Stephen is messing with us. --- Frank C. Wimberly 140 Calle Ojo Feliz, Santa Fe, NM 87505
505 670-9918 Santa Fe, NM On Wed, May 6, 2020, 9:42 PM <[email protected]> wrote: > I love that, Frank. A digital version of “this is not a cigar”. > > > > Thank you, > > > > n > > > > Nicholas Thompson > > Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology > > Clark University > > [email protected] > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > > > *From:* Friam <[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Frank Wimberly > *Sent:* Wednesday, May 6, 2020 9:24 PM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group < > [email protected]> > *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? - > The New York Times > > > > What about hand soap. > > > > By the way, the morse code in the Friam signature says, "Random dots and > dashes" . > > > > On Wed, May 6, 2020 at 9:21 PM <[email protected]> wrote: > > By the way, I just read an article in the NYT which assures me that a > “sanitizer” is not guaranteed to kill viruses. > > > > Oh, gosh! > > > > Nick > > > > Nicholas Thompson > > Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology > > Clark University > > [email protected] > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > > > *From:* Friam <[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Prof David West > *Sent:* Wednesday, May 6, 2020 8:40 PM > *To:* [email protected] > *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? - > The New York Times > > > > When we have comprehensive data — say a year from now — there will be > hundreds of unexplained anomalies. All of the models and all of the > formulas will be made more and more complex to try to account for those > anomalies, the epidemiological and statistical equivalent of astronomical > epicycles. > > > > And no one will look at variations in individual and group (10-100 > individuals) behavior and how they differ as a "function" of culture. And > they will thereby miss the "explanation" for those anomalies. > > > > No grocery store in the Utah counties of Kane and Garfield, had had empty > toilet paper, flour, or sanitizer shelves. Not fully stocked, absent the > usual variety, but never empty. A statistical / economic / "scientific" > study of these two counties and any other two counties in the US with > similar populations and population density/distributions will never reveal > the "reason" for this phenomenon. A cultural investigation will expose the > "reason" almost immediately. > > > > I predict similar anomalies with regard spread of the disease and most > importantly variations in death rates among those infected. And, the > "reason" will again be cultural/behavioral. > > > > davew > > > > > > > > > > On Wed, May 6, 2020, at 3:49 PM, [email protected] wrote: > > Doesn’t doubling time handle that problem? > > > > N > > > > Nicholas Thompson > > Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology > > Clark University > > [email protected] > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > > > > > *From:* Friam <[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Steven A Smith > > *Sent:* Wednesday, May 6, 2020 2:00 PM > > *To:* [email protected] > > *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? - > The New York Times > > > > > > On 5/6/20 1:54 PM, Frank Wimberly wrote: > > My brother lives in Dahlonega, Lumpkin County, Georgia. The map Georgia > map surprises me Atlanta is not a hotspot. Atlanta dominates the > population of the State. Southwest Georgia has a much higher > concentration. Georgia, unlike Pennsylvania, has a large population of > rural African Americans. > > This just underscores how hard it is to make sense out of absolute > numbers, or more to the point, numerators without denominators. At least > some of the charts of absolute numbers (as long as they are not > renormalized from situation to situation) provide a visual estimation of > "slope". > > > > > > > > On Wed, May 6, 2020 at 1:43 PM Roger Critchlow <[email protected]> wrote: > > Hall County is a county located in the north central portion of the U.S. > state of Georgia. As of the 2010 census, the population was 179,684. The > county seat is Gainesville. > > > > > > > https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/national/coronavirus-us-cases-deaths/ > provides > maps of deaths and cases per county, raw numbers and per 100000 population. > > > > -- rec -- > > > > > > > > On Wed, May 6, 2020 at 3:18 PM uǝlƃ ☣ <[email protected]> wrote: > > Hall: 20,441 > > DeKalb: 759,297 > > > > On 5/6/20 12:08 PM, [email protected] wrote: > > > Glen, those Hall/King comparisons are pretty dramatic. Go Kemp! What is > the population of the two counties? > > > > -- > > ☣ uǝlƃ > > > > .-. .- -. -.. --- -- -..-. -.. --- - ... -..-. .- -. -.. -..-. -.. .- ... > .... . ... > > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > > Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam > > unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > > archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/ > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ > > .-. .- -. -.. --- -- -..-. -.. --- - ... -..-. .- -. -.. -..-. -.. .- ... > .... . ... > > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > > Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam > > unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > > archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/ > > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ > > > > > > -- > > Frank Wimberly > > 140 Calle Ojo Feliz > > Santa Fe, NM 87505 > > 505 670-9918 > > > > .-. .- -. -.. --- -- -..-. -.. --- - ... -..-. .- -. -.. -..-. -.. .- ... > .... . ... > > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > > Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam > > unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > > archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/ > > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ > > .-. .- -. -.. --- -- -..-. -.. --- - ... -..-. .- -. -.. -..-. -.. .- ... > .... . ... > > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > > Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam > > unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > > archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/ > > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ > > > > > > .-. .- -. -.. --- -- -..-. -.. --- - ... -..-. .- -. -.. -..-. -.. .- ... > .... . ... > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam > unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/ > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ > > > > > -- > > Frank Wimberly > 140 Calle Ojo Feliz > Santa Fe, NM 87505 > 505 670-9918 > .-. .- -. -.. --- -- -..-. -.. --- - ... -..-. .- -. -.. -..-. -.. .- ... > .... . ... > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam > unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/ > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ >
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