Andrew

I agree that Twomey needs actual clouds. But a lower cloud fraction means a longer nuclei life and a wider spread. Because of the log term it is better to use a lower dose over a wider area. Cloudless days are OK especially if clever meteorologists can pick air masses upstream of the reef which will become cloudy later. Spray vessels will all have email.

I checked with Earth Now on my I Pad.  Clouds are not bad today.

Stephen

Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design. School of Engineering, University of Edinburgh, Mayfield Road, Edinburgh EH9 3DW, Scotland [email protected], Tel +44 (0)131 650 5704, Cell 07795 203 195, WWW.homepages.ed.ac.uk/shs, YouTube Jamie Taylor Power for Change
On 24/04/2017 02:39, Andrew Lockley wrote:
I don't think hydrosols will behave like CNN, in terms of their radiative properties. As I understand it, CCN act to brighten existing cloud cover. They won't, therefore, work on cloudless days. Likely, relative efficacy will depend on whether acute or chronic thermal stress is most important. Furthermore, hydrosols will cause a lasting increase in diffuse radiation. In terrestrial models, this has impacted NPP.

I'm no expert on this niche - but that's my initial thoughts.

Hope it helps

A

On 24 April 2017 at 02:00, Ken Caldeira <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

    Coral bleaching is also associated with stress from sunlight,
    coupled with high temperatures, etc.

    Wikipedia: Some scientists consider bleaching a poorly-understood
    type of "stress" related to high irradiance
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irradiance>; environmental factors
    like sediments, harmful chemicals, and freshwater; and high or low
    water temperatures.^[1]
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coral_bleaching#cite_note-agu-1>
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coral_bleaching
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coral_bleaching>

    See section 4.1.2 of this document:
    
https://www.coris.noaa.gov/activities/reef_managers_guide/reef_managers_guide_ch4.pdf
    
<https://www.coris.noaa.gov/activities/reef_managers_guide/reef_managers_guide_ch4.pdf>

    It is common to see the sun-exposed tops of coral colonies with
    severe bleaching, with the shaded sides doing reasonably well.

    Deflecting sunlight away from the ocean waters would likely have
    direct protective properties beyond the cooling effect.

    
http://www.natureworldnews.com/articles/18949/20151224/cloudy-waters-shade-corals-excess-sunlight-helping-survive-climate-change.htm
    
<http://www.natureworldnews.com/articles/18949/20151224/cloudy-waters-shade-corals-excess-sunlight-helping-survive-climate-change.htm>


    Ken Caldeira
    Carnegie Institution for Science
    Dept of Global Ecology
    260 Panama St
    Stanford CA 94305 USA
    +1 650 704 7212 <tel:%28650%29%20704-7212>
    http://CarnegieEnergyInnovation.org
    <http://CarnegieEnergyInnovation.org>
    http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab
    <http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab>

    Assistant, with access to incoming emails: Jess Barker
    [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>


    On Sun, Apr 23, 2017 at 3:39 PM, Russell Seitz
    <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

        Dear Stephen:

        I hasten to point out that your analysis of  cloud  cooling
         of  23km3  from the top down applies equally to microbubble
        cooling SRM from the bottom up.

        Last year, after meeting with UNEP coral conservtionist Tom
        Goreau I visiited several  reef damage redmediation sites in
        the Grenadines, where though  emphasis has been on replanting
        , widespread bleaching has also led to interest in sea surface
        cooling.

        As  bothh ocean and lake models suggest the fresh water
         techniques we are developing to curb  fresh water reservoir
        evaporation can realitstically  achieve coolings of 5 K or
        more, and  the energy cost per hectare is reckoned to be a
        kilowatt or less, a continouous multimegawatt reduction in
        solar load may be an afforable alterative to your admittedly
        better developed cloud nucleation work.

        It shoud be noted that many South China  Sea  reefs  face
        thermal stresses approaching those of the GBR as well -  in
        both cases ecologists should explore the addvantages and
        hazards of brightening the water instead of dimming  the sun.

