--- In [email protected], "authfriend" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> I'm not even insisting that *this* study demonstrates
> the Maharishi Effect, though.  It's just that I've seen
> zillions of misconceptions about how it was done,

Which is interesting, since  no one is even clear on the details. Was
ARMIA or regreesion used. If ARIMA was used (which I think it was) did
they have 6 seasons of data -- a minimum for ARIMA models. What were
the  independent variables tested? (both accepted in the model and
those rejected). What was the actual time frame of the analysis (not
the intervention -- we know it was 8 weeks). Mark indicated 5 year
data was used. Some appear to suggest it was the intervention period +
short term control buffers on the front and back end. How was the the
heat index constructed? etc.

> accompanied by completely invalid criticisms.  If
> somebody's going to criticize the study, they should do
> so on the basis of how it was actually conducted, not
> some uninformed straw-man version.

Sorry, what I am proposing is not uniformed. Nor is it a strawman. 
 
> Otherwise, just accept it for what it was: during an
> eight-week period in D.C. in June and July 1993 when a
> large World Peace Assembly was being held, there was a
> sharp drop in the crime rate.  Maybe it was the Maharishi
> Effect, maybe it wasn't.

I think thats what i was saying. The analysis showed an effct. An
interesting exploratory study. There are a lot of methodological
questions, not answered -- probably because no one has a copy of the
study. The results are inconclusive, as you say "maybe it was the
Maharishi Effect, maybe it wasn't."

I am not clear why you view a statement of an outline of what a
credible research design would look like is inappropriate or creates a
strawman.


 






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