I'm saying that in this election there will be high turnout and not a very close election.
--- Frank C. Wimberly 140 Calle Ojo Feliz, Santa Fe, NM 87505 505 670-9918 Santa Fe, NM On Wed, Oct 28, 2020, 5:59 PM uǝlƃ ↙↙↙ <[email protected]> wrote: > So, what about the question I asked? You have no opinion on whether high > turnout negatively or positively correlates with narrow victories? > > > On 10/28/20 4:52 PM, Frank Wimberly wrote: > > I predict that Biden will win by a large margin and that the outcome > will be clear on election night notwithstanding any outstanding uncounted > votes. Young people are voting in unprecedented numbers and are reportedly > voting against Trump. Similarly the elderly, who favored Trump over > Clinton by 10+ percentage points in 2016 are favoring Biden over Trump by a > similar margin, according to polls. > > > > The good thing about predictions is that they can be evaluated perfectly > after the events have happened. > > > > Frank > > > > --- > > Frank C. Wimberly > > 140 Calle Ojo Feliz, > > Santa Fe, NM 87505 > > > > 505 670-9918 > > Santa Fe, NM > > > > On Wed, Oct 28, 2020, 5:20 PM uǝlƃ ↙↙↙ <[email protected] <mailto: > [email protected]>> wrote: > > > > From: > > > > https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2020/Pres/Maps/Oct28.html#item-7 < > https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2020/Pres/Maps/Oct28.html#item-7> > > "6. High turnout makes razor-thin victories, like the ones Trump > notched in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania in 2016, much less likely." > > > > Is that true? I've always heard that tight races lead to higher > turnout, which would imply that high turnout would correlate WITH thin > victories, not against them. > > -- > ↙↙↙ uǝlƃ > > - .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. . > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam > un/subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/ > FRIAM-COMIC <http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/FRIAM-COMIC> > http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ >
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