        Best regards

        Russsell Seitz
        Senior Fellow
        The Climate Institute

        On Saturday, April 22, 2017 at 6:18:33 AM UTC-4, Stephen
        Salter wrote:

            Hi All

            Ken says there might not be enough clouds to save the
            barrier reef.

            Below should be a map from Kari Alterskjaer from
            doi:10.5194/acp-12-2795-2012 showing how good different
            regions are through the seasons.

            The very best red ones of California, Peru and Namibia
            score 0.12 but the much larger white areas are 0.085 show
            the best are only 40% better.

            Further more the life time of nuclei under clear skies
            will be longer so a high cloud fraction is less
            important.  We should not let the best become  the enemy
            of the quite good.



            I got some data about flow rates into the  Barrier Reef
            region from a PhD thesis by Severine Choukroun from

            https://researchonline.jcu.edu.au/24024/
            <https://researchonline.jcu.edu.au/24024/>

            The key number is 23 km3 per day.  If anyone can give me
            other numbers please do.  If following Kohler you believe
            that the right size of mono-disperse spray will give a
            high nucleation fraction and that some other assumptions
            are reasonable then the calculations below will tell you
            how many spray vessels would be needed to cool the Barrier
            Reef.

            However another paper from Norway

            DOI:10.1029/2010JD014015

            suggests that my mono-disperse spray assumption does
            matter because spray with the Aitken mode size
            distribution works in the wrong direction.

            Stephen


            Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design. School of
            Engineering, University of Edinburgh, Mayfield Road,
            Edinburgh EH9 3DW, Scotland [email protected], Tel +44
            (0)131 650 5704 <tel:+44%20131%20650%205704>, Cell 07795
            203 195, WWW.homepages.ed.ac.uk/shs
            <http://WWW.homepages.ed.ac.uk/shs>, YouTube Jamie Taylor
            Power for Change
            On 22/04/2017 08:31, Andrew Lockley wrote:

            
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/604211/scientists-consider-brighter-clouds-to-preserve-the-great-barrier-reef/
            
<https://www.technologyreview.com/s/604211/scientists-consider-brighter-clouds-to-preserve-the-great-barrier-reef/>


          # A scientist surveys bleaching damage on the Great Barrier
            Reef.
          # TANE SINCLAIR-TAYLOR | ARC CENTRE OF EXCELLENCE CORAL
            REEF STUDIES


                  Sustainable Energy
                  
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Ftopic%2Fsustainable-energy%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>


              Scientists Consider Brighter Clouds to Preserve the
              Great Barrier Reef


                As bleaching devastates the critical ecosystem for a
                second year in a row, marine scientists are getting
                desperate.

              * by James Temple
                
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Fprofile%2Fjames-temple%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>
             *
              * April 20, 2017

            Agroup of Australian marine scientists believe that
            altering clouds might offer one of the best hopes for
            saving the Great Barrier Reef.

            For the last six months, researchers at the Sydney
            Institute of Marine Science and the University of Sydney
            School of Geosciences have been meeting regularly to
            explore the possibility of making low-lying clouds off
            the northeastern coast of Australia more reflective in
            order to cool the waters surrounding the world’s biggest
            coral reef system.

            During the last two years, the Great Barrier Reef has
            been devastated by wide-scale bleaching, which occurs as
            warm ocean waters cause corals to discharge the algae
            that live in symbiosis with them. Last year, as El Niño
            events cranked up ocean temperatures, at least 20 percent
            of the reef died and more than 90 percent of it was damaged.

            The Australian researchers took a hard look at a number
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theguardian.com%2Fenvironment%2F2017%2Fapr%2F07%2Fplan-cold-water-barrier-reef-stop-bleaching&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>
 of
            potential ways
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.newyorker.com%2Fmagazine%2F2016%2F04%2F18%2Fa-radical-attempt-to-save-the-reefs-and-forests&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>
 to
            preserve the reefs. But at this point, making clouds more
            reflective looks like the most feasible way to protect an
            ecosystem that stretches across more than 130,000 square
            miles, says Daniel Harrison, a postdoctoral research
            associate with the Ocean Technology Group at the
            University of Sydney. “Cloud brightening is the only
            thing we’ve identified that’s scalable, sensible, and
            relatively environmentally benign,” he says.

