to poorer countries, and 
particularly to Africa, which Mr Blair and his powerful Chancellor of 
the Exchequer Gordon Brown, have placed at the heart of this summit. 

But there are even more important fault lines. Most, if not quite 
all, the other leaders strongly resent President George W Bush's 
resistance to the Kyoto Agreement, and they will not have been 
altogether impressed by the concession he made in his interview with 
Britain's ITV News. 

In most parts of the developed world, global warming is now seen as 
the most pressing threat to mankind. So merely conceding that it is 
something "we've got to deal with", and accepting that human activity 
is "to some extent" to blame, is going to irritate more people than 
it appeases. 

And for Mr Bush to suggest that new technologies are the way to deal 
with the problem, rather than cutting the emissions which he now 
agrees are responsible, will only irritate them more. 

Resentment 

Altogether, this is the most contentious G8 summit of recent times. 
Behind the smiles and the hearty handshakes, there will be a great 
deal of residual anger. 

The wounds originally opened up by Mr Bush's invasion of Iraq have 
never entirely healed, and the resentment against the US for 
believing it was powerful enough to do without international support 
has never entirely gone away. 
 
Yet France and Germany are more angry with Mr Blair than they are 
with Mr Bush; and Mr Bush showed in his ITV interview that he is not 
planning to do his friend Tony any favours at Gleneagles. 

"I go to the G8 not really trying to make him look bad or good," Mr 
Bush said, "but I go to the G8 with an agenda that I think is best 
for our country." 

It was not very diplomatic, considering how Mr Blair put his neck on 
the block for him. 

Still, Mr Blair can look after himself. He will not want Mr Bush to 
be isolated or humiliated, but he will want it to be clear who is 
responsible if there is no substantive deal over global warming. 

And he wants US help in his new crusade against the European Union's 
common agricultural policy. There, at least, Mr Bush was prepared to 
be forthcoming. 

Lip service 

He indicated he would be prepared to abandon the huge subsidies to 
American farmers if the Europeans scrapped the Common Agricultural 
Policy (CAP). 

Sounding good, or trying to, is about the best that will come out of 
this summit 
 
Of course he knows the CAP will never be entirely scrapped, and that 
anyway he will no longer be president if it is. But it sounded good. 

Sounding good, or trying to, is about the best that will come out of 
this summit. Like the doubling of America's aid to Africa, like the 
relief of debt for the poorest countries, these things are at their 
most impressive when expressed in headline terms. 

When you realise that American aid is still well below the 
internationally recommended level, and that large numbers of 
deserving countries are still excluded from debt relief, the phrases 
sound less fine. 

If the agreement on aid for Africa is clearly generous; if the 
statement on tackling global warming is outspoken and unambiguous; if 
there is a real undertaking to do something serious about the 
grotesquely selfish agricultural subsides which American and European 
farmers receive; then the Gleneagles summit will deserve to stand 
alongside the Marshall Plan for far-sighted, open-handed self-
interest. 

But I'm not holding my breath. 

 





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