The problem is what to do at night.   Santa Fe could invest in a big battery 
system to soak up excess during the day.
That means the city would have buy megawatt-scale batteries and homeowners 
would need to broadly deploy panels and/or have their own batteries.
How many people want another loan for a payoff that takes a decade to turn a 
profit?

From: Friam <[email protected]> On Behalf Of [email protected]
Sent: Thursday, April 15, 2021 11:11 AM
To: 'The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group' <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Theory of (Almost) Everything - IEEE Spectrum

Pieter,

That just HAS to be wrong.  What am I missing, here?  NOT a rhetorical question.

Does anybody know, in orders of magnitude, the relation between the potential 
rooftop gain and the total energy needs of a place like Santa Fe?

N

Nick Thompson
[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

From: Friam <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> On 
Behalf Of Pieter Steenekamp
Sent: Thursday, April 15, 2021 11:58 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Theory of (Almost) Everything - IEEE Spectrum

Yeah, just like we were seriously running out of stuff in 1980
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon%E2%80%93Ehrlich_wager
But of course, it's different this time around

On Thu, 15 Apr 2021 at 19:41, Merle Lefkoff 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
Nick, I think we have an energy supply problem.  We don't have enough stuff 
left in the ground to dig up to supply our technology much longer at a price 
anyone can afford.  I have a colleague who has calculated that we will run out 
of copper in three years, as just one example.  My understanding is that copper 
wire conducts most of our electricity.

On Thu, Apr 15, 2021 at 11:17 AM 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
Merle, and all,

A naïve question:  Do we have an energy supply problem or do we have an energy 
distribution problem?   For starters, let there be a solar collector on the 
roof of every house in santa fe, roughly the area of the roof (roofly the area 
of the rough?) .  Assuming energy were entirely miscible, what proportion of 
the total energy needs (except food, of course) of Santa Feans would that 
generate.  I assume hundreds of percents, right?

N

Nick Thompson
[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

From: Friam <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> On 
Behalf Of Merle Lefkoff
Sent: Thursday, April 15, 2021 10:51 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Theory of (Almost) Everything - IEEE Spectrum

Almost, but not quite, Jochen.  He doesn't know about embodied energy.  A motor 
car has an embodied energy contents of 20 800k kWh, while an electric car's 
embodied energy amounts to 34 700 kWh.  Perhaps if he knew this he wouldn't be 
so optimistic.  We are racing toward our doom.

On Thu, Apr 15, 2021 at 10:06 AM Jochen Fromm 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
Interesting IEEE podcast: an interview with Václav Smil, who wrote a book about 
"Grand Transitions", similar to "The Major Transitions in Evolution" from John 
Maynard Smith and Eörs Szathmáry
https://spectrum.ieee.org/podcast/geek-life/history/a-theory-of-almost-everything

-J.

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--
Merle Lefkoff, Ph.D.
Center for Emergent Diplomacy
emergentdiplomacy.org<http://emergentdiplomacy.org>
Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

mobile:  (303) 859-5609
skype:  merle.lelfkoff2
twitter: @merle110

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--
Merle Lefkoff, Ph.D.
Center for Emergent Diplomacy
emergentdiplomacy.org<http://emergentdiplomacy.org>
Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

mobile:  (303) 859-5609
skype:  merle.lelfkoff2
twitter: @merle110

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