            Bleached corals on the Great Barrier Reef.
            ED ROBERTS/TETHYS IMAGES | ARC CENTRE OF EXCELLENCE CORAL
            REEF STUDIES

            They’re one of several research groups that have started
            to explore whether cloud brightening, generally discussed
            as a potential tool to alter the climate as a whole,
            could be applied in more targeted ways. All the
            scientists involved stress that the research is in its
            infancy. No one has tested a system for cloud brightening
            at all, much less in geographically focused applications.

            British scientist John Latham first proposed the idea as
            a potential way of controlling global warming
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Fnature%2Fjournal%2Fv347%2Fn6291%2Fabs%2F347339b0.html&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>
 in
            /Nature/ nearly 30 years ago. The theory is that fleets
            of ships could spray tiny salt particles, generated from
            sea water, toward the low-lying marine clouds that hug
            the coasts of several continents. That would provide the
            nuclei needed to induce additional droplet formation,
            expanding the total surface area of the clouds. The
            resulting dense, white clouds should reflect more heat
            back into space. A 2012 study led by Latham at the
            University of Manchester found that the approach could
            offset the heating that would result if carbon dioxide
            doubled in
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=http%3A%2F%2Frsta.royalsocietypublishing.org%2Fcontent%2F370%2F1974%2F4217&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>
 the
            atmosphere.

            The Marine Cloud Brightening Project, a collaboration
            between a group of Silicon Valley researchers
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.sfgate.com%2Fscience%2Farticle%2FLooking-to-sky-to-fight-climate-change-4170475.php&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>
 and
            University of Washington climate scientists, has done the
            most advanced work on the idea to date. The team in
            Sunnyvale, California, has spent the last seven years
            developing a nozzle that they believe can spray salt
            particles of just the right size and quantity to alter
            the clouds. They’re attempting to raise several million
            dollars to build full-scale sprayers, in hopes of
            eventually conducting small-scale field trials at some
            flat point along the Pacific coastline—ideally a place
            with onshore winds, low-lying clouds, and open-minded
            neighbors.

            The Marine Cloud Brightening Project's nozzle sprays a
            fine mist of tiny salt particles.
            JAMES TEMPLE

            They’re among a handful of researchers looking to conduct
            limited outdoor experiments to explore the feasibility
            and risks of such approaches (see “The Growing Case for
            Geoengineering
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Fs%2F604081%2Fthe-growing-case-for-geoengineering%2F%3Fset%3D604205&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>”).
            But while the prospect of using geoengineering to ease
            global warming on a large scale poses intractable
            governance issues, using the technology to address a more
            localized problem could be more feasible, at least
            politically.

            Coral reefs are crucial parts of the ocean ecosystem,
            providing hunting grounds and homes for thousands of
            species. They also generate nearly $200 billion in
            economic value annually, through tourism, fisheries, and
            other activity, according to one study
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.eurekalert.org%2Fpub_releases%2F2009-10%2Fd-wac101509.php&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>.
            Reefs, however, have been hard hit worldwide by ocean
            acidification, pollution, overfishing, and other
            environmental stresses. The Great Barrier Reef has shrunk
            dramatically during the last three decades
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.com%2Fnews%2Fscience-environment-19800253&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>.

            That makes it increasingly urgent to seriously explore
            ways of preserving the reefs, even “fairly out-there,
            grand schemes,” Harrison says. Next month, he plans to
            start computer climate modeling to explore
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=http%3A%2F%2Fmyerfoundation.org.au%2Fnews%2F2017-myer-innovation-fellows-announced%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>
 whether
            cloud brightening could make a big enough temperature
            difference to help. The group plans to collaborate on the
            research with the Marine Cloud Brightening Project team.


                    Should scientists try to save the Great Barrier
                    Reef by brightening the clouds?

                Tell us what you think.
                
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Fs%2F604211%2Fscientists-consider-brighter-clouds-to-preserve-the-great-barrier-reef%2F%23comments&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>

            Coral reefs aren’t the only ecosystem that some
            scientists believe might need help from geoengineering.
            Researchers at the University of California, the Carnegie
            Institution, Stanford University, and Oregon State
            University have begun a larger project
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fogsci.com%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>
 exploring,
            among other things, how climate change is affecting or
            will affect the last remaining stands of coast redwoods.

            They're the world's tallest trees, and rely on coastal
            fog for around half of their moisture. But Northern
            California fog levels have dropped more than 30 percent
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.pnas.org%2Fcontent%2F107%2F10%2F4533.full&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>
 since
            the early 20th century, a decline linked to urbanization
            and climate change. The impact has been limited to date,
            but fear is growing that these old-growth stands could be
            wiped out if the trends accelerate.

            Elliott Campbell, an associate professor of environmental
            engineering at UC Merced, says the group has held early
            talks with the Marine Cloud Brightening Project about
            whether the technique could generate more low-lying
            clouds to help feed moisture to the redwoods. “If we
            could artificially produce fog on summer mornings, and
            that could help us buy the redwoods more time as we shift
            to a less carbon-intensive economy, that’s potentially a
            good thing,” Campbell says.

            Aerial view of a bleached portion of the Great Barrier Reef.
            ARC CENTRE OF EXCELLENCE CORAL REEF STUDIES

            Ken Caldeira
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Fs%2F543916%2Fstop-emissions%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>,
            a prominent climate scientist at the Carnegie Institution
            who has modeled the potential of cloud brightening, says
            the idea of localized geoengineering is worth exploring.
            But he’s not convinced that cloud brightening could
            produce a substantial climate effect at such a limited
            level. Below a certain geographic footprint, probably
            around 10,000 square miles, it might be difficult to
            produce a big enough change in cloud density to add up to
            much of a difference, he says. He’s specifically
            skeptical that it would work at the Great Barrier Reef.

            “I just don’t think there are enough clouds of the right
            type there that would be susceptible to marine cloud
            brightening,” he says.

            The University of Sydney’s Harrison is aware of the
            concerns Caldeira raises and intends to look at these
            issues closely in his feasibility research. But at a
            first pass, he believes there could be sufficient marine
            clouds to help preserve the Great Barrier Reef.

            In any case, he hopes so, because nothing else looks
            particularly promising.

            Tech Obsessive?
            Become an Insider to get the story behind the story — and
            before anyone else.

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<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fssl.drgnetwork.com%2Fecom%2FMTR%2Fapp%2Flive%2Fsubscriptions%3Forg%3DMTR%26publ%3DTR%26key_code%3DPRSPRIS%26type%3DS&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>

             *


             *
             *

             *
             *

             *
             *

             *


                  Tagged

            Ken Caldeira
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Fg%2Fken-caldeira%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>,geoengineering
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Fg%2Fgeoengineering%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>,
            clouds
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Fg%2Fclouds%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>,Great
            Barrier Reef
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Fg%2Fgreat-barrier-reef%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>,
            Daniel Harrison
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Fg%2Fdaniel-harrison%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>,
            Australia
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Fg%2Faustralia%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>

            James Temple

            James Temple
            
<http://t.sidekickopen68.com/e1t/c/5/f18dQhb0S7lC8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9nMJW7t5XZs2zqkS-W7gbG387fZBS-W7fsH1M56dykWf7ppmYC02?t=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.technologyreview.com%2Fprofile%2Fjames-temple%2F&si=5245033433530368&pi=50d1d72e-c841-4795-c691-bdbd028e2fb4>Senior
            Editor, Energy

            I am the senior editor for energy at /MIT Technology
            Review/. I’m focused on renewable energy and the use of
            technology to combat climate change. Previously, I was a
            senior director at the /Verge/, deputy managing editor at
            /Recode/, and columnist at the /San Francisco Chronicle/.
            When I’m not writing about energy and climate change, I’m
            often hiking with my dog or shooting video of California
            landscapes.